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Posts by Alberto Rizzi

Exactly, you can theoretically extract more and find ways to subsidize its distribution, but the small volumes compared to total demand means most households and firms would barely notice the impact.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

In the end it is a political choice and it can be argued that domestic, henceforth reliable, supply comes at a price premium that at times is worth paying; but in this specific case the argument does not really hold.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/sites/defaul...

This one suggests that the economic gains for households would be quite limited. Reality is that exploitation of those old basins is very expensive and can make economic sense only in case of sustained high prices.

1 week ago 5 0 1 0
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How Trump Took the U.S. to War With Iran

How the US went to war against Iran:
1) The Israelis played Trump like a fiddle, selling him utterly unachievable war goals.
2) Trump's aides largely refrained from saying no, and instead encouraged the President to trust his own (wrong) instincts.
Not surprising.
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/u...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Presenting the reopening the Strait of Hormuz as a victory is like the Greeks failing to take Troy but celebrating the safe return of their wooden horse

2 weeks ago 1132 254 24 9

That's one of the main issues of blanket measures like pump gas discounts: they are very expensive, largely regressive, and fail to target the really vulnerable groups - while also limiting the price effect that is necessary to drastically reduce consumption where possible.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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a referee is giving a red card to a player on a soccer field . ALT: a referee is giving a red card to a player on a soccer field .

straight red today for anyone suggesting Iran *now* realises the geostrategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz

4 weeks ago 9 2 1 1

Transformation into Putin is 99.9% complete

4 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

In quattro anni di governo con larga maggioranza, risorse a valanga dal PNRR e zero opposizioni, l'unico tentativo di riforma di Giorgia Meloni è stato un cambiamento trascurabile del sistema giudiziario. E ha fallito. Forse il capitale politico andava speso altrove per cambiare l'Italia.

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Trump on Iran: We got to finish the job | CNN Politics President Donald Trump claimed in remarks that “we’ve won” the war with Iran, without providing substantial evidence of his claim. Trump also touted an international agreement to release stockpiled oi...

Finish the job of causing a global recession? Because he's on the right track for that but he's nowhere near making Iran harmless, let alone changing the regime in Tehran
www.cnn.com/2026/03/11/p...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage – European Council on Foreign Relations The geoeconomic power of the future will be shaped by climate policy. Countries that play the right moves in regulation, clean-tech production and climate finan

The geoeconomic power of the future will be shaped by climate policy. Countries that play the right moves in regulation, clean-tech production & climate finance today will win in the electrified world of tomorrow. @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/publication/...

1 month ago 14 11 1 2

Looking at the record of military interventions since 9/11, the Western ability to determine political outcomes on the ground in the Middle East via the use of force seems limited, to put it mildly.

1 month ago 89 19 8 1
WASHINGTON, Feb 28 (Reuters) - Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine are monitoring the U.S. operation in Iran from President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, where Trump is currently located, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters.

WASHINGTON, Feb 28 (Reuters) - Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine are monitoring the U.S. operation in Iran from President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, where Trump is currently located, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Jesus Christ they're running the war from Mar-a-Lago

www.reuters.com/world/us/top...

1 month ago 5941 2058 494 421
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Trump tariffs: 'A deal is a deal,' EU insists The EU's executive insisted that "a deal is a deal" after US President Donald Trump said he was raising a global 10% tariff to 15% in response to the US Supreme Court blocking many of his emergency ta...

My @deutschewelle.dw.com interview on new tariffs: the EU is likely to put on hold the deal in face of the new 15% global US tariff and evaluate possible retaliations. Still, diversification towards new export markets remains the core European strategy.
www.dw.com/en/trump-tar...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Europe shouldn't celebrate the US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs as a final victory. Trump's fiery (and largely incoherent) press conference has shown clearly that danger is not over and that he still sees the EU as the enemy.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

Meloni is already distancing herself from Merz: she doesn't share his criticism of MAGA. Reality is that for her transatlantic ties are worth safeguarding because of ideological closeness, for Merz they are notwithstanding ideological differences. Hardly a sound basis for strategic cooperation...

