This image shows gauges with the Mar 28 - Apr 10, 2026 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. From left to right:
Canada: HIGH - 6.7
Alberta: HIGH - 6.3
British Columbia: MODERATE - 4.0
Manitoba: HIGH - 6.2
New Brunswick: HIGH - 6.6
Newfoundland & Labrador: MODERATE - 4.7
North: HIGH - 6.2
Nova Scotia: HIGH - 6.6
Ontario: HIGH - 6.9
Prince Edward Island: VERY HIGH - 10.9
Quebec: HIGH - 8.2
Saskatchewan: HIGH - 7.3
A text box reads: 'The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).'
Canadian COVID Forecast: Mar 28 - Apr 10, 2026
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, MB, NB, North, NS, ON, QC, SK
MODERATE: BC, NL
About 1 in 84 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.