The Market Is Acting Differently Oil surged, but stocks held firm. This week’s edition breaks down the shift in market behavior, what Delta earnings could reveal, and why recalibration matters more than reaction.

Oil ripped.
Stocks didn’t break.

That’s the signal.

When markets stop behaving how you expect, it’s worth paying attention.

This week:
• Oil vs equities disconnect
• Delta earnings
• Why recalibration > reaction

hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/oil-spike-...

#trading #markets #HtB #DAL #oil

Oil, Bonds, and Stocks: A Market Shift Traders Shouldn’t Ignore Stocks are selling off as oil surges, but bonds are starting to diverge. Here’s why this shift in market behavior could matter more than the headlines.

Something changed in the market this week.

Oil kept going.
Stocks kept falling.
But bonds stopped following.

That’s how shifts start.

Quiet at first. Then obvious later.

Check out my thoughts here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/something-...

#trading #markets #HtB #yields #bonds #oil

Oil Prices, Treasury Yields, and the Market’s Next Move Oil is driving inflation expectations and pushing Treasury yields higher. Here’s how this relationship is shaping stocks, rates, and what to watch next.

Oil is doing more than just moving higher. It is shaping the entire market.

Oil up → yields up → stocks stuck
If that breaks → something bigger is changing

That relationship matters more than any chart.
Read it here:
hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/oil-treasu...

#trading #markets #HtB #yields #bonds

March Madness Bracket Strategy, Trading Lessons, and Market Recap What March Madness can teach about trading, decision making, and risk. Plus a weekly market recap covering SPY, QQQ, oil, Fed outlook, and a Delta Air Lines trade setup.

Most people are training themselves the wrong way to win.

They judge decisions by outcomes.

That mistake shows up in brackets, trading, and life.

This week’s breakdown: mindset, markets, and a DAL setup.

hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/march-madn...

#trading #markets #HtB #DAL #MarchMadness

This is so true! Cutting losers fast is something I'm still working on, but it helps to have rules

Market Volatility, Oil Prices, and CPI: What Traders Should Watch This Week Markets remain volatile as oil prices surge, inflation data approaches, and Oracle earnings test AI spending. Key catalysts and a trading lesson on self control.

Markets are loud right now.

Oil spikes. Inflation data ahead. Geopolitical headlines everywhere.

The best edge in a market like this might simply be self control.

New HtB edition on vol, ORCL, and trading discipline. hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-market...

#trading #markets #HtB #ORCL

Stock Market Volatility: Oil Spike, NFP Preview, COIN Analysis Oil surged 12% after Iran strikes, SPY held support, and NFP looms. Plus Coinbase technical analysis, Bitcoin levels, and an 80/20 productivity audit.

Oil spikes.
Geopolitical tension rises.
SPY shrugs it off.

This week’s Hitting the Bid:

• Oil as the macro signal
• COIN at a technical inflection
• The 80/20 audit for your time

Clean the deck. hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/volatility...

#trading #markets #HtB #COIN

NVDA Earnings Preview: Blackwell Ramp, AI Trade & S&P 500 Outlook NVDA earnings preview, Blackwell chip ramp analysis, S&P 500 outlook, tariff volatility, inflation risks, and what traders should watch this week.

NVDA earnings = tie-breaker.

6 months inside a $170 to $195 box.
Blackwell ramp. 75%+ margins. $74B guide line in the sand.

I'm not chasing.
I'm waiting for range resolution.

Discipline > scoreboard.

hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/nvda-earni...

#trading #markets #HtB #NVDA #process

Market Rotation, Volatility Returns, and Trading Discipline Volatility returned as small caps led, tech lagged, and AI spending concerns grew. A look at Microsoft setups and why internal competition matters more than comparison.

Quiet index. Loud rotation.

Tech struggled, and mall caps caught a bid.

MSFT back on watch.
Premium selling with discipline.

The screen is a mirror.
Compete with yourself.

Full edition out now! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/run-your-o...

#trading #markets #HtB #MSFT #discipline

AI Fatigue, Silver’s Collapse, Alphabet Earnings Preview, and Market Extremes | Hitting the Bid Markets hit all-time highs before selling the news as Fed uncertainty rises. A historic silver selloff, Big Tech earnings, and Howard Marks on AI bubbles and investor psychology.

When momentum snaps, it rarely sends a warning.

Silver collapsed.
AI trades are priced for perfection.
And the market is quietly shifting from hype to accountability.

This week’s Hitting the Bid is out! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/markets-at...

#trading #markets #HtB #silver #GOOGL #AI

Volatility Finds Its Footing | Silver’s Surge and the Power of Identity Markets navigated a choppy holiday week as investors brace for the Fed and major earnings. A deep dive into silver’s historic rally and why building identity, not chasing goals, leads to lasting habit...

Choppy markets. Silver going vertical. A big Wednesday coming up.

