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Posts by Patrick Gerland

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Counting the dead to help the living Inaugural Lecture Presented by Prabhat Jha, Head of Department, Nuffield Professor of Population Health 18 March 2026

Counting the dead to help the living: Inaugural Lecture by Prof. Prabhat Jha, Head of Department, Oxford Univ,, Nuffield Professor of Population Health, on Wednesday, 18 March 2026, from 5:00–6:00 pm (UK time). Accessible online via link below just before 5:00 pm UK.

vimeo.com/event/485875...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0

📢 Event alert: UNICEF + UN IGME #UNSC57 Measuring Child Mortality & Overcoming Data Gaps 3 Mar | 1:15–2:30 EST | NY + Online: forms.office.com/e/BNZxS0dZ9  Practical approaches — mobile phone surveys + analytical tools — to collect child mortality data where CRVS is incomplete. #data #mortality

1 month ago 3 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Are we letting demographic data become just another commodity?
New paper by Edith Darin warns against the privatization of population stats. It’s time to treat these data as shared resource—a "common good"—not trade secret.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#OpenData #PublicGood #DataGovernance

3 months ago 5 1 0 1
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Responding to declining global fertility rates The levying of a 13% tax on condoms sold in China from Jan 1 is the country's latest policy aimed at reversing its falling total fertility rate (TFR; the average number of children a woman might expec...

Panic over falling fertility? 📉
A new Lancet editorial argues against coercive "quick fixes" to reverse declining birth rates. Instead of forcing a baby boom, the focus must shift to adapting global health systems for an ageing population. 🌍🏥
#GlobalHealth #Fertility #Demographics

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Here is a comparison for the world population.un.org/wup/countryp...

5 months ago 1 1 0 0
World Urbanization Prospects

See our online FAQ 11 on DEGURBA population.un.org/wup/faqs on the difference between the DEGURBA results and national urban definitions

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Map showing eastern Afghanistan Population Density

Map showing eastern Afghanistan Population Density

This morning Andy Tatem is speaking at the #HumanPlanetForum sharing our Global 2 new high-resolution population datasets - as the UN launches World Urbanization Prospects 2025.

Watch live: webcast.ec.europa.eu/geo-human-planet-forum-2...

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Global Human Settlement - Population in cities, towns and rural areas from 1950 to 2100 - European Commission The GHSL framework produces thematic information and evidence-based knowledge supporting the implementation of EU urban policy and the international frameworks.

Explore detailed methods, and additional geospatial data, & interactive visualizations on the European Commission’s website. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu/ghs_wup2025....

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Global Human Settlement - Population in cities, towns and rural areas from 1950 to 2100 - European Commission The GHSL framework produces thematic information and evidence-based knowledge supporting the implementation of EU urban policy and the international frameworks.

Thanks to all the team involved, but especially the collaboration with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre and DG for Regional and Urban Policy which has been key in creating the global Degree of Urbanization dataset.

5 months ago 0 0 1 0
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The 2025 revision introduces a major innovation: integrating geospatial methods via the harmonized Degree of Urbanization with national urban definitions. This dual approach ensures consistent global measurement and sharper insights into settlement patterns for sustainable development

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Launch: World Urbanization Prospects 2025 | Population Division The World Urbanization Prospects 2025 will be launched on Tuesday, 18 November 2025 at 12:45 (EST).

Today, launching the World Urbanization Prospects 2025 with new UN estimates and projections of urbanization for
237 countries and areas of the world & 12,000+ cities with 50,000+ inhabitants in 2025. www.un.org/development/... - see also new online datasets and plots: population.un.org/wup/

5 months ago 8 7 0 2
LinkedIn This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

UK Humanitarian Innovation Hub: Funding Opportunity: Mortality Estimation in Humanitarian Crises - Systems Innovation Partnership: To apply and/or share - Call for Expressions of Interest (lnkd.in/e7cv_VUS) - UKHIH Website (www.ukhih.org/news/now-ope...).
► EOI deadline: 11 August 2025, 5pm UTC

9 months ago 0 0 0 0
World Population Prospects

For further details about teh UN projection assumptions and methods, see: population.un.org/wpp/methodol..., in particular: World Population Prospects 2024: Methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections. population.un.org/wpp/assets/F...

10 months ago 1 0 0 0
World Population Prospects

See also online data sources for each country underlying empirical data: population.un.org/wpp/data-sou... including interactive plots: population.un.org/dataportal/d...

