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Posts by John Horvick

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Turnout of registered and eligible voters in Oregon midterm primary elections: 1970 to 2022

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Here is the vote share by age and party for the 2022 Oregon primary election

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Here is the cumulative percentage of ballots cast by age and party in the 2022 Oregon primary election. The 50% line is the median.

Median ages by party
- Non-affiliated voter 54
- Other parties 60
- Democrat 63
- Republican 64

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Measure 91 (2014): Allows possession, manufacture, sale of marijuana by/to adults, subject to state licensing, regulation, taxation

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Left: number of bowling lanes per 100,000 people

Right: average number of lanes per bowling center

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Enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by region, state, and jurisdiction: Selected years, fall 1990 through fall 2031 The primary purpose of the Digest of Education Statistics is to provide a compilation of statistical information covering the broad field of American education from prekindergarten through graduate sc...

Source
nces.ed.gov/programs/dig...

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Percentage change in public school enrollment from 2011 in Oregon and neighboring states

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Enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by region, state, and jurisdiction: Selected years, fall 1990 through fall 2031 The primary purpose of the Digest of Education Statistics is to provide a compilation of statistical information covering the broad field of American education from prekindergarten through graduate sc...

nces.ed.gov/programs/dig...

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Oregon public school enrollment projected to 2031.

By 2031, enrollment is expected to decline by 96,000 from the 2019 peak (-16%).

Enrollment is expected to decline by 21,000 from current totals (-4%).

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Source
public.tableau.com/app/profile/...

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Updated reported crime totals in Portland

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Total state government tax collections per capita (2025) | Created with Datawrapper Average $4,513; Median $4,156

Interactive chart
www.datawrapper.de/_/5FEMS/

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Annual Survey of State Government Tax Collections (STC) The STC provides a summary of taxes collected by state for 5 broad tax categories and up to 25 tax subcategories.

Source
www.census.gov/programs-sur...

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The US Census released its annual survey of state tax collections.

I used this to calculate the per capita tax state collections. The chart here highlights Oregon, California, Washington, and Idaho.

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The U.S. Census released new data today on the most common names in the country. For fun, here are the party registration percentages of Oregonians with the 20 most common last names in the United States.

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The U.S. Census released new data today on the most common names in the country. For fun, here are the party registration percentages in Oregon for the top 20 men's first names.

Most Dem: Thomas
Most Rep: Richard
Most NAV: Jose

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The U.S. Census released new data today on the most common names in the country. For fun, here are the party registration percentages in Oregon for the top 20 women’s first names.

Most Dem: Mary & Nancy
Most Rep: Linda
Most NAV: Maria

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The share of registered voters who cast a ballot in Oregon's primary elections for governor has declined.

In 2022, 17% of registered voters cast a ballot in the Democratic primary and 13% in the Republican primary. 70% did not vote in the primary for governor.

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Non-affiliated (NAV)

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Democrats

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The three distinct age profiles of Oregon voters: Democrats, Republicans & non-affiliated.

Light colors are all registered voters. Darker colors are those who have voted in 2 or more of the last 4 general and primary elections.

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Updated consumer sentiment numbers are out today from the University of Michigan. Here are the changes by party.

Democrat 31.8 (-4.6)
Independent 46.7 (-1.5)
Republican 87.1 (-5.1)

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Updated Oregon voter registration totals are out today. Here are the monthly changes.

Total +12,712
Non-affiliated voters (NAV) +8,518
Republican +3,021
Democrat +1,030
Other +261
Ind. Party of Oregon (IPO) -118

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National Population by Characteristics: 2020-2025 This page features national population estimates by demographic characteristics for years 2020-2025.

Source
www.census.gov/data/tables/...

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The US Census has updated percentages of state populations by age.

These are the percentages of state populations less than 18 years old.

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NAV/other. A bit stronger over the full period, but weaker in the last couple of decades.
1966 to 2022: R=0.67
2002 to 2022: R=0.43

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Republicans. A marginally stronger relationship in the last two decades, but still weak.
1966 to 2022: R=0.18
2002 to 2022: R=0.44

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The Oregon primary election is next month. A question likely to come up afterward is whether, and to what extent, we can infer the general election turnout from primary turnout. Not much.

Democrats. The relationship is weak.
1966 to 2022: R=0.18
2002 to 2022: R=-0.16

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Higher Education Coordinating Commission : Public University Data Dashboard : Strategy, Research & Data : State of Oregon This page provides a description of and access to an interactive dashboard of data on public university learners and outcomes in Oregon

Source
www.oregon.gov/highered/str...

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