This week’s Hitting the Bid looks at:
- Last week's price action
- Patiently waiting out silver
- A note about habits and identity

Full read hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/a-wild-wed...

#trading #markets #HtB #silver #habits

Market Rotation, Interest Rates, and Why Small Wins Compound A weekly market recap covering equity rotation, rising Treasury yields, and what patience and small wins can teach us about trading, careers, and long term growth.

Markets are noisy. Progress doesn't have to be.

Rotation, rates, and how the Chicago Bears made significant strides in one season. That’s this week’s Hitting the Bid.

Check it out now! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/why-patien...

#trading #markets #HtB #ZN #Bonds #investing

S&P 500 Hits New Highs as Markets Wait for Clarity The S&P 500 reaches fresh highs while investors recalibrate rate cut expectations, rotate across indices, and reflect on where long term returns truly come from.

Markets wait for clarity.
Traders price uncertainty.
Personal investments compound quietly.

This week’s Hitting the Bid: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/waiting-fo...

#trading #markets #HtB #NFLX #investing

Market Outlook for 2026 | Expected Ranges, Volatility, and Risk A trader’s early outlook for 2026, including S&P 500 positioning, options implied ranges, volatility signals, and views on rates, gold, and natural gas.

The market resets every January, discipline does not.

This week’s Hitting the Bid looks at what options markets are pricing in for 2026 and why probabilities matter more than predictions. Plus, my predictions for 2026!

Read here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/how-i-m-ap...

#trading #markets #HtB

Markets Into the Holidays | Year-End Trading and Mindset A look at holiday market activity, year-end liquidity, the Japanese yen, and why staying present matters as the year comes to a close.

Holiday markets are thin. Noise feels louder. Perspective matters more.

Watching the yen. Trading less. Trying to be more present as the year winds down.

Read this week's newsletter here! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/closing-th...

#trading #markets #options #LULU #HtB

Fed Rate Cut Fails to Lift Markets | SPY, Bonds, and Trading Psychology The Fed cut rates, but markets faded as SPY slipped and bonds sent mixed signals. A breakdown of market rotation, Treasury yields, and why handling variance matters for long term success.

Late year markets are weird.
The Fed cut rates, SPY slipped anyway, and bonds are telling a quieter story beneath the surface. With only a handful of trading days left, variance is part of the game.
Consistency > reaction.

Full thoughts here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-fed-cu...

#trading #HtB

Market Outlook Ahead of the Fed Meeting and LULU Earnings SPY moves higher as traders wait for the Fed, Lululemon prepares for a high volatility earnings week, and this edition reflects on the value of progress during the messy middle.

Fed week! Markets were waiting for Powell before making any big moves. LULU is also setting up with high IV and a chart full of gaps.

And, the messy middle - how the climb matters more than the summit.

Read it here!
hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-calm-b...

#trading #markets #options #LULU #htb

Weekly Market Recap: SPY Strength, Amazon Stock Analysis, and Key Trading Levels A quick recap on SPY’s weekly performance, Amazon’s price action into the holidays, volatility trends, and a look at how consistency and accountability drive success on and off the field.

SPY climbed while everyone ate pie. Amazon is setting up again. And the Chicago Bears suddenly look like a team that believes it can win.

Consistency wins. New edition is live: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/spy-climbs...

#trading #markets #options #AMZN #consistency #accountability #hittingthebid

SPY Holds Flat, Rate Cut Odds Rise, and Why Behind the Scenes Progress Matters SPY finishes the week flat as rate cut odds rise. A look at key levels in GOOGL and a Thanksgiving reminder that real progress comes from the quiet work behind the scenes.

SPY finished the week flat, but the moves underneath were anything but. GOOGL held a key price gap and rate cut odds pushed sentiment around.

And finally, progress comes from the unseen effort.

Full edition here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/a-flat-wee...

#trading #markets #options #hittingthebid

Life Is One Big Dataset: Market Pullbacks, Alphabet’s Spike, and the Power of Small Signals This week’s Hitting the Bid breaks down the S&P 500 pullback, Berkshire’s surprising Alphabet stake, and why collecting small data points in markets and life creates a real edge. Perfect for traders a...

SPY dipped, a big Alphabet position, and volatility is stirring.

And life continues to hand me tiny data points every day. Markets and life reward people who pay attention to the small signals.

Read here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/life-is-ju...

#trading #markets #options #hittingthebid #data

Finishing Strong: How Small Wins Now Can Shape Your 2026 Momentum | Hitting the Bid As the year winds down, markets may be flat, but your momentum doesn’t have to be. In this week’s Hitting the Bid, we cover SPY’s quiet swings, a potential setup in Microsoft, and how to close 2025 wi...

Flat week for SPY, but a lot of action to get there. Big setup for Microsoft.
And why finishing one or two things before year-end can give you an edge heading into 2026.

