An infographic titled: "Note: Edinburgh Central has significantly redrawn boundaries!"
The left column shows the constituency boundaries overlaid on the 2022 local election results per polling district (as this is the most granular election data available in Scotland.
The 2021 version is explained as follows: "The previous version of Edinburgh Central includes a substantial area to the north and west of the city centre that was strong for the Conservatives and Lib Dems...."
The 2026 version then reads "... But the new version has moved southwards, incorporating strong Labour and Green areas that in 2021 were part of the Labour-won Edinburgh Southern."
The right column shows the notional 2021 results on the new boundaries. The constituency vote is 41.2% SNP, 30.6% Labour, 16.7% Conservative, and 6.8% Green. The accompanying text reads: "This significantly changes the situation. The new version in 2021 terms is the second-easiest seat in Scotland for Labour to gain from the SNP, at 10.5% behind (note: Green share here is only partial)..."
The regional vote is 29.1% SNP, 24.2% Green, 20.9% Labour and 17.0% Conservative. The accompanying text reads: "... It also creates the strongest Holyrood seat for the Greens in history, placing just 5% behind the SNP on the list vote in 2021; they also won the most votes in this area in the 2022 local elections."
The bottom of the graphic concludes: "This constituency therefore cannot accurately be described as a "Two-Horse Race" between the SNP and Conservatives. The latter's collapse in vote share had already taken them out of the race; the boundary changes euthanised the horse."
It really is quite egregious to be pointing at Labour and saying they can't beat the Conservatives when on the new boundaries Labour are ahead of them in 2021 terms, never mind the complete Conservative collapse in the polls. This is simply embarrassing, Angus.