Discussion of the BLS Current Employment Statistics, revision patterns, role of the birth-death model in payroll estimates and revisions, and potential methodology innovations, from Ryan A. Decker www.nber.org/papers/w34924

Thanks!

I got lucky. The paper is part of a forthcoming NBER conference volume, and they let conference volume chapters get released in nber when the chapter is academic enough.

Measuring Payroll Employment: A Note on the Current Employment Statistics Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Here is a note on measuring payroll employment www.nber.org/papers/w34924

Super useful rundown of how CES (aka the establishment survey used to produce the monthly nonfarm payrolls number) works, with some good ideas for improving its already impressive accuracy, by @ryandecker.bsky.social
www.nber.org/system/files...

Yes!! Temp help is so important in manufacturing that the industrial production statistic uses temp help data as an input.