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Posts by Christian Weller

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Another Fed paper finds Americans paid almost all Trump's 2025 tariffs ("pass-through of realized tariffs into import prices was close to one hundred percent"), AND that local labor market effects were "economically negligible."

All pain, no gain. www.richmondfed.org/publications...

2 days ago 260 105 8 8

To be clear, there is money to be made (and losses to be minimized) fir those who can figure out climate risks more accurately.

4 days ago 1 0 0 0

aaaand here's another (jp morgan chase):

for all the headlines about how finance doesn't care about climate anymore (there are many) the job postings are saying the opposite--they've truly never cared this much before

4 days ago 89 35 4 2
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“So, for most people, what they’re paying in tariffs is going to outweigh what they might have saved on taxes on tips or the tax on overtime.” @deanbaker13.bsky.social  tells  @salon.com @rpaynereport.bsky.social www.salon.com/2026/04/15/tax-refunds-a...

5 days ago 17 7 0 0
Postdoctoral Research Fellow (100%, E 13 TV-L)

Post Doc at Uni Tübingen! 100% position for 3 (+3) years; they're looking for somebody to analyze large-scale longitudinal datasets in education research.

Expertise in machine learning is an advantage, commitment to research transparency desirable 😌 proficiency in German beneficial but not required

1 week ago 56 51 2 0

A good opportunity for advanced grad students working on Europe to get feedback and meet peers. Apply or share it with your students ✌️

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1 week ago 2006 683 22 4
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“.. The economy is tough right now. .. people are trying to be creative.”

@yahoofinance.com @scottlincicome.bsky.social
finance.yahoo.com/economy/poli...

1 week ago 420 128 23 13

Happy Rice Truck Saga Day to all who celebrate.

1 week ago 7 0 0 0

I’ll be on C-SPAN tomorrow at 8 am eastern discussing the president’s budget request. Be sure to tune in!

1 week ago 37 6 0 0
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The AI job loss story is all about bundles Evidence on white-collar work displacement is beginning to match the theory

New Fed paper by Crane & Soto uses official labor force survey data and finds that 500,000 fewer coders are working than pre-LLM trends would predict. Hits entry level, not senior workers.

@jburnmurdoch.ft.com piece: www.ft.com/content/b69f...

1 week ago 63 26 1 2

It's fascinating what gets MAGA riled up. War crimes are okay but blasphemy no longer is.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

Job: Research Associate post in Comparative Politics research group

1 week ago 3 3 0 0
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Wall Street is booking record profits from war-driven market volatility.

1 week ago 15 2 1 1

Spent some time in Hungary for my dissertation research. Loved the country and its people. This is a great thread explaining Magyar's victory. Winning against corrupt authoritarians is possible.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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Wall Street banks set to report $40bn trading haul as Iran war rekindles volatility Five largest US lenders expected to unveil highest combined trading revenues since at least 2014

Wall Street banks set to report $40bn trading haul as Iran war rekindles volatility ft.trib.al/GeDZxf8

1 week ago 16 7 0 1

I imagined this to be an all hands on deck situation, given the human and economic toll of the war with Iran. Apparently, I was mistaken

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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‘A dream come true’: Brazil’s blue-and-yellow macaws return to Rio after 200 years An ambitious ‘refaunation’ project is bringing the much-loved birds and other lost species back to the city’s national park

The Guardian has been doing a great job covering positive bird news

1 week ago 120 23 1 1

And this is, I think, the X factor we haven't yet accounted for economically. The asshole markup. When you alienate your trading partners, they don't feel obligated to cut you the best deals anymore. They're going to seek out new markets instead and cut THEM the best deals. 4/

1 week ago 547 93 7 8

You know what would be amazing, if Vance can negotiate an agreement where Iran doesn't enrich above 3.67% (far below weapons grade); gets rid of 98% of its stockpile of uranium; has weekly inspections by the IAEA; and commits to all of this for at 10 years. Oh, yeah, that was the Obama Iran deal.

1 week ago 3575 801 47 28
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Trump Was Watching a U.F.C. Fight in Miami While Iran Talks Collapsed

Really well-observed, cutting account of Trump watching a UFC bout while talks collapse in Iran: www.nytimes.com/2026/04/11/u...

1 week ago 1552 401 78 53
pic of Dana White, Rubio, and Trump

pic of Dana White, Rubio, and Trump

Secretary of State Marco Rubio at UFC in Miami tonight as diplomatic negotiations with Iran fail

(Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AFP via Getty)

1 week ago 5915 1662 855 720
One of Saturn's small inner moons from two angles. It looks like a ilttle circular ravioli or pirogi. This one is named Pan, which is also something you could cook a ravioli in.

One of Saturn's small inner moons from two angles. It looks like a ilttle circular ravioli or pirogi. This one is named Pan, which is also something you could cook a ravioli in.

why didn't anybody tell me that saturn has "ravioli moons"? WHY DIDN'T THEY TELL ME ABOUT THE RAVIOLI MOONS?

1 week ago 791 148 22 21

Utrecht University is hiring an Assistant Professor in Statistics and Social Data Science - great opportunity for scholars working at the intersection of advanced statistical methods and computational social science research. #AcademicJobs #ComputationalSocialScience

uu.nl/en/organisation/worki...

1 week ago 16 29 0 0
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Despite Apocalyptic Warnings, California Fast Food Wage Hike Didn’t Kill Jobs UC Berkeley study finds employment held steady — and only pennies were added to menu prices.

So it turns out paying people a living wage doesn’t collapse the economy; it’s almost like the rich have been lying to us to maintain their power over our lives.

1 week ago 9593 2969 222 135
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Have central banks (through end-2025) diversified out of the US dollar? Yes, no, and "it depends" #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

1 week ago 10 6 1 0
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Today marks 58 years since the Civil Rights Act of 1968 was signed into law by Lyndon B. Johnson, prohibiting discrimination in the sale, rental, and financing of housing.

It combated practices like redlining, which denied Black Americans access to mortgages and homeownership.

1 week ago 389 193 12 9

I was wondering whether they still had their signs up. This is just saying "I only belive lies".

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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Why China Should Boost its Lending To Developing Countries - The Wire China China's retreat from lending to developing countries has come at precisely the wrong time for the global economy.

Op-Ed: "As the country faces decoupling from Western markets, it is in China’s interest to revive financing to the developing world to help create new market opportunities."

@kevinpgallagher.bsky.social and Rebecca Ray write for this week’s issue of The Wire China:

1 week ago 0 2 0 0
Our home planet, the only place in the galaxy that doesn’t suck

Our home planet, the only place in the galaxy that doesn’t suck

The last time human eyes were far enough from Earth to see the whole globe was December 1972.

www.nasa.gov/image-detail...

2 weeks ago 836 183 15 30
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