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Posts by Ilan Goldenberg

Trump says he'll leave Iran in 2 weeks - exactly when the healthcare plan will roll out? Wait... (Didn't Obama get excoriated for even hinting at a time frame for exiting Afghanistan?). He is the dumbest commander in chief ever (not just U.S.)

2 weeks ago 373 71 20 4
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Polling - J Street Data on where the American Jewish community stands on the two-state solution, the Iran deal and other issues related to US politics and foreign policy toward the Middle East.

📈 NEW POLL: A clear majority of American Jews oppose the war with Iran.

• 60% oppose U.S. military action
• 77% say Trump has no clear plan
• 63% prefer diplomacy over war
• 70% oppose unconditional aid to Israel

Read more: jstreet.org/polling/

3 weeks ago 63 30 1 3
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America Has No Good Options in Iran Trump needs an off-ramp.

As Trump searches for a way out of the war @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social argues in @foreignaffairs.com that the president has no good options to successfully escalate and that "the most responsible course is...to step back before a limited conflict becomes an engulfing quagmire."

4 weeks ago 6 1 0 0
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America Has No Good Options in Iran Trump needs an off-ramp.

“As in past conflicts, the asymmetry at the heart of the war favors the weaker party.”

A terrific assessment of challenges and options in #Iran by @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com.

3 weeks ago 9 4 0 1
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American Jews won't be silenced. We have every right to oppose the Iran war | Opinion American Jews Can Be pro-Israel and Still Oppose This War. That Is J Street's Position: We Reject 'pro-Israel' Loyalty Tests Based on Blind Support for Every Israeli Government Decision – and We Have ...

Our commitment to Israel cannot look like silence. It should be speaking up when it matters most.

American Jews have every right and responsibility to question a war launched by the US and Israel without a clear strategy or endgame.

More by J Street’s @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social and Nadav Tamir:

3 weeks ago 14 5 0 1
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“The US and Israel ensured that at the moment of truth, the dominant imperative inside Iran was… simply survival.”

Former US official @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social lays out the 5 biggest lessons the Trump administration should have learned before starting a war with Iran.

🔗 zeteo.com/p/i-wargamed...

1 month ago 61 12 2 1
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I Wargamed Iran for Obama. This Is the Worst-Case Scenario As a former US official, Ilan Goldenberg spent years gaming a conflict with Iran. Here are 5 lessons he learned that Trump hasn't.

@ilangoldenberg.bsky.social spent 15 years gaming out what a US-Iran war would look like. Trump chose the worst-case scenario: Escalation, economic shock and long-term instability.

Read @zeteo.com: zeteo.com/p/i-wargamed...

1 month ago 13 9 0 0
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You may be inclined to amplify Joe Kent right now because of concerns over the Iran war.

Don’t.

He’s an extremist with deep ties to Nazi sympathizers and Holocaust deniers who never should have been in this role in the first place (sadly one of many in this administration). 1/

1 month ago 1557 436 40 36
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What happens after the bombs stop falling?

In a new analysis, J Street’s @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social examines the possible endgames of war with Iran – from a weakened but dangerous regime to state collapse.

A critical look at where things go from here: jstreetdotorg.substack.com/p/where-the-...

1 month ago 17 8 0 2
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Where the War With Iran Goes From Here Scenarios for how the war ends and what it could mean for Iran, Israel, the region and U.S. strategy

Three scenarios for how this war ends and what means for the future of the Middle East.

open.substack.com/pub/jstreetd...

1 month ago 30 10 0 0
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AIPAC isn’t defending American democracy. It’s undermining it.

@jenrubin.bsky.social

2 months ago 215 82 8 5
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Federal agents are pulling over off duty cops based on the color of their skin.

This is not a serious operation to enforce immigration law. It’s a performative show of force and it’s gotten way out of hand.

3 months ago 23689 8805 1171 499
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The Democratic National Security Community Is Beginning to Debate the US-Israel Relationship A Serious and Thoughtful Debate has Begun Amongst People Who May Serve in National Security Positions in Future Administrations

A debate over the US-Israel relationship is happening inside the Democratic national security community – from the people who may staff the State Department, Pentagon and White House next.

✍️ @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social on competing strategies and the best path forward:

3 months ago 7 3 3 2
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3 months ago 33118 8726 1591 430
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Trump and Netanyahu are set to meet at Mar-a-Lago tomorrow. Here’s what you need to know about what might be on the agenda from policy expert @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social: https://bit.ly/3N02hwg

3 months ago 1 4 1 0
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What Trump Should Push Bibi on at Mar-a-Lago Another possible conflict with Iran and Phase 2 of the Gaza Peace Plan will be the main items on the agenda.

My latest in what to expect from the Trump-Bibi meeting next week. No war woth Iran and a push on ohase 2 of the Gaza peace plan. Hopefully…open.substack.com/pub/jstreetdotorg/p/what...

3 months ago 4 0 2 1

Most American Jews have never seen what’s happening in the West Bank – the settlements, the displacement, the violence toward Palestinian families.

The evidence is clear. It’s time we face it – and act. 🧵

3 months ago 19 3 2 0
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This ceasefire has ended the worst phase in Gaza, but it hasn’t meant safety for families and young children. It still can if we implement the full American peace plan, writes @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social:
jstreetdotorg.substack.com/p/the-ceasef...

4 months ago 8 4 0 1
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ICYMI: @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social explains why we can’t settle for the new status quo in Gaza: Netanyahu holding half the Strip, Hamas claiming the other – exactly the outcome both prefer over real progress.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Full article:
jstreetdotorg.substack.com/p/hamas-and-...

4 months ago 3 3 0 0

11. Many members of congress, congressional candidates, and potential 2028 presidential candidates are already walking this walk. More should.

5 months ago 4 0 1 0

10. Don’t weaponize Islamophobia and antisemitism to target anti-Zionist candidates. Don’t use antisemitic tropes to target candidates who unconditionally support Israel. If you disagree, stick to criticism of the policy.

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9. Stay away from divisive labels like genocide and arms embargo and focus on what matters ending the suffering of Palestinians and Israelis

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

8. Pledge to use US leadership and apply pressure on both sides to end this conflict once and for all. The US peace plan is a good start but we need to be clear-eyed about the ongoing suffering in Gaza and the fact that both Netanyahu and Hamas would like to see the plan fail.

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

7. Make clear that Israel is a friend but the blank check era is over. There must be expectations and accountability with American military support and consequences if those expectations aren’t met such as restrictions on offensive

5 months ago 2 0 1 0
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6. Lead with humanity: Acknowledge the horrors of October 7 and the war in Gaza – and place responsibility where it belongs on Hamas and on Netanyahu.

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

5. What will work is neither of those extremes. A few key messages:

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

4. If they go hard left to anti-Zionist politics the message is: “I’m more concerned with out-of-touch intra-party fights than fighting for your needs.”

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

3. If candidates just go with the old playbook of unconditional support for Israel, the message is “I am of the establishment.”

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

2. The conflict is not going to rise to the same resonance as issues like affordability or healthcare. But in the aftermath of the war in Gaza it has entered the mainstream. And so what a candidate says about it reflects on their overall image.

5 months ago 3 0 1 0
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The Old Playbook for Talking About the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Is Dead How Democrats Should Approach the Issue in the 2026 Elections

1. Democrats are going to need a new way to talk about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. open.substack.com/pub/jstreetd...

5 months ago 6 0 2 1