moment bound is tighter than Chernoff's bound

Philips, Thomas K., and Randolph Nelson. The American Statistician 49.2 (1995): 175-178. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Figure 2: Fields vary widely in their consensus around top-5 venues and the general alignment of their prefer- ences. Whether one uses a field-level ranking constructed from the pairwise comparisons of all respondents in a field to predict an individual’s pairwise comparisons (horizontal axis) or assesses the degree to which individuals in a field agree on a top-5 (vertical axis), some fields (e.g. Economics) demonstrate a much more overlapping and organized set of preferences than others (e.g. Computer science).

Academic fields differ in their degree of consensus about what "better" publication venues are — here shown both for consensus about the "top 5" and for pairwise choices.

Hello #econsky :)

arxiv.org/abs/2603.00807
@jugander.bsky.social @danlarremore.bsky.social @aaronclauset.bsky.social

CausNetS: Toward a Causal Network Science A NetSci 2026 Satellite

⚙️ Working at the intersection of causality and networks?

We're organizing a satellite event at @netsciconf.bsky.social in Boston on June 1st. The focus is networks science and causal inference.

Submit your work by March 10th!

causnets.github.io

WINE tutorial on Differential Privacy for Strategic Information Sharing and Learning today at 2 pm EST, in person and on zoom, link: sites.google.com/pitt.edu/win... with @jubaz.bsky.social @papachristoumarios.bsky.social and @yuxin-pitt.bsky.social

Announcing (w @adamsmith.xyz @thejonullman.bsky.social) the 2025 edition of the Foundations of Responsible Computing Job Market Profiles!

Check out 40 job market candidates in mathematical research in computation and society writ large!

Link:
drive.google.com/file/d/1zvsr...

Bayesian probability, like frequentist probability, is a model-based activity that is mathematically anchored by physical randomization at one end and calibration to a reference set at the other
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/10/20/b...

A 2024 study found that ants best humans at tests of collective intelligence.

Learn more on #WorldAnimalDay: https://scim.ag/42nMvQJ

OUR BLESSED mixed models vs THEIR BARABAROUS fixed effects OUR GLORIOUS Mundlak device vs THEIR WICKED demeaning OUR GREAT variance components vs THEIR PRIMITIVE dummy variables OUR NOBLE partial pooling vs THEIR BACKWARD unbiased estimates OUR HEROIC maximum likelihoos vs THEIR BRUTISH least squares

I could have sworn I created this before on our Previous Parish, but couldn't find it so made it fresh.

I present:
OUR BLESSED mixed models // THEIR BARBAROUS fixed effects

Front cover: Differential Privacy in Artificial Intelligence: From Theory to Practice, now Publishers

New differential #privacy textbook in town: "DP in Artificial Intelligence: From Theory to Practice", by @nandofioretto.bsky.social and @vanhentenryck.bsky.social. Open access, w/ chapters by @jubaz.bsky.social, @grahamrc.bsky.social, and @stein.ke!

www.nowpublishers.com/article/Book...

Experimentation and thinking at the level of a program of experiments
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/05/e...

🚨 I am co-chairing ALT 2026 this year with Matus Telgarsky. The submission server is open so please submit your best work!

Deadline: Oct 2, 2025 AoE
Confernece: Feb 23-26, 2026 in Toronto!
Website: algorithmiclearningtheory.org/alt2026/

Socio-Spatial Patterns of Suicide Mortality in the United States www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.08....

Survey Statistics: connections to experimental design
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/02/s...

🚨 New postdoc position in our lab at Berkeley EECS! 🚨

(please reshare)

We seek applicants with experience in language modeling who are excited about high-impact applications in the health and social sciences!

More info in thread

1/3

Applications are open for SFI's 2026 Complexity Postdoctoral Fellowships. SFI offers early-career scholars intellectual freedom, competitive benefits, research funds, and collaboration with leading scientists.

Learn more: santafe.edu/news-center/news/join-sfi-as-a-complexity-postdoctoral-fellow

I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on.

Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts.

1/

How information sharing in social media has slowly shifted from public posting to private channels. Strong empirical evidence from Facebook by the one and only Kiran Garimella. DETOX #ICWSM.

Assistant, Associate or Full Professor, AI & Society The Department of AI and Society (AIS) at the University at Buffalo (UB) invites candidates to apply for multiple positions as Assistant Professor, Associate Professor, or Full Professor. The new AIS ...

UB's new Department of AI and Society is hiring faculty across ranks (Assistant, Associate, Full Professor). We’re looking for transdisciplinary scholars interested in building AI by society, for society. Start dates begin Fall 2025.

More info: www.ubjobs.buffalo.edu/postings/57734

Great news! congrats:)

Nice new paper in PNAS providing further evidence that random/long ties help social contagions — even many that would be labeled "complex contagions"
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... @davidlazer.bsky.social

Screenshot of the text of the linked blogpost 1/4

Screenshot of the text of the linked blogpost 2/4

Screenshot of the text of the linked blogpost 3/4

Screenshot of the text of the linked blogpost 4/4

~~ making sense of academic statistics ~~

i wrote about the confusing relationship between statistics and data analysis, and also about how statistics relates to science

#statistics #rstats #datascience

www.alexpghayes.com/post/making-...

ACM EAAMO, which is coming to Pitt this Fall, has two events for students: a doctoral consortium and a poster session, both of which are due July 25th
- poster session conference.eaamo.org/cfp/call_for...
- doctoral consortium
conference.eaamo.org/cfp/call_for...

ACM EAAMO, which is coming to Pitt this Fall, has two events for students: a doctoral consortium and a poster session, both of which are due July 25th
- poster session conference.eaamo.org/cfp/call_for...
- doctoral consortium
conference.eaamo.org/cfp/call_for...

Who Sees Who? In the comedy Home Alone, a burglar posing as a police officer walks door to door during the holidays to find out which families will be traveling, leaving their empty homes easy prey for a break-in. ...

- differentially private distributed estimation & learning arxiv.org/abs/2306.15865 IISE transactions, featured: content.presspage.com/uploads/2602...
- differentially private distributed inference arxiv.org/abs/2402.08156
- privacy-preserving sequential learning arxiv.org/abs/2502.19525 (FORC'25)

Who Sees Who? In the comedy Home Alone, a burglar posing as a police officer walks door to door during the holidays to find out which families will be traveling, leaving their empty homes easy prey for a break-in. ...

nice piece by Pitt Swanson School of Engineering, showcasing three recent privacy works with @papachristoumarios.bsky.social and @yuxin-pitt.bsky.social - news.engineering.pitt.edu/who-sees-who/

🚨Free data alert!! 🚨 Please share.

Large new dataset of Amazon product reviews, including full text and photos and product characteristics, with individual *reviews labeled as fake reviews*.

I believe this is the first publicly available data of this kind.

github.com/bretthollenb...

Postdoctoral Position | Center for Adaptive Rationality

We are hiring, @arc-mpib.bsky.social a postdoc for a project to investigate why citizens feel alienated from liberal democracy and how a shared sense of reality can be restored.
Work with @lfoswaldo.bsky.social @anaskozyreva.bsky.social, Ralph Hertwig and me:
www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/2084802/2025...

Cognitive representations of social networks in isolated villages - Nature Human Behaviour Feltham et al. develop a sampling strategy to evaluate social network cognition across 82 Honduran villages, systematically mapping the underlying village networks.

New by @ericfeltham.bsky.social, Laura Forastiere, and @nachristakis.bsky.social: an extraordinarily ambitious effort to scale up and bring Krackhardt's classic work on cognitive social structures (CSSs) into the 21st century. Super excited to see it in print. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

People not only form social networks, they construct mental maps of them. People think about the ties between other people, including ties among individuals to whom they are not themselves directly connected. These “cognitive social networks” have rarely been studied. 1/