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Posts by Josh You

i would react the same way, but I'm not a politician

2 days ago 0 0 0 0

that's basically how big shopping malls work in comparison to strip malls right?

obviously the desirability depends on what you are walking through

5 days ago 2 0 1 0

transit involves more walking at the ends though

5 days ago 4 0 1 0
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spongebob says he poisoned our water supply and burnt our crops ALT: spongebob says he poisoned our water supply and burnt our crops
1 week ago 0 0 0 0
2 weeks ago 14 0 0 0

and I don't know exactly how compute-intensive this stuff actually is, a cynical theory would be that they only need like 10% of their millions of GPUs to do the recommenders and the revenue growth gives Zuckerberg a leash to do a giant superintelligence vanity project

bsky.app/profile/epoc...

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
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AI Is Accelerating Tech Giants’ Dominance of the Ad Market An increase in targeted ads is helping to fuel revenue growth and easing some concern about the technology’s impact.

I think finance types tend to buy this story because Meta is in fact growing its ad revenue pretty quickly from a very high baseline. And seems like a similar case for Google.

www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-i...

2 weeks ago 2 1 1 0

Meta likes to talk up AI's impact on its ad revenue. Unclear to me exactly what a rigorous counterfactual analysis would say.

s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/fi...

2 weeks ago 3 0 2 0
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I think Meta very plausibly makes more money from AI than either OpenAI or Anthropic at the moment due to whatever multiplier on ad revenue they're getting from transformer-based recommender systems (only needs to be 10-15%). But doubt that scales forever with growing model capabilities/compute.

2 weeks ago 4 1 1 0

"make commoditized open models to boost FB/Insta engagement slightly" looks like a less plausible business model to stay on the frontier as costs escalate

2 weeks ago 4 0 2 0

Nvidia has a ton of money in a way that will predictably scale with the frontier model business. So maybe they can keep up somewhat though I doubt making (open) models will ever be a huge priority for them

2 weeks ago 4 0 1 0

yeah it's possible open/closed model compute will diverge.

in 2024 a tech giant like Meta could train a frontier scale model kinda just for fun

when you need a huge, AI-specific business model to afford to be on/near the frontier, question is what are the returns to open models

2 weeks ago 6 2 1 0

i'm not sure if "the flashbacks are happening in real time" was clear

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

yes

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

When I started reading the book someone told me there was a super shocking plot twist. When I got to it, I thought "wow that was a great plot twist". It was obvious which scene they meant. If you've only seen the movie, can you guess which scene this was?

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Project Hail Mary was a great movie but the most dramatic moment in the book didn't translate well to the adaptation, maybe due to the constraints of the medium.

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0
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I hereby request that Attie do this

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

YOU'RE NOT THE SAME YOU'VE CHANGED I DON'T NEED YOU ANYWAY

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

:( that's rough

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Happy March 15. Here is my favorite Ides of March meme:

1 month ago 14328 3660 40 111

presumably because they're Chinese. so some question of whether they'd be able to carefully vet the wording of the response.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

I think it's very funny that he calls him "Jeff Epstein".

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

maybe DoD uses Sonnet 4.5 on a secure AWS cloud, and Sonnet 3.5 or 3.6 running on DoD servers for higher classification levels.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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Josh You on X: "the pentagon is still on sonnet 4.5 BTW https://t.co/7wDGwOxTNi" / X the pentagon is still on sonnet 4.5 BTW https://t.co/7wDGwOxTNi

Anthropic says Claude Gov primarily runs on Sonnet 4.5. Pentagon specifically could be using an older model but Anthropic explicitly describes Gov with 4.5 as a national security product.

x.com/justjoshinyo...

1 month ago 2 0 1 1

it was supposed to come out on lunar new year!

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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US natgas prices climb 3% on big storage withdrawal, US-Iran war energy supply concerns U.S. natural gas futures climbed about 3% on Thursday on a bigger-than-expected storage withdrawal, forecasts for higher demand this week than previously expected, and soaring global energy prices as ...

US gas is up 3%

www.reuters.com/business/ene...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

would it affect domestic power prices? i thought US LNG exports were constrained by infrastructure not global demand.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

also this is on the second floor of an apartment building

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

i'm curious about the resulting ecosystem, such as it were. I asked them if there were any earthworms and they said no but they have centipedes.

1 month ago 4 0 2 0

I've decided to commit to memory the square roots of the human population of the United States (~18,000) and of the world (~90,000). This will come in handy.... I think

1 month ago 5 0 1 0