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Posts by 👊 Ulrich Schimmack 👊💥 ❤️ 🇨🇦 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 👎🇺🇲

How replicable is social science?
It depends.
If it is experimental social psychology, close to zero.
here construal level theory bits the dust.
doi.org/10.1177/2515...

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Ontario government buys $28.9M private jet for Doug Ford's use | CBC News The provincial government has purchased a pre-owned private jet for $28.9 million to be used by Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

No Kings. Private jet to go where?
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

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Do you know what a scumbag looks like?

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Did Iran hire Newsom's digital media team...?

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Anti-Science Academics: The Paradigm Must Go On - Replicability-Index "More research is needed" is the most important conclusion for academics. More research means more money for oneself, graduate students, and other academics who benefit from a research paradigm (Kuhn,...

#MetaScience Meta psycho-analysis question:
why would anyone try to defend social priming research?

replicationindex.com/2026/04/16/a...

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Heterogeneity in the Replicability of Psychological and Social Sciences - Replicability-Index Concerns about research credibility have stimulated the growth of meta-science, a field that examines the reproducibility, robustness, and replicability of scientific findings (Ioannidis, 2005; Munafò...

How replicable are results in the social sciences?
It depends, but on what?
Closeness of replication and strength of evidence!
100% for high quality studies with strong evidence!!!
"Insanity is doing a different study and expecting the same result!" (Einstein)
replicationindex.com/2026/04/13/h...

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Things are finally changing. Let's keep pushing and push harder. And let's also not miss the fact that it took a horrific genocide and a disastrous war for so many of our neighbors to start dealing with reality.

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Heterogeneity in the Replicability of Psychological and Social Sciences - Replicability-Index Concerns about research credibility have stimulated the growth of meta-science, a field that examines the reproducibility, robustness, and replicability of scientific findings (Ioannidis, 2005; Munafò...

Replicability is 44, is about as meaningful as saying the meaning of life is 42. Here I show how we can move on from estimating average replicability.
replicationindex.com/2026/04/13/h...

5 days ago 1 1 0 0

The effective federal corporate income tax rate:

1950: 50%
1990: 25%
2020: 13%

Stop asking "but how we will pay for it?" Restore the corporate tax rate.

That is how we will pay for it.

1 week ago 23550 8189 551 323
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Meanwhile Prof Tim Snyder is also issuing warnings about the same.

2 weeks ago 16301 5787 501 290
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Maga movement splinters as Trump threatens to eradicate a ‘whole civilization’ if Iran doesn’t make deal – live Tucker Carlson calls Trump strategy ‘vile on every level’ and Marjorie Taylor Greene joins Democrats’ calls to remove president using 25th amendment

Hey sleepy democrats. Trump is eradicating a whole civilization that you like to call the greatest country. Wake the fuck up and do something. 8647
www.theguardian.com/us-news/live...

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20 years of meta-physical meta-science.
There could be a lot of false positive results (Ioannidis, 2005).
No there are no false positive results, the null-hypothesis is never true (Gelman, 2017).
Maybe we should do empirical meta-science instead.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

I'm wondering if it's a crime for members of Congress to allow the president to willingly break the law.

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He is not the problem. The people who do not remove him are. They will be held responsible and Trump - like Hitler - wont be around for the trials.

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Erratum: On the Relationship Between Indirect Measures of Black vs. White Racial Attitudes and Discriminatory Outcomes: An Adversarial Collaboration Using a Sample of White Americans - Replicability-I... In short, this article, which tries to keep the race IAT and IATs in general alive despite a lack of evidence that they predict anything meaningful in real life, made a beginner mistake in the modelin...

The Journal of Pseud-Scientific Psychology that published the Bem paper hasn't really changed despite badges, adversarial collaborations, and multiverse analyses. The real test is openness to real criticism.
replicationindex.com/2025/12/05/w...

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Gelman’s Type-S Error: A Misunderstanding of Hypothesis Testing - Replicability-Index Andrew Gelman is well known for strong opinions about psychological science, including its methods and research culture (Fiske, 2017. For the most part, he writes as if psychologists are still followi...

David against Goliath, Asterix against the Roman empire. We love the underdog. Well, here the underdog in statistics lands a punch in the face of giant Gelman. Two statisticians who want to remain anonymous verified the claim.
replicationindex.com/2026/04/02/g...

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0

But what good is it be rich if you still have to be a closeted fascist. Fuck them.

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Trump just cut a midterm ad for every Democrat in America. bsky.app/profile/fact...

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Are 2% Sign-Errors in Clinical Trials a Statistical Crisis in Science? - Replicability-Index Applied researchers who have substantive research questions (e.g., is there a wage gap for men and women) rely on statistical methods that were invented over 100 years. This statistical approach is kn...

Reposting with a new title. Gelman has published articles about the "statistical crisis in science" etc. But he is also co-author on an article that used van Zwet's z-curve to find that only 2% of clincial trials report a sign error. Yes, 2%, not a typo.
replicationindex.com/2024/01/08/a...

2 weeks ago 0 1 0 0
Are 2% Sign-Errors in Clinical Trials a Statistical Crisis in Science? - Replicability-Index Applied researchers who have substantive research questions (e.g., is there a wage gap for men and women) rely on statistical methods that were invented over 100 years. This statistical approach is kn...

Reposting with a new title. Gelman has published articles about the "statistical crisis in science" etc. But he is also co-author on an article that used van Zwet's z-curve to find that only 2% of clincial trials report a sign error. Yes, 2%, not a typo.
replicationindex.com/2024/01/08/a...

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I can't get it right. Something about itbut will fix.

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Maybe with France on their side the UK can get oil from their rebellious colony.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Learning from van Zwet’s Concerns: Z-curve.3.0 - Replicability-Index Unwillingness to Admit Mistakes It’s sooooo frustrating when people get things wrong, the mistake is explained to them, and they still don’t make the correction or take the opportunity to learn from t...

Gelman tells us how to respond to criticism. But what if the criticism is invalid? Here I show how to respond to valid and invalid criticism.

replicationindex.com/2026/03/31/l...

3 weeks ago 0 1 1 0

Not a single lawbreaking ICE agent has been arrested these past 14 months. Not a single state has had the balls or the morality to do so. The rule of law is dead in the USA and replaced by the rule of terrorism. I grieve for us all.

3 weeks ago 8752 2255 276 97
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Trumpers are Traitors!!!!

1 year ago 1582 483 58 28

@rudikoskarovich.bsky.social

Hello!!! 👋🏼

Happy #NoKings Day Rudik from Germany!! 🙏🏼🥰🇺🇸✊🏼🐾🗽🩵💫🎶

Greetings from Hollywood, Florida! ☀️

𝑿𝑶,💕
𝑯𝒂𝒍𝒐𝑺𝒕𝒂𝒓 💫 & 𝑫𝒊𝒂 🐶

3 weeks ago 5204 1290 63 29
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Women dressed as Handmaids march at No Kings in Nashville while holding signs of the men named in the Epstein Files.

We won’t forget.

We won’t rest until every file is released and every pedophile predator is prosecuted.

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"We can have democracy in this country, or we can have great wealth concentrated in the hands of a few, but we can't have both."

–Justice Louis Brandeis

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Now get out and vote in the midterms like your life depends on it, because it does. #NoKings

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