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Posts by Leiv Marsteintredet

"Few approve of how Donald Trump is handling the cost of living"

– Overall: 33-67
– Immigration: 40-59
– Iran: 32-67
– Economy: 30-70
– Cost of living: 23(!)-76

"The nationwide poll was conducted April 16-20, 2026 using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the probability-based panel of NORC at the University of Chicago. Online and telephone interviews using landlines and cell phones were conducted with 2,596 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.4 percentage points."

"Few approve of how Donald Trump is handling the cost of living" – Overall: 33-67 – Immigration: 40-59 – Iran: 32-67 – Economy: 30-70 – Cost of living: 23(!)-76 "The nationwide poll was conducted April 16-20, 2026 using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the probability-based panel of NORC at the University of Chicago. Online and telephone interviews using landlines and cell phones were conducted with 2,596 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.4 percentage points."

There's no other way to say it: This AP-NORC poll is atrocious for Trump.

– Overall: 33-67
– Immigration: 40-59
– Iran: 32-67
– Economy: 30-70
– Cost of living: 23(!)-76

37% of Republicans disapprove of his handling of the economy, 47% disapprove on cost of living.

apnorc.org/projects/few...

1 day ago 1232 433 48 139

My new Focus on Latin American legislatures, co-authored with @magna-inacio.bsky.social and @milagroscampos.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 8 6 0 0
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Comparative Political Studies - Volume 59, Number 6 Table of contents for Comparative Political Studies, 59, 6

The special issue of @cpsjournal.bsky.social “Back from the Brink: Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies”, co-edited by myself and Isabela Mares, was just published. The issue includes 8 articles, many of which set new research agendas. A🧵w/overview 1/10
journals.sagepub.com/toc/CPS/curr...

2 days ago 67 43 3 5
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Trommer i Brann KRONIKK: En begredelig sesongstart og bruk av trommer har ført til pipekonserter og generelt svært dårlig stemning på Brann stadion. For oss som forsker på fotball og publikumskultur, er debatten en g...

Noen ord om trommekrigen i Brann.

www.forskersonen.no/fotball-kron...

3 days ago 9 3 1 0

So glad to share my latest publication @ecprtheloop.bsky.social 👇

First ladies are unelected, yet influential, and as long as we treat them as ceremonial figures, we will misread how executive power actually works.
theloop.ecpr.eu/the-politica...

@geealacip.bsky.social @redpolitologas.bsky.social

6 days ago 12 9 0 0

Nei. Men den er nå på lista over ting som må ses! Takk

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Oi. Her vil jeg slenge meg på. Gode sanger dette. Men Vagabonds har lenge vært en favoritt. Liker også 125mph (bonussang tror jeg på Thunder…). Flere på NRFTW som Frigthened og No Rest kan være med. (Slike poster som denne gir meg tro på framtiden til BlueSky)

1 week ago 1 0 2 0
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Peter Magyar confirmed that Szijjarto, Orbán's FM, has barricaded himself with some of his closest colleagues and is shredding documents related to the sanctions on Russia any other evidence of treason.

1 week ago 9486 4136 251 437
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Find out more and nominate Stein Rokkan Prize | European Consortium for Political Research

🤔 Do you know of an outstanding 📖 published work in comparative social science research?

✍️ Don't forget to nominate for the 2026 🏆 Stein Rokkan Prize!
💰 £4,300 fund
🎙️ Presented with @sciencecouncil.bsky.social, @sampol.bsky.social

🛎️ Nominations close Fri 1 May buff.ly/e1QnUDb

1 week ago 4 2 0 0
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Student fekk dårlegare karakter etter klage på sensoren sin feil NHH-studenten enda opp med C etter feil fra sensor som meinte å gje han B. No føler han seg villeia av høgskulen.

Student oppdager hva anonym klagesensur går ut på. Og studentorganisasjonen har fått gjennomslag for at den ordningen fortsetter. Hadde vært bedre for studenten om klagesensorene fikk alle opplysninger i saken.

1 week ago 2 2 1 0
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Job Vacancies - Universität Bremen Offene Stellen

I am looking for a postdoc to join my team at the University of Bremen. 5-year-contract, top-up to 100% possible for most of the contract period.

Apply by 04 May 2026.

If you have questions about the position, send me an email!

www.uni-bremen.de/en/universit...

1 week ago 68 72 0 5

Similar to what happened to Chavismo in the parliamentary elections of 2015, where the disproportional system carried chavismo for many years and gave opposition constitutional majority with 55% of the votes. Sadly in Venezuela, the regime did not concede.

