It launches 22 April and I can't wait.
For more, I introduce it here: www.linkedin.com/pulse/introd...
If it sounds useful, you can sign up: climatetrunk.com
Inspired by @katharinehayhoe.com @hausfath.bsky.social
@drkatemarvel.bsky.social @carbonbrief.org @ketanjoshi.co @ourworldindata.org ++++
As well as exploring the eight rings, which may still evolve, you’ll find counters to familiar deflection arguments:
- But what about China?
- But the climate has always changed
- But we’re less than 1% of global emissions
@kenrice.bsky.social @baerbelw.bsky.social @skepticalscience.bsky.social
Thanks, Tim Urban:
‘Compare knowledge of a topic to a tree. If you don’t fully get it, it’s like a tree in your head with no trunk — and without a trunk, when you learn something new about the topic — a new branch or leaf of the tree — there’s nothing for it to hang onto, so it just falls away.’
Climate Trunk is the project I wish I’d had when I first tried to make sense of all this.
It’s a visual guide to understanding climate and energy – designed to hold the #BigPicture together: the science, history, impacts, justice, fights, solutions, false solutions, net zero and you.
Climate Trunk project by John Lang
Climate and energy are hard to get your head around, unless you're in the climate Bluesky community.
Over the last year, I’ve been building something to help everyone else: @climatetrunk.bsky.social 🌳
One visual a week, for a year. Probably two years now, given I've already drafted more than 52.
Thanks, Tim Urban:
‘Compare knowledge of a topic to a tree. If you don’t fully get it, it’s like a tree in your head with no trunk — and without a trunk, when you learn something new about the topic — a new branch or leaf of the tree — there’s nothing for it to hang onto, so it just falls away.’
🌎 New report out: Brazil at the Net Zero–Trade Nexus
Our latest analysis explores how Brazil’s trade competitiveness is being reshaped by global decarbonisation trends — and what that means for policymakers, exporters and investors.
🔗 Read here→
Not suggesting job done or that it's ever going to be plain sailing. But the past decade shows that tech, ambition and governance can shift faster than anyone thought possible.
Progress, deeply uneven still, is now measurable and irrefutable. #NotPanglossian
Full report: eciu.net/analysis/rep...
Most consequentially:
Pre-Paris: world heading for ~4°C of heating by 2100.
Post-Paris: down to ~2.6°C because of strengthened policy, #cleantech S-curves and #AmbitionLoops. (That is, assuming current policies are delivered and sustained.)
@frediotto.bsky.social Credit: #WorldWeatherAttribution
Progress on reducing Amazon deforestation. Why? Because of renewed policy and enforcement.
Brazil lost more rainforest than any other country in 2024 —due to to #wildfires — but the last few years show that better policy makes a massive difference.
Now for #COP30 + #TropicalForestsForeverFacility
OK, not progress per se, but signs that climate risk really is becoming financially material, 10 years after Mark Carney's #TragedyOfTheHorizon speech.
We zoom in on the #CanariesInTheCoalMine in the US. #InsurancePremiums
@cathmckenna.bsky.social @marcdaalder.bsky.social
Clean energy #jobs (36.2m) now outnumber those in oil, gas and coal + ICE manufacturing (~33 million), and the gap is widening.
#Renewablesjobs have nearly doubled from 8.5m in 2015 to 16.2m 2023.
Updated @irena-official.bsky.social 2024 data dropping in December... 20m might be a stretch?
Climate policy has proliferated globally:
- #ClimateFrameworkLaws have tripled since 2015.
- Climate councils have also tripled. @climatecouncils.bsky.social
- National climate policy tools are up seven-fold
@oxfordnetzero.bsky.social
@climatepolicyradar.bsky.social
@granthamlse.bsky.social
83% of the 🌎 economy is still under #netzerotargets despite Trump's rollback of climate policy.
19 of the G20 are committed to #netzero by midcentury.
70% of the largest listed companies are still in, inc. most US firms. But yes, integrity's still crap.
@netzerotracker.bsky.social @ketanjoshi.co
Global #CO2emissions plateaued: since 2015, annual emissions (including land use) are up by about 2%, compared with >18% in the decade before Paris.
