So the argument is - '(relatively) humanitarian wars: but this time, for real!'
Verses, 'humanitarian wars = more conflict, which will ultimately degrade to less humanitarian; and neither the tools nor conflicts go back in their respective boxes'
I'm 2, but 1 curious.
War having many horrific casualties and consequences is a pretty important limit on it, and removing that has unexpected and dynamic outcomes 😑
There's a website of people here who can correct me, but wasn't this one of the (initial) realities and (ongoing) rhetorics of aerial bombing - which then justifed authoritarinan decision-makers to take on seemingly clean and easy conflicts, before then ending up in... mid-40s firebombing of cities?
A standout - this wide view of absolute value of world generation capacity, up to 2024.
Not particularly original, but you can already start to see solar going parabolic 📈☀️
And 🇨🇳's credible 2035 target alone (3.6TW) is two of these graphs stacked on top of eachother.
Energy revolution 🌎🌍🌏⚡
This is an absolute goldmine 🪙⛏️ for assessing the state of the #energy transition
Incredible work by Ember. 👏
The global clean tech boom really is one of the biggest and most consequential economic, environmental, and geopolitical stories of the century. It remains beyond weird that it is so often treated as a second order issue at best. www.businessgreen.com/news/4528514...
Peter mandelsons entire career is like a cursed pharaohs amulet that kills everyone that tries to use its power and every other week some Labour party idiot picks up and goes have we tried using the pharaohs amulet
But what if the amulet was also incredibly ugly (in a deeply metaphysical, non-aesthetic sense)
Few people know that the prisoner's dilemma is so named because we're all trapped in here with these absolute idiots.
Trump's presidential skill is like the Wario version of Washington's skill of being able to retreat in good order from all the battles he lost, so the wins are all that actually count.
Let's go back to oracle bones. We have the technology to throw them pretty far these days.
I'm genuinely interested in the d^2 route to something sensible?
It's going to be pulling £ from loads of sacred cows, while also trying to avoid the Zelensky scenario above where you're walking towards coherence on paper, while handing the keys to Farage in reality.
Feels impossible.
I wonder if the 'Trying to achieve European pensions, for British pensioners, via entitlements not contributions, with this demographic profile, is a choice to fiscally kill important things like: having a Navy' argument actually might have cut through for certain... WWII book demographics 😅
BlueSky must never know they have us by the #hodl.
Mastodon.
And we could all talk about freedom on that other website
'Wait, what... that's McSweeney's theme music...'
Out loud oof for this one.
What Starmer's outriders chose to do with their post-election aura of invincibility (...) is absolutely going to do him in. Rightfully so at this point.
The above not referring to any specific incidence, but the likelihoods for quite a bit of rough stuff are just really quite large now - even with big uncertainty 😑
As a casual observer of the science - and more rigorous observer of the IAM / clim-econ damage function and tipping-points discourse - the error bars seem quite large, but the fact we've moved from 'significant increase in risk [0.75%->2.5%, by 2125]' to 'significant increase [between 10%-45%]' is 🫠
Yeah, the biggest prediction here is the massively motivated non-voter group turning out for loads of different parties - but especially insurgent Reform and Greens.
Doesn't look very plausible at all tbh.
Did you tell them this needs to go back as it makes him look too good?
I don't know if you were *intending* to capture a zeitgeist with this post, butttt...
I think a lot of podcasters in this vein should be interpreted as “reactionary” in the most literal sense that they are extremely vacuous and form their politics by following trends of resentment against whatever they see on social media
More specifically, this industry, which will decide the fate of the world
(also my landlord is my dad, and I only have a small [infeasibly large] trust fund)
Crazy how no one's taking it seriously when this is exactly the circumstance the "IMPOSTER" button was built for. I mean they trained for this
WORLD VIEW 15 April 2026 Why more fossil fuels won’t fix the Iran energy crisis Climate-friendly technologies are the best way to stymie rising inflation — and will get better and cheaper over time. By Gernot Wagner Spend any time discussing solar and wind power as a solution to climate change, and you are sure to encounter someone who asks about reliability. The Sun does not shine at night and the wind does not always blow, so fossil fuels will be needed forever as a back-up, they argue. But how reliable are fossil fuels? In the past two months, conflict in Iran has created an energy crisis — the latest in a series. Oil prices spiked within days of the start of US, Israeli and Iranian bombing in the Gulf region on 28 February. Fuel prices remain high and volatile, and the ripple effects are set to increase inflation in the coming months. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the European Central Bank’s executive board, memorably named this effect fossilflation in the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. There was, and is, one clear winner: renewables and other low-carbon technologies, from batteries to electric vehicles (EVs) and heat pumps. That is what distinguishes this Middle East oil and gas crisis from the Arab oil embargoes of the 1970s. Then, renewables were mostly unavailable, and industrial decarbonization was on few people’s radars. Solar power cost at least 500 times more than it does today, and EVs, heat pumps and induction stoves were a pipe dream. Ditching fossil fuels is not all smooth sailing. In 2022, European natural-gas prices spiked to ten times their levels before the Ukraine invasion, resulting in long waiting times for solar panels and heat pumps. Prices for these rose as demand outpaced supply, an effect Schnabel dubbed greenflation. She used a third term, climateflation, to describe the economic effects of climate-induced weather extremes, such as food-price rises from crop failures (M. Kotz et al. Commun. Earth Environ. 5; 2024).
The Iran War has once again led to a bout of what @isabelschnabel.bsky.social memorably dubbed 'fossilflation'.
It's en vouge to talk about the solution as some massively complex undertaking. It really isn't. Get off fossil fuels faster.
My latest just out @nature.com
rdcu.be/fdxig
New from me: No increase in global coal power generation after Hormuz closure - solar and wind growth covered the fall in gas-fired generation. The record buildout of clean energy in 2025 helped mitigate the impact of the Hormuz closure.