Don't think I've ever been as terrified in all the Trump security crises. As @pkrugman.bsky.social said, "Itās the most astonishing, awful thing that Iāve ever seen, and weāve all seen a lot of awful things." Mainly as cope, and to teach it, I keep asking why. 1/ open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
š¢ NOW OPEN: Second Call for Proposals from the Consortium to Reduce Nuclear Dangers.
We seek innovative, action-oriented work that presents a credible path to reducing nuclear dangers.
Learn more and apply: www.carnegie.org/news/article...
#NuclearThreats #NuclearSecurity #FundingOpportunity
Russia has submitted its national report to the 2026 NPT Review Conference (currently only in Russian ā link in the first comment). Much of it is as you would expect if you have been following recent developments, but there are some pretty significant changes. A thread š§µ 1/15
Itās crystal clear now that Trump has lost control of this war. He badly misjudged Iranās ability to retaliate. The region is on fire.
1/ Iām going to explain to you in thisš§µwhat Iāve learned - in part from closed door briefings - about the four biggest current crises.
The Shield seeks to address serious security and narcotics issues in Latin America. But a detail-light, āTrumpista-onlyā alliance repeats past mistakes in Latin America. https://bit.ly/4rmIkOC
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
Far from choosing sides between the U.S. and China, āLatin American leaders are increasingly adept at performing the public rituals of alignment required by Washington while quietly doubling down on their commercial ties with Beijing,ā writes Oliver Stuenkel.
In a new @justsecurity.org article, CISAC Senior Fellow Tom Dannenbaum & Rebecca Hamilton respond to Shany and Cohen, rejecting claims that the attacks on Iran represent āprincipledā violations of international law & warning of the risks to the rule-based order.
www.justsecurity.org/133417/aggre...
š§µFeels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/
Can conventional technologies now produce ānuclear effectsā? Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that emerging technologies in conventional warfare can now achieve effects once reserved for nuclear weapons.
Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/e...
#StrategicStability #EmergingTech
"Today, the Brazilian Supreme Court announced that they had convicted the masterminds behind the assassination of socialist Rio de Janeiro City Councilwoman Marielle Franco guilty on all counts."
massive news in Brazil today, writeup by @mikeelk.bsky.social
paydayreport.com/rio-police-c...
Happy no-nuclear-weapons-in-Latin-America day!
#TlatelolcoTreaty #Tlatelolco59Anniversary
In a new article, CISAC affiliates Lauren Sukin and J. Luis Rodriguez, along with colleague Stephen Herzog, challenge the idea that nuclear deterrence and disarmament are opposites, drawing on new global survey data from 24 countries.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Iām writing this post to share a new article, co-authored with @mmgarrity.bsky.social, that examines eliminationist politics and proposes an analytical framework for their study, published in @scmrjems.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
nationalisky | polisky
1/8
Finally out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Longer post to come but for now, key take-aways: international pressure matters, domestic pressure matters, international treaty law (however contested) matters, and super importantly these days, civil servants who believe in international law matter!
Applications for our summer internship program are open and will close on February 8.
If you are a student or young professional interested in nuclear policy, biosecurity, AI and emerging tech, our internship program could be a great fit for you!
Learn more and apply now. ā¤µļø
Trumpās Jan. 3 attack on Venezuela has accelerated regional fragmentation at a time of deep ideological polarization, Benjamin N. Gedan and NicolĆ”s Albertoni write.
Not even Milei has severed ties with China, which produces untold heartburn in Washington. foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/02/t...
Understanding this paradox and its drivers is essential for navigating an increasingly dangerous nuclear landscape. Our paper discusses how global publics see compatibilities between deterrence and disarmament and assesses what the complexity in public views means for policy.
Contrary to conventional wisdom, which views deterrence and disarmament as irreconcilable opposites, our data reveal something far more complex. People around the world embrace both simultaneously. These apparent contradictions arenāt confined to a confused minority. Theyāre the global norm.
We conducted a comprehensive survey of global attitudes toward nuclear weapons. Across 24 countries on six continentsāfrom nuclear powers like the United States and China to non-nuclear-armed states like Brazil and Nigeriaāwe asked more than 27,000 people what they thought about the bomb.
In this new open access article in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social, co-authored by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @herzogsm.bsky.social, we present evidence that challenges key assumptions about nuclear politics.
š¢ New on First View!
Andrei Mamolea (@andreimamolea.bsky.social) shows that a Latin American bloc with a common agenda emerged in Geneva in the 1920s.
#LeagueofNations #LatinAmerica #internationallaw #smallstates #transatlantic
Read Open Access here: doi.org/10.1017/S174...
As some of you already know, I recently moved to Paris for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at @ceri-sciencespo.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social. Here is a recent interview I did on my research agenda and background. www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/en/news...
Economic Displacement by Francisco Urdinez
China's economic displacement of the US in Latin America erodes US political leverage, challenging international order.
š https://cup.org/3NaVGPU
Apparently the State Department, led Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, released a strategic plan. Goal 1 is U.S. National Sovereignty. Goal 2 is "The Western Hemisphere and Establishment of the Donroe Doctrine."
There's more, but take that in.
www.state.gov/agency-strat...
@britishacademy.bsky.social International Fellowships are now open
Applications are welcome across the #humanities and #socialsciences from early career researchers anywhere in the world to come to š¬š§ for 2 years
The deadline is 11 March
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
International Fellowships 2026 The International Fellowships Programme enables researchers to work for two years at a UK institution with the aim of building a globally connected, mobile research and innovation workforce. Funding status Open for applications Career stage Early-career
Please help spread the word on this, especially to those who may be feeling cold winds towards their research.
Weāve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
