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Posts by Scott Robeson

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BREAKING: Federal Bill Would Put Big Oil Above the Law | Center for Climate Integrity Republicans Introduce Legislation to Give Fossil Fuel Companies Immunity from Any Laws or Lawsuits Seeking to Hold them Accountable for their Role in the Climate Crisis

Republicans know they are about to lose the House and are trying to give Big Oil its holy grail: legal immunity from any futures actions that would hold the industry responsible for the climate crisis it knowingly caused and is making worse every day.

climateintegrity.org/news/view/br...

11 hours ago 925 457 12 28
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The Wild Wild Western Water Wars - The American Prospect As a changing climate bakes and dries up the Colorado River, the seven basin states can’t agree on how to share the declining water resources.

in the American West, we've got totally nonsensical 174-year-old legal structures about water rights colliding with climate change-fueled drought, with the federal government AWOL prospect.org/2026/04/17/w...

21 hours ago 660 147 10 15
A grapevine that survived a late first

A grapevine that survived a late first

Just a little frost damage on the Concord grape leaves, but ok so far. Interestingly, the tall ironweed and haory plantain elsewhere had more damage.

1 day ago 3 0 0 0
A grapevine leafing out and getting ready to bloom, along the fence of a large bottomland vegetable garden in southern Indiana

A grapevine leafing out and getting ready to bloom, along the fence of a large bottomland vegetable garden in southern Indiana

Spring gardening in the Midwest: we shall see if the grape leaves and (not yet open) blossoms survive what will likely be a few frosty nights 🌱

2 days ago 42 2 5 0
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You Do Not Need an AI Policy — Sonja Drimmer You do not need an AI policy. Forget the crisis in plagiarism and cheating; that’s yesterday’s news. It is becoming increasingly common for my colleagues, both within my own university and elsewhere,...

sonjadrimmer.com/blog-1/2026/...

3 days ago 162 50 6 33
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Nope, absolutely definitely not adopting this nomenclature

4 days ago 80 15 9 2
Two model estimates of an observed time series. One model overpredicts and the other underpredicts, but both have "perfect correlation" with the observations. 

Source: Willmott, C. J. (1981). On the validation of models. Physical geography, 2(2), 184-194.

Two model estimates of an observed time series. One model overpredicts and the other underpredicts, but both have "perfect correlation" with the observations. Source: Willmott, C. J. (1981). On the validation of models. Physical geography, 2(2), 184-194.

Still referring students and collaborators to this figure from 1981 that illustrates why correlation is not that useful for evaluating model performance. These two models both have R² = 1. 🧪

2 days ago 16 2 0 0
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Partial randomisation trial extended after diversity of applicants and award holders increases We're extending the partial randomisation trial on our Small Research Grants scheme for a further three years.

For the solutions, I highlighted that lotteries actually have more potential with grants and fellowships than things like college admissions. In a 3 year pilot of partial randomization, the UK funded more racially and institutionally diverse projects. 3/

www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/news/partial...

4 days ago 28 9 3 0
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That’s safe. They don’t do much growing until then anyway.

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Dude, these were recently transplanted and will be overlapping in a couple of weeks.

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Yep, I get that although many people that I talk to have started to downgrade work done in some of these higher volume fast turnaround journals.

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Photo of spring greens in a veggie garden with one bed in the background housed in row cover.

Photo of spring greens in a veggie garden with one bed in the background housed in row cover.

Yeah, hope this doesn't lead to one of those late advection-driven frosts. In any case, I'll keep the row covers handy for a while yet!

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Huh, people are still MDPI-ing...

