Hi @moreincommonuk.bsky.social @luketryl.bsky.social - could you clarify what is meant by the high/middle/low scenarios in this report? Assume turnout?
www.moreincommon.org.uk/media/p43ake...
Posts by Ellen Gibson
Map of the 2022 Local Election in Greater London. All 1,817 seats are up again in under three weeks.
2022 Result [Seats | Votes]:
LAB: 1,156 | 42.1%
CON: 404 | 25.9%
LDM: 180 | 14.4%
GRN: 18 | 11.9%
Oth: 59 | 5.7%
Feel like this misses a big part of the picture of why young ppl feel like this which is housing costs relative to pay. It's not just a perception gap - people's disposable income is being demolished by high rent and high house prices, even if technically their salaries are higher.
The war on Iran has laid bare our overreliance on fossil fuels, but North Sea drilling is not the answer – clean energy is.
Drilling in the North Sea won’t make energy cheaper, despite what Badenoch or Farage say, because the price of gas is set by international markets. [1/2]
Cliftonville (Kent) Council By-Election Result:
🌍 GRN: 38.8% (+26.7)
➡️ RFM: 33.1% (-7.0)
🌳 CON: 15.2% (-4.5)
🌹 LAB: 10.4% (-11.6)
🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New)
🔶 LDM: 1.2% (-1.9)
No Ind (-3.0) as previous.
Green GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2025.
The wonderful world of the British political-media ecosystem, where you can hold entire events about trends you've made up and which experts - who are crucially not invited - have debunked multiple times.
"Previous research has shown adults walking or cycling are 14% more likely to die in a collision when the car involved is an SUV; children are 77% more likely. For children under 9, the risk of fatality is three times higher if struck by an SUV."
Just ban these killing machines.
Was Olivia Smith mentioned?
On the 7th May, millions of us will go out to vote in the UK’s biggest elections since 2024. This is the best chance we’ve got to turn the tide against the far right and elect candidates who stand for real change.
👉 tinyurl.com/myelectionma...
Let’s elect hope this May.
I don't think calling the people who voted for the nice woman who thinks working hard should grant you a decent life unhinged extremists is going to work out brilliantly for Labour.
leo laughing
me since 5am
Meme from the Simpsons of Principle Skinner saying 'Am I out of touch? No, it's the children who are wrong'
Entire British establishment today
Get in loser we're creating a nightmare scenario for the incumbent government
Has there ever been a more graceless and divisive concession?
Showing exactly why voters in Gorton and Denton rejected him tonight
HOPE WINS @greenpartyhan.bsky.social
People-power has sailed the Greens to victory. This is proof that when we get organised, we win.
A vision of a world where everyone can thrive is more powerful than the far right’s hatred and division.
And far more popular.
🧵
Left it very late, but I finally wrote up my thoughts on tomorrow's Gorton & Denton by-election and why everyone should be hoping for a Green win.
It's a LinkedIn post (🤮) because I'm the only person on here without a Substack.
Read it here: www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-ev...
The untold story that is told constantly and isn’t really true
Don’t know how many more examples it’s going to take for people to realize that billionaires are an existential threat to democracy and its institutions.
Now that Israel has admitted the Gaza death toll is accurate, don’t let apologists move the goalposts | Ben Reiff
A new poll finds that 1 in 4 Minnesota voters took part in the Jan 23 shutdown against ICE, or have a loved one who did. Of those, 38% DID NOT WORK, either because they made the choice to stay out, or their workplaces closed. By me, @thomasbirm.bsky.social, @bloomekatz.bsky.social
Just started doing new data analysis and I know I keep saying this, but: I really, really don't think people appreciate how much this moral panic was a deliberate and extremely expensive invention.
Jenrick defection probably the dumbest thing he could have done. He could have been the top race science guy in the tory party, but now he's going to be a run-of-the-mill race science guy who needs to impress guys who believe a secret sect of Brown people control the traffic lights
Imagine having leaders who believe their job isn't running for office merely for the sake of having their name plate on a door but actually enacting an agenda.
It is happening with zero scrutiny. The government will not push back. The broadcasters will not interrogate. It is unbelievable how easily it is all sliding away.
BREAKING: We're outside Parliament with cross-party MPs ahead of #Budget2026 to ask - Rachel Reeves, why won't you tax their wealth?
If this govt refuses to tax the super-rich tomorrow they are making a huge mistake.
📢📢📢 Migrant Workers’ Rights – National Emergency Demonstration
📌Saturday 13 December, 12PM
📌Birmingham City Centre (Shabana Mahmood’s constituency)
Stand up for our neighbours - your salary DOES NOT define your contribution to the UK!!
@regulariseuk.bsky.social
Oh
That's less than the number of votes won by the independent and Green candidates combined. Feels very doable!
Shabana Mahmood held her Birmingham seat by 3000 or so votes in 2024, by the way
BREAKING: 80+ young people are outside the Treasury right now to tell Rachel Reeves: make tax the super-rich PAY UP - or step down.
This Budget, it's time for Reeves to pick a side: us or the billionaires.
For wealth taxes to fund investment in a better future.