New Hitting the Bid out now! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-final-...

#trading #markets #options #hittingthebid #finishstrong

Playing the Long Game: Lessons from Baseball, Markets, and Mastery | Hitting the Bid The market cools after Powell’s cautious tone, Meta’s post-earnings slump creates opportunity, and this week’s top of mind dives into how patience and consistency build lasting success in trading, spo...

The Dodgers’ WS win reminded me how markets and life reward consistency.

This week’s HtB:
S&P 500 down on Powell’s comments
Meta earnings market reaction
Baseball and trusting the process

Read it here hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-grind-...

#trading #markets #options #hittingthebid #consistency

Bulls Take Back Control | What Carvana Earnings Reveal About Consumers | Expanding Your Luck Surface Area The S&P 500 surged to new highs as softer inflation data fueled optimism and rate-cut expectations. This week, I’m watching Carvana’s earnings for clues on consumer strength and reflecting on how “luc...

Bulls take back control, Carvana earnings and consumer behavior, and can we create our own luck?

This week:
S&P 500 hits fresh ATHs
Carvana earnings check-in
Increasing your luck surface area

Check it out! hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/how-i-stay...

#trading #markets #options #luck #hittingthebid

Market Pullback, Gold’s Run, and Finding Your Edge SPY slips, gold surges, and a reminder that real growth begins at the edge of your comfort zone. This week’s lessons blend markets and mindset.

SPY sold off hard, gold’s still running, and I can’t stop thinking about the marathoners.

Find your limits. And push beyond.

This week’s issue:
📉 S&P pullback
🥇 Gold’s run
💭 Finding your edge

Read here → hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/finding-yo...

#trading #markets #options #gold #hittingthebid

New Highs, Old Lessons: Bitcoin Breakout and the Mindset of a Trainee Markets hit record highs as Bitcoin breaks out, but smart traders are asking—too far, too fast? This week’s Hitting the Bid looks at SPY’s rally, Bitcoin setups, and the mindset that keeps top perform...

SPY at new highs.
BTC breaking out.
Everyone’s feeling good…maybe too good?

This week’s Hitting the Bid covers:
– SPY's recent ATH
– Bitcoin’s tricky breakout
– The best traders' mindset

Full post: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/markets-up...

#trading #markets #options #Bitcoin #mindset

SPY’s Choppy Week, Treasury Yields Rise After Rate Cuts, and a Simple Reset to Win Q4 Markets chop as SPY slips, Treasury yields climb despite Fed cuts, and a 15-minute tech-free walk offers a reset to finish 2025 strong.

SPY down 0.5% last week. Tech + growth carried.
Meanwhile, 10Y yields climbed after Fed cuts. All eyes now on ADP + NFP.

Also, a 15-min tech-free walk might be the best Q4 reset.

Read the full breakdown here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/spy-chops-...

#trading #markets #options #bonds

S&P 500 Hits Record Highs Ahead of Fed Decision | Costco Stock Setup and Smarter Risk Framework This week’s market recap covers the S&P 500’s new all-time highs, key moves in gold, oil, and Bitcoin, a closer look at Costco’s chart setup, and how to combine risk and expected value for better deci...

SPY hit record highs heading into Fed week
Costco’s chart is forming a pennant
And I’m breaking down how to make sharper decisions

This week I cover markets, Costco, and frameworks for better choices.

Read here: hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/s-p-500-at...

#trading #markets #options #risk #EV #COST

Bullish LULU Trade 🚀 | Lululemon Options Strategy YouTube video by Jeff Sanchez

Just went bullish on $LULU

In my latest video, I break down the trade setup and what I’m watching next.

Retail earnings can be tricky, but I like this opportunity. How are you approaching $LULU right now?

👉 Watch here: youtu.be/6klFu1xHz8o

#HittingTheBid #Markets #trading #options #LULU

S&P 500 Records, Bond Rally, and Market Forecasts | Hitting the Bid This week’s Hitting the Bid breaks down SPY’s new high, bond market moves after jobs data, upcoming inflation reports, and why a bold S&P 500 forecast may not add up.

SPY at highs. Bonds rallying. BoA says S&P 500 could hit 9,900 by 2027. 🤔

Big projections make headlines… but probabilities tell the real story.

This week’s Hitting the Bid → hittingthebid.beehiiv.com/p/the-9-900-...

#trading #markets #options #probabilities #bonds

Jobs Report Uncertainty | Why I'm Sitting On The Sidelines YouTube video by Jeff Sanchez

🚨 Jobs Report Friday = Big Market Moves 🚨

Non-Farm Payrolls hits at 8:30 AM ET.
Here’s the tricky part:

Sometimes good news is bad news… and bad news is bad news.

Learn how I approach news events.
Watch it here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAtv...

#HittingTheBid #Markets #trading #NFP