Since Paris, the annual CAGR increase in the growth rate of all #GHGemissions slowed to 0.32 %, a five-fold drop.
@drsimevans.carbonbrief.org
#ElectricVehicles hit 20% of new car sales globally in 2024, and is on track for 40% by 2030, over 10 years ahead of the IEA’s 2015 forecast.
@colin-walker.bsky.social gets troubled that PHEVs and BEVs are grouped together. Fair. But progress nonetheless. (I'll produce a solely BEV one next time.)
Investment in #cleanenergy now beats fossil fuels 2 to 1, with the gap wider in the Big Four: the US, EU, China and India.
Like in the UK, China's #CleanEnergyEconomy is outpacing the wider economy threefold, now worth 10% of GDP.
@eciu.net @davidrvetter.bsky.social
#Wind deployment kept pace. Added capacity in 2024: triple 2015 IEA forecasts.
Wind's costs have edged up on average recently but both onshore and offshore still deliver electricity below the #fossilfuels average.
Couldn't resist reproducing the @ourworldindata.org graph of solar LCOE dropping off a cliff — yes a 2009 baseline (not 2015) because it tells such a compelling story.
Since 2015, the #costcollapse was still a healthy 66%.
@hannahritchie.bsky.social @chrisstark.bsky.social
#TheSunHasWon — solar beat IEA forecasts 1500% to became the 'cheapest electricity in history' 6 years after The Economist said it was uneconomic.
In 2015, BP predicted the global non-fossil share of generation would rise from 32% to 38% by 2035.
By 2024? >40% of power supply. @ember-energy.org
It's not often you get to tell a positive story about climate. But that’s what our new #10YearsPostParis report and #infographic let us do:
eciu.net/analysis/inf...
The lesson of the last decade? Policy and cooperation matter. Naysayers don't.
@daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @katharinehayhoe.com
Global investment in renewable energy up 10%, despite ineffective Trump rollback.
@johnlang.bsky.social: “Talk of a net zero recession is overblown... while more companies are moving from box-ticking to real emission cuts – a long-overdue reset”.
www.linkedin.com/posts/earths...
What is the current rate and level of human induced heating? How many years do we have left to stay within the 1.5°C warming threshold?
See below for @johnlang.bsky.social's latest infographic showcasing findings from the #IndicatorsofGlobalClimateChange project.
eciu.net/analysis/in...
🌍📉 NEW REPORT OUT NOW
🔍 What happens when a country’s trade partners move faster on net zero than it does? Our analysis finds South Africa faces rising economic and risk as major export markets tighten climate standards.
Read the full report here: zerotracker.net/analysis/sou...
🔎 What are carbon markets, and why do they matter?
@johnlang.bsky.social latest infographic unpacks the essentials of carbon markets, and how Article 6 of the #ParisAgreement enables international trading, and why these details matter for delivering net zero 👇
eciu.net/analysis/in...
🚨 Net zero pledges are a corporate norm — but what happens when there are no consequences for missing them?
This oped by NZT's @johnlang.bsky.social explores an accountability blackhole which threatens #netzero - our only solution to #climatechange.
www.alliancemagazine.org/blog/climate...
Yergin should also acknowledge the #PrimaryEnergyFallacy. The Energy Institute uses the substitution method, but as @mliebreich.bsky.social notes:
'Better than nothing, but still inadequate... it maintains the primacy in people’s minds of increasing energy supply over efficiently meeting demand.'
Dan Yergin's writing walks a fine line between 'pragmatism' and 'fatalism', as @liamdenning.bsky.social has noted. He crosses it in this piece.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Daniel, for the record, the reasons why China (2060) and India (2070) should target dates after 2050 are well canvassed.
I often appreciate Daniel Yergin's dose of reality, but his claim that 'The 2050 target is enshrined in British law. But it is not embraced by others' is a dose of nonsense.
- 100 countries have a #netzero target in law or policy
- 130+ if we count 'Pledged' and 'Proposed'
@eciu.net @ketanjoshi.co
🚨Some major errors & misleading claims from experienced presenter Nick Robinson on BBC Radio 4 Today, when discussing British Steel with Treasury Minister James Murray
I hope these are corrected on tomorrow's programme, and Robinson sticks to the facts in future.
Here's what he got wrong... 🧵