1 week ago 4 1 0 0
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Valglokalene i Ungarn har stengt. Og vi er i gang med pauseunderholdningen: Merk at dette ikke er en valgdagsmåling, men en meningsmåling tatt opp i dagene før valgdagen. Tisza ett mandat unna 2/3 flertall. Kilde: telex.hu

1 week ago 8 1 0 0
In Bruges scene where Colin Farrell is pointing a gun at his head and Brendon Gleeson is also pointing a gun at Colin Farrell's head

In Bruges scene where Colin Farrell is pointing a gun at his head and Brendon Gleeson is also pointing a gun at Colin Farrell's head

Current status of the Strait of Hormuz dispute

1 week ago 32510 6538 465 305
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🗳️Following the parliamentary elections in #Hungary today? Read some excellent & #FREE analyses in the comments below! 🇭🇺👇👇

1 week ago 1 1 3 0

"How did a political party that had seemed so full of promise end up on the receiving end of voter backlash? What does the Honduran case tell us about the possibilities of democratic resilience following competitive authoritarian rule?"

muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...

1 week ago 1 1 0 0

Jeg skal dit i morgen. Gleder meg stort.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Jeg selger en billett til dEUS på Rockefeller i morgen, lørdag 11/4. Pålydende er 540, men en liten rabatt skal en evt kjøper få.

Si fra om du vil ha den eller om du vet andre som er interessert.

Og RT gjerne!

1 week ago 1 6 1 0
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This is so well done. 👌

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Venezuelan lawmakers approve sweeping mining bill to lure foreign investors Venezuelan lawmakers have approved a bill to regulate the country’s mining as it seeks to attract leery foreign investors to a once-private industry that has long been exploited by criminal groups believed to have ties to the government.

Venezuelan lawmakers approved a bill to regulate the country’s mining as it seeks to attract leery foreign investors to a once-private industry that has long been exploited by criminal groups believed to have ties to the government.

1 week ago 39 15 4 1
A kétharmad kapujában a Tisza, kétpárti parlamentre van esély Tovább nőtt a Tisza Párt előnye, március második felében a teljes népesség körében 16, a pártot választani tudók körében 20, a választani tudó „biztos” szavazók között pedig már 23 százalékponttal vezet a kormánypártok előtt. A felmérés több mint három héttel az esedékes országgyűlési választások előtt készült, és a számokat még mindig korai lenne előrejelzésnek tekinteni. … "A kétharmad kapujában a Tisza, kétpárti parlamentre van esély" bővebben

The latest independent poll shows the Hungarian opposition leading Orbán’s party by 23 points. Hungarian elections are Sunday.
median.hu/2026/03/27/a...

1 week ago 3196 681 127 50
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Our paper on measuring portfolio salience is out at the @lsqjournal.bsky.social!

t.co/1QZOkoXwoV

1 week ago 4 2 2 0
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❇️ FirstView - 📖 Book Review

💬'...an innovative approach...’

Mariana Vahlis reviews "Authoritarian Consolidation in Times of Crisis: Venezuela under Nicolás Maduro", Edited by @jpolga.bsky.social & Raul Sanchez Urribarri

@routledgebooks.bsky.social, 2025

👉https://buff.ly/82Ml3uG

1 week ago 2 3 0 0
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UK and Norway led a military operation to deter Russian submarines in the north Atlantic The U.K. says British and Norwegian militaries led an operation to deter Russian submarines suspected of “malign activity” in the north Atlantic.

BREAKING: The U.K. says the British and Norwegian militaries led an operation to deter Russian submarines suspected of “malign activity” in the north Atlantic.

1 week ago 343 119 11 13
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💡The NEW issue incl. #FREE content is out now! 👉 www.tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4... 🙌 @emmamateo.bsky.social @oonuch.bsky.social @tymofiibrik.bsky.social @alinanychyk.bsky.social @popovaprof.bsky.social @bencehamrak.bsky.social @erinjenne.bsky.social @littvay.bsky.social @andreapirro.it

1 week ago 8 5 0 0
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Three 2-year Postdoctoral positions at Aarhus University: Projects on personality cults and strategic communication in autocracies - Vacancy at Aarhus University Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

Three 2-year full-time postdoctoral positions in autocratic politics at the Department of Political Science at Aarhus University (in connection to projects headed by Jakob Tolstrup and Alexander Baturo). Flexible start date. Application deadline: June 1, 2026.
international.au.dk/about/profil...

2 weeks ago 29 33 0 0
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Er vel gjerne for optimistisk nå, men denne beregningen av setefordeling basert på meningsmålinger viser at Tisza kan ligge an til å oppnå 2/3 flertall - nødvendig for å kunne endre grunnloven og reversere Orbans politikk.
hvg.hu/360/20260408...

1 week ago 8 2 0 0

Ingen bevegelser lenger i forkant av pasning, ingen initiativ og alltid på etterskudd. Trist

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Bør beholde noen, men ikke Konaté

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Why Viktor Orbán Is in Trouble | Journal of Democracy A series of unforced errors, poor results, and a worthy opponent are part of the explanation. But there are wider lessons that may explain how Orbán and other illiberal leaders can be defeated.

This Sunday, April 12, Hungarians will go to the polls to cast their ballots in what is widely seen as this year’s most consequential European election.

2 weeks ago 4 3 0 0