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WORLD VIEW
15 April 2026
Why more fossil fuels won’t fix the Iran energy crisis

Climate-friendly technologies are the best way to stymie rising inflation — and will get better and cheaper over time.
By Gernot Wagner

Spend any time discussing solar and wind power as a solution to climate change, and you are sure to encounter someone who asks about reliability. The Sun does not shine at night and the wind does not always blow, so fossil fuels will be needed forever as a back-up, they argue.
But how reliable are fossil fuels? In the past two months, conflict in Iran has created an energy crisis — the latest in a series. Oil prices spiked within days of the start of US, Israeli and Iranian bombing in the Gulf region on 28 February. Fuel prices remain high and volatile, and the ripple effects are set to increase inflation in the coming months. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the European Central Bank’s executive board, memorably named this effect fossilflation in the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
There was, and is, one clear winner: renewables and other low-carbon technologies, from batteries to electric vehicles (EVs) and heat pumps. That is what distinguishes this Middle East oil and gas crisis from the Arab oil embargoes of the 1970s. Then, renewables were mostly unavailable, and industrial decarbonization was on few people’s radars. Solar power cost at least 500 times more than it does today, and EVs, heat pumps and induction stoves were a pipe dream.

Ditching fossil fuels is not all smooth sailing. In 2022, European natural-gas prices spiked to ten times their levels before the Ukraine invasion, resulting in long waiting times for solar panels and heat pumps. Prices for these rose as demand outpaced supply, an effect Schnabel dubbed greenflation. She used a third term, climateflation, to describe the economic effects of climate-induced weather extremes, such as food-price rises from crop failures (M. Kotz et al. Commun. Earth Environ. 5; 2024).

WORLD VIEW 15 April 2026 Why more fossil fuels won’t fix the Iran energy crisis Climate-friendly technologies are the best way to stymie rising inflation — and will get better and cheaper over time. By Gernot Wagner Spend any time discussing solar and wind power as a solution to climate change, and you are sure to encounter someone who asks about reliability. The Sun does not shine at night and the wind does not always blow, so fossil fuels will be needed forever as a back-up, they argue. But how reliable are fossil fuels? In the past two months, conflict in Iran has created an energy crisis — the latest in a series. Oil prices spiked within days of the start of US, Israeli and Iranian bombing in the Gulf region on 28 February. Fuel prices remain high and volatile, and the ripple effects are set to increase inflation in the coming months. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the European Central Bank’s executive board, memorably named this effect fossilflation in the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. There was, and is, one clear winner: renewables and other low-carbon technologies, from batteries to electric vehicles (EVs) and heat pumps. That is what distinguishes this Middle East oil and gas crisis from the Arab oil embargoes of the 1970s. Then, renewables were mostly unavailable, and industrial decarbonization was on few people’s radars. Solar power cost at least 500 times more than it does today, and EVs, heat pumps and induction stoves were a pipe dream. Ditching fossil fuels is not all smooth sailing. In 2022, European natural-gas prices spiked to ten times their levels before the Ukraine invasion, resulting in long waiting times for solar panels and heat pumps. Prices for these rose as demand outpaced supply, an effect Schnabel dubbed greenflation. She used a third term, climateflation, to describe the economic effects of climate-induced weather extremes, such as food-price rises from crop failures (M. Kotz et al. Commun. Earth Environ. 5; 2024).

The Iran War has once again led to a bout of what @isabelschnabel.bsky.social memorably dubbed 'fossilflation'.

It's en vouge to talk about the solution as some massively complex undertaking. It really isn't. Get off fossil fuels faster.

My latest just out @nature.com

rdcu.be/fdxig

6 days ago 273 93 3 7
Map of forecast 2-meter air temperature for the north-central US for the morning of 20 Apr 2026, showing temperatures could be in the mid-30s F (1 to 2 C).

Map of forecast 2-meter air temperature for the north-central US for the morning of 20 Apr 2026, showing temperatures could be in the mid-30s F (1 to 2 C).

Explaining to new colleagues who like to garden that it's not advisable to plant tomatoes and peppers yet even though the local garden centers are enticing people to do exactly that. 🌱

4 days ago 27 7 4 0

Many of the criticisms in this report are true or partially true, but the biggest problem that's brought down U.S. colleges is indeed the 50-year crusade by the right to wipe away any notion that higher ed is a public good, massively cut funding for publics, and create the student debt crisis

5 days ago 246 86 10 6
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The LNG Shock Isn’t Driving Asia Back to Coal If you’re given to the Sickos Guy view of world events, there’s one obvious way to make the current crisis in the Middle East look just that little bit more disastrous: As well as starving us of energ...

