Posts by Princeton Sovereign Finance Lab
In our latest policy brief, Yingxin Angela Chen explores dispute settlement provisions in RMB-denominated sovereign bonds.
Shifts in the currency of issuance haven't been accompanied by shifts in the underlying legal framework for sovereign bonds.
psfl.princeton.edu/document/641
It was great to be part of this workshop, organized by @jimqian.bsky.social, at NYU-Shanghai on December 1.
psfl.princeton.edu/events/2025/...
Domestic politics of debt crises/restructuring:
-Blame predecessors for high debt burden (hidden debt revelations make this effective).
-Avoid IMF program & conditions.
-Hold out for an improvement in debt servicing capacity, perhaps through resource revenues or taxation.
on.ft.com/3JERoii
We've created a new index of sovereign debt transparency, for 113 countries, 1994 to 2022.
This summary describes the measure and how it is predicted (sometimes) by the electoral cycle, among other things.
psfl.princeton.edu/document/491
@peterrosendorff.bsky.social
@laynamosley.bsky.social
It's the most wonderful time of the year....for debt geeks. @agelpern.bsky.social @upanizza.bsky.social @mkessler.bsky.social and I are so excited to welcome folks to DebtCon8!
web.cvent.com/event/005168...
TODAY @ 1:45pm🗓️Debt, Democracy and Development: Princeton Sovereign Finance Lab Reunions Panel #PrincetonReunions
With Professor Layna Mosley @laynamosley.bsky.social
psfl.princeton.edu/events/2025/...
Pleased to co-sponsor the inaugural conference of the NYU Sovereign Debt Network!
wp.nyu.edu/sfrn/nyu-pes...
Looking forward to this conference, on the political economy of sovereign debt.
wp.nyu.edu/sfrn/nyu-pes...
Interested in sovereign debt transparency? The Sovereign Debt Forum is running this event on May 14, in conjunction with the IMF Legal Department. Details on registration for the virtual event are here:
@princetonsovfinlab.bsky.social
Thrilled to spend a couple days talking all things sovereign debt at our annual @princetonsovfinlab.bsky.social DC conference.
psfl.princeton.edu/events/2025/...
Here's our newest policy brief, on the links between foreign aid/development assistance and donor political influence.
psfl.princeton.edu/document/311
Here's our latest policy brief, from graduate fellow Christian Baehr, about how Trump's trade policies might open up space for progress on a Venezuelan restructuring.
psfl.princeton.edu/document/306
A reminder that the call for papers deadline for the 2025 DebtCon8 meeting, October 13-15 at Georgetown Law School, is March 31. More information here:
www.law.georgetown.edu/iiel/initiat...
(Policy panel proposals accepted through April 30)
@laynamosley.bsky.social
Nothing to see here, just chatter about selective default on US Treasuries.
We're thrilled to co-sponsor the return of #DebtCon to DC!
At @goodauth.bsky.social, @laynamosley.bsky.social and @peterrosendorff.bsky.social's new Good to Know post gives some nuts and bolts of sovereign debt. A useful resource for teaching (and for convincing others that the politics of debt are important!)
goodauthority.org/news/good-to...
Fun fact about the 1944 Bretton Woods conference (officially, the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference): not enough space for everyone at the hotel, so some delegations had satellite housing -- including China, 22 miles away.
@princetonsovfinlab.bsky.social
Not the "vigilantes," says the FT, but some bond investors who are worried about fiscal deficits in large, wealthy economies.
on.ft.com/4gIQ2hR
[An old story about investors' concern with overall deficit and debt levels: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@princetonsovfinlab.bsky.social
This @economist.com piece summarizes a new working paper -- on sovereign bond market reactions to news of Chinese loans -- written by lab member Qi Liu and lab director @laynamosley.bsky.social.
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
With our new {wbids} package, analyzing international debt networks has never been easier. In a new blog post, I share the code to create interactive network visualizations using R to explore these relationships.
The investor base matters for market reactions to political uncertainty, and that base varies significantly across countries.
"Long-term, “real-money” investors in double A-rated government bonds .... want boring, predictable returns."
www.ft.com/content/9d49...
Quoting yours truly, on the domestic political complexities of borrowing from (and potentially defaulting on) resident investors and financial institutions.
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
"Higher US rates would make investing in riskier markets abroad relatively less attractive...." on.ft.com/3ASkExC
Ballard-Rosa, Mosley & Wellhausen 2021: the "democratic advantage" in sovereign borrowing only exists when rates are high in mature markets. [
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
If you don't know us already, we conduct policy-relevant research on the political economy of government borrowing. We consider the entire life cycle of sovereign credit, and we focus on the domestic and international politics related to sovereign borrowing.
psfl.princeton.edu
Bluesky is growing so quickly—it is hard to keep track of everyone joining! Are there any new sovereign debt nerds here I might have missed in this starter pack I have put together?
go.bsky.app/Cw8ufrd
🪟Do the Bretton Woods Institutions promote transparency?
➡️J. Hollyer X. Pang @peterrosendorff.bsky.social J. Vreeland show that loan disbursements from the IMF and the WB are positively associated with economic transparency, especially in democracies www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
When discussing sovereign default in class leads to a Ferris Bueller reference...
Curious about what elections worldwide in 2024 might mean for sovereign debt markets? Check out our policy brief from PSFL Graduate Fellow Fiona Bare!
psfl.princeton.edu/document/121