10 months ago 0 0 0 0

If you have any additional ideas about what the UN should do about this statistical modelling challenge, all ideas are welcome to explore for future potential improvements, and out-of-sample validation at national and subnational level.

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BBC Radio 4 - More or Less: Behind the Stats, Is the UN underestimating the global fall in fertility? How one graph shows the conservative side of the United Nations’ population estimates

A recent interview with BBC Radio 4 - More or Less: Behind the Stats, Is the UN underestimating the global fall in fertility? www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p... and online TFR plots to browse more countries: population.un.org/wpp/graphs?l...

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🚨Job Offer🚨
St Andrews–Max Planck PhD Studentship in Population, Health and Data Science
3.5-year St Andrews–Max Planck PhD studentship in Population, Health and Data Science.
Deadline: June 11
@mpidr.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social @imprs-phds.bsky.social
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61...

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Demographic Research - Can we estimate crisis death tolls by subtracting total population estimates? A critical review and appraisal (Volume 52 - Article 23 | Pages 741–796) Volume 52 - Article 23 | Pages 741–796

🚨 New paper: when researchers study epidemics, disasters, or conflicts but don't know how many people died, they often subtract pre and post population estimates or do a crude projection. Unfortunately, this almost never provides an accurate death toll 🧵

www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol5...

1 year ago 58 21 1 3
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Reminder that the Formal Demography Working Group is meeting tomorrow! Sign up to receive Zoom details: formaldemography.github.io/working_group/

11 months ago 10 3 0 0
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Topical cluster map of terms used in recently cancelled NIH grants. No surprises there I guess. Data by grant-watch.us and NYT for the flagged terms. Source code available here github.com/jschoeley/gr....

11 months ago 8 3 0 0

See also childmortality.org?indicator=SBR from UN-IGME for global and country data and internationally comparable estimates of stillbirth rates, neonatal and infant mortality available in an harmonized way. See also PDF reports and articles at the bottom of the home page.

11 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Where in the world are babies at the lowest risk of dying? It’s difficult to compare countries because they don’t always measure infant mortality in the same way.

Where in the world are babies at the lowest risk of dying?

Seems simple to answer, but countries count live births and infant deaths slightly differently.

I look at the data in my latest article: ourworldindata.org/where-are-ba...

11 months ago 35 3 4 0
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🆕 study reveals global patterns of the migration of scientists shedding light on how researchers move both within and between countries.
A team of researchers @mpidr.bsky.social found large disparities in the appeal of various countries and regions to scientists.
www.demogr.mpg.de/go/migration...

11 months ago 15 5 0 1
Norrköping campus at sunset

Norrköping campus at sunset

We are hiring postdocs in Computational Social Science
📍SweCSS, Norrköping, Sweden
⏰Deadline June 3
🔗https://liu.se/en/work-at-liu/vacancies/26854
Please apply // help us spread the word

11 months ago 105 76 2 1
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2025 Global Report on Internal Displacement (GRID) The 2024 Global Report on Internal Displacement (GRID) report presents the data and analysis behind the 75.9 million people living in internal displacement as of the end of 2023. It is the ninth editi...

2025 Global Report on Internal Displacement (GRID) | IDMC - Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre
www.internal-displacement.org/global-repor...

11 months ago 2 2 0 0

Some potential funding support for UK students who are assessed as having a Home/UK fee status and who meet the residency requirements as defined by ESRC Studentship regulations.

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Smarter refugee surveys for a more effective humanitarian response UNHCR and WorldPop are innovating the mapping of displaced populations and unlocking the power of registration data

Using satellite imagery and advanced spatial modelling we are collaborating with #UNHCR to innovate mapping of displaced populations and unlocking the power of registration data.

By WorldPop's Dr Sarchil Qader and Edith Darin, and others.

#refugees #geodata #mapping

medium.com/unhcr-innova...

1 year ago 2 3 0 0
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📢 L’IR Progedo #recrute un ou une ingénieur·e d'études en production, traitement, analyse de données et enquêtes dans le cadre du projet ANR EXO-POPP, sous la direction de @sandrabree.bsky.social.

🔗 En savoir plus : exopopp.hypotheses.org

📌 Postulez avant le 1ᵉʳ juin 2025 : bit.ly/43hMBZV

11 months ago 8 7 0 0
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Opinion | MAGA Natalism Is Doomed to Fail

East Asia demonstrates that financial incentives alone are insufficient to reverse declining birthrates. Deep-rooted issues like gender inequality in childcare, high living/education costs, and work-life imbalance need addressing for any profamily policy to succeed.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/21/o...

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