A boom in rooftop solar is far more likely than a return to coal, with the LNG drought pushing up electricity prices and photovoltaics providing a cheaper, easier alternative. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

5 days ago 9 4 0 0

Thread of how Trump's illegal and immoral war is driving an energy transition.

We should be doing this without murdering thousands of people.

5 days ago 17 5 0 0
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'Blindsided': US farmers strained as fertilizer costs surge on war On Andy Corriher's farm in North Carolina, planting and preparations are underway for his corn and soybean crops -- but fertilizer costs have surged on war in the Middle East,

And now fertilizer is expensive everywhere. More Trump inflation.

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Yes and that’s a lot! I do this with my PhD students, but usually only on a couple per year as a co-reviewer (of the 12 to 15 per year that I do).

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B.C. First Nations are bringing grizzlies back to the North Cascades | The Narwhal In the cross-border North Cascades mountain range, First Nations in B.C. are working to restore an ecological and cultural relationship with grizzlies

For decades, cross-border efforts to recover grizzly bears in the North Cascades region have been hindered by government funding cuts. But a First Nations-led effort has kept moving forward — and later this year, they plan to reintroduce grizzlies to their territories. thenarwhal.ca/north-cascad...

6 days ago 87 30 2 3

Similarly, "how to get a grant" panels should address the current funding landscape instead of repeating some variation of "innovate harder"

6 days ago 47 15 1 1

And it makes me use two bookmarks!

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This weekend I gave a presentation to a group of mostly college-aged folks and had a little line at the beginning of my slides that described it as an "AI-free presentation made by a human, for humans" and I had to pause for clapping at that part

you love to see it

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Greek utility completes 2.13 GW solar cluster at former coal mine Greece’s PPC Group has finished construction of its 2.13 GW solar portfolio in northern Greece. The company is now working on its third large-scale battery storage facility in the area, with plans for...

There's something just so brilliant about coal mines being directly replaced with solar farms
www.pv-magazine.com/2026/04/07/g...

1 week ago 9177 1963 27 110
Location of the 50 datasets from tropical and subtropical regions. These datasets were used to examine the effects of the surrounding landscape on avian SARs. Birds were surveyed in forest remnants created by either river damming (aquatic matrix) or clear-cut deforestation (terrestrial matrix). The overall sampling effort included data obtained from 1,005 forest remnants, comprising 336 forest islands and 669 forest fragments.

Location of the 50 datasets from tropical and subtropical regions. These datasets were used to examine the effects of the surrounding landscape on avian SARs. Birds were surveyed in forest remnants created by either river damming (aquatic matrix) or clear-cut deforestation (terrestrial matrix). The overall sampling effort included data obtained from 1,005 forest remnants, comprising 336 forest islands and 669 forest fragments.

One of the most-viewed PNAS articles in the last week is “High-quality surrounding landscapes mitigate avian extirpations from forest remnants.” Explore the article here: https://ow.ly/bHrj50YGHM3

For more trending articles, visit https://ow.ly/jPBV50YGHLX

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Would You Jump Into Your Local River? Swimmable Cities May Be Within Reach as Once-Polluted Waterways Are Restored Efforts to improve the “swimmability” of urban areas are gaining global traction, from Paris to Chicago

amazing when you think about it... www.smithsonianmag.com/science-natu...

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Usually, the El Niño event gets stronger after September, but occasionally the peak intensity is during that month.

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Time series of Nino3.4 anomalies with September values during El Nino events indicated.

Time series of Nino3.4 anomalies with September values during El Nino events indicated.

And here's the full time series with September El Nino events indicated (sort of -- this is all the Septembers when the anomaly is > 0.5 C).

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Here's how that forecast for El Niño conditions in September compares to historical September values -- the estimate is at the very upper limit of the historical record (max of 2.21 °C). #climate

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