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Posts by David Nelson

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Midweek Update #7: The Most Corrupt War In US History Trump Is Passing The Initiative To Iran; Oil Markets, Watch Out If They Lose Their Optimism

Hi all, just sent out free midweek update on USA-Iran. Normally bad superlatives are used about war--the worst, the most destructive, etc. These are rarely warranted. However in this case we have one superlative, we are witnessing the most corrupt war in US history. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

5 hours ago 248 82 8 10
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Trump without makeup is pretty fucking scary looking. Did your servants have the weekend off you corpulent old gas-bag?

5 hours ago 367 38 46 3
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The Aides Keeping the President in the Dark Donald Trump’s advisers are treating him like he can’t handle the reality of the war in Iran. They might be right—but that fact is a danger to the constitutional order.

Donald Trump’s aides have kept him in the dark on important conversations—and “the ramifications for democratic accountability are serious,” @dgraham.bsky.social argues in The Atlantic Daily:

5 hours ago 72 17 9 3

this is how Utah's Congressional map deals with Utah's largest city, cracking it through to the middle into 4 different districts in order to deny it Congressional representation to make sure Dems get 0 seats

6 hours ago 1063 212 23 10

Listen if Trump really wanted to destroy Iran he doesn't need nukes, he just needs to become their president and start a bunch of silly trade wars with all their allies

5 hours ago 957 158 17 4
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This is what caused Trump’s meltdown tonight.

11 hours ago 2033 447 114 25
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Birthright Citizenship and Youth Crime - Marginal REVOLUTION This paper studies the impact of birthright citizenship on youth crime. We leverage a German reform which automatically granted birthright citizenship to eligible immigrant children born in Germany af...

Germany began automatically granting birthright citizenship to eligible immigrant children born after 1/1/00. Study finds that "immigrant youth who acquired citizenship at birth are substantially less likely to engage in criminal activity, with estimates indicating a 70% reduction in crime."

11 hours ago 292 84 3 7
15 hours ago 3936 1700 433 164

Trump starting a Gerrymandering war he couldn’t finish feels a whole lot Trump starting trade wars he couldn’t finish and this Iran war he can’t finish.

He’s not playing chess people.

10 hours ago 652 181 32 8
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Don’t underestimate the backlash to Trump publicly ordering up a mid-decade redraw in Texas because Republicans are “entitled to five more seats.” And then getting it. That moment killed the (then still robust) Democratic resistance to maximal warfare with their own gerrymanders.

10 hours ago 803 136 8 6

"You have until November" means "it'll happen by the end of May"

10 hours ago 76 11 3 1

Come, here is the map. Shall we divide our right
According to our threefold order ta’en?

9 hours ago 417 71 2 4
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NEW REPUBLIC: “Where Did Millions in Funding Go?”

$63 MILLION companies paid in *settlements* to Trump appears to have vanished (into his pocket) and @SenWarren wants answers.

newrepublic.com/article/2092...

9 hours ago 1457 593 47 25

One big political divide is between people who believe germs cause disease and people who believe Those People cause disease. It was pretty evident right away during the pandemic

9 hours ago 1138 243 10 2

He's literally going to fire all the women and not any of the drunk guys.

9 hours ago 5 3 2 0

A lesson to all businessmen in the ear of Trump: You will now forever be known as the guy who kissed Trump's ass. That is your legacy. May your grandchildren be proud of you.

8 hours ago 9 4 0 0
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This maps shows how much Nitrogen fertilizer each country uses. The more it uses the more it is likely impacted by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz through which a lot of fertilizer trade flows. Source: buff.ly/meDwZB2

8 hours ago 32 9 3 1
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“How should I put this? It’s disrespectful to travel to Moscow and not come to Kyiv.”

— President Zelenskyy on a potential visit by Trump’s associate Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Kushner to Ukraine

7 hours ago 42 6 1 0
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"If the strait is opened tomorrow, we're not really going back to the previous energy world, we just can't. This is sort of like one of those the toothpaste can't be put in the bottle kind of moments."

Bloomberg's @tracyalloway.bsky.social on the long-term energy impact of the Iran war.

12 hours ago 76 16 5 0
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The problem isn’t that he’s fired the women. The problem is that he hasn’t fired the men. lnk.thebulwark.com/4n1afn3

12 hours ago 195 28 8 2

Lololololololololol

They fucking dump Bondi on a weekday before 5pm. Patel thinks he’s being canned when he weird nosies in the bathroom.

And Gabbard is allowed 6 months to steal all the intelligence she can and stuff it in a suitcase before she leaves the country for good?

14 hours ago 15 5 0 0

Tulsi Gabbard succeeded in fully compromising and dismantling our various spy agencies so what else could she possibly accomplish? It's like the rapist leaving after the act. Whatever.

14 hours ago 3 1 1 0
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Did Kash Patel read his own lawsuit?

When asked why he was locked out of his computer — as The Atlantic reported and Patel *admitted* in his lawsuit — Patel denied it happened: "I was never locked out of my systems," he just claimed.

What his lawsuit says: buff.ly/JTRuZKf

14 hours ago 1120 276 65 23

a good 75% of the U.S. press operates either in blind fealty or timid normalization of him, yet he's such a narcissistic black hole it's just never enough

22 hours ago 927 187 33 1
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Thom Tillis still refuses to blame Trump for anything: "The problem I have is that some US attorney or assistant US attorney with a dream thought it would be cute to bring Chair Powell under an investigation ... the boss said he didn't know anything about it"

21 hours ago 743 166 103 29

A really easy question to answer, a telling one to get technical on.

21 hours ago 585 87 15 2
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GALLEGO: Earlier today, you told Sec. Kennedy that Trump never demanded you to cut interest rates. Is that your sworn testimony?

WARSH: That is, senator.

GALLEGO: Okay. Well someone here is lying then. Because Trump confirmed he pressed you on interest rate cuts.

20 hours ago 4445 1321 156 55

Warsh: ha-ha, students are vacuous snowflakes who run to authority to maintain their status
Also Warsh to any question where a factual answer might displease Trump: Sir, that is a great unknowable I could not possibly comment on.

18 hours ago 686 124 13 2

This cult-like behavior among people being considered for important positions should be disqualifying. Mullin got confirmed in spite of giving a similar non answer.

18 hours ago 855 179 27 2
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ELIZABETH WARREN: Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?

KEVIN WARSH: Uhm, we try to keep politics if I'm confirmed out of the Federal Reserve

WARREN: I'm just asking a factual question

WARSH: I believe this body certified the election

WARREN: That's not the question I'm asking

21 hours ago 5868 1515 495 313