2 months ago 3 0 0 0

Pyongyang on the Potomac

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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It’s the (geo)economy, stupid: Why the EU-India deal matters beyond trade – European Council on Foreign Relations The EU and India have just concluded the biggest trade deal in their respective histories. Europeans will benefit from lower tariffs with the G20’s fastest-grow

The EU-India FTA deal is hot on the heels of Mercosur. Instead of decrying the end of a world order from which they benefitted, Europeans are finally embracing their trade strengths, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social

👇Read the full commentary in our website.
https://bit.ly/4tayhi4

2 months ago 9 2 0 0

On 3), I would add that if you're a think tanker or academic you MUST have booshelves filled with books in the background when doing a media interview or a webinar.
More seriosuly: to me a home wihtout books feels like a home without a soul, empty of stories.

2 months ago 3 0 0 0
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Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relati

EU decided to bring up Anti-Coercion Instrument, a 'trade bazooka', against Trump. What does the EU's Anti-Coercion Instrument provide? With their cards in hands, the EU should create an economic deterrence infrastructure and strengthen its existing anti-coercion instrument.

https://bit.ly/4sWevqr

3 months ago 6 1 0 0
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Mercosur : "En cas d’échec, beaucoup estimeront que l’UE n’est pas un partenaire fiable" Alberto Rizzi, chercheur au Conseil européen pour les relations internationales, analyse les enjeux de l'accord, avant le vote crucial lors du Conseil européen des 18 et 19 décembre.

Mercosur : "En cas d’échec, beaucoup estimeront que l’UE n’est pas un partenaire fiable"

@alberto-rizzi.bsky.social, chercheur au @ecfr.eu, analyse les enjeux de l'accord. 👇 1/7 🧵

4 months ago 3 1 1 0
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A big, beautiful European strategy for Trumponomics | ECFR Since the return of U.S. President Donald Trump to the White House in January, European policymakers have been struggling to sketch a sensible response to

What are Trump's plans in the trade (tariffs), investment (decoupling) and financial (US dollar depreciation) spheres, and what do US policies mean for Europe? Join us next Tuesday in Berlin @ecfrberlin.bsky.social to discuss these topics - more info and registration 👇

4 months ago 7 4 0 0
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Shield the fields: How Europe can support Ukraine through a dark winter Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence…

Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ

5 months ago 11 5 0 0
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Trump’s AI thaw: How Europe and the Gulf can protect against American and Chinese tech pressure Recent changes in US policy have brought the US and Gulf states together again on AI—creating new openings for European decision-makers…

The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social and Herman Quarles @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3MdxkEk

5 months ago 8 5 0 0
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Shield the fields: How Europe can support Ukraine through a dark winter Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence…

Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ

5 months ago 18 6 0 0
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Shield the fields: How Europe can support Ukraine through a dark winter | ECFR Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic ga

🇺🇦 Zelensky chiude un accordo chiave per rafforzare le riserve energetiche dell’Ucraina in vista dell’inverno. L’Europa deve aiutare Kyiv a proteggere i giacimenti di gas con una difesa aerea efficace.
✍️ @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social x @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

5 months ago 3 1 0 0
Can Europe supply Ukraine with enough gas to get through the winter? | DW News
Can Europe supply Ukraine with enough gas to get through the winter? | DW News YouTube video by DW News

I spoke yesterday with @deutschewellerss.newsmast.social.ap.brid.gy about Zelenskyy's visit to Greece: more gas supplies are crucial to compensate for Ukraine's lower production due to attacks by Russia. And defending Ukrainian infrastructure is equally important.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAnh...

5 months ago 2 1 0 0
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I have a very bad feeling about this...

5 months ago 54320 10194 1847 641
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EU seeks US trade concessions by doubling steel tariffs – DW – 10/09/2025 A recent EU decision to punish imports of steel with new levies has sparked backlash from China and global concerns over rising protectionism. Is Brussels following Washington's lead — or defending it...

My take on incoming EU steel tariffs in this Deutsche Welle piece: the move aims at obtaining concessions form the US, most likely a tariff-free quota for European producers, but at the cost of worsening trade relations with other suppliers to the bloc

www.dw.com/en/eu-seeks-...

6 months ago 3 1 0 0

And people forget that despite all the anti-German sentiment the German car industry is a primary driver of (economic) integration, employment, and export growth for CEE MS. If it doesn't modernize with an eye to the marketplace of the 21stC it will be one giant multinational Nokia

6 months ago 50 14 0 1
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