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Posts by Daniel Serwer

Getting rid of what works, and what doesn’t The regime was arguably on its last legs when the Israelis and Americans attacked. It might not survive an end to tension with the West.

Getting rid of what works, and what doesn’t

The regime was arguably on its last legs when the Israelis and Americans attacked. It might not survive an end to tension with the West.

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
Intersections, not convergence The best way to generate international norms for technology is in what we call in international relations an epistemic group of global experts.

Intersections, not convergence

The best way to generate international norms for technology is in what we call in international relations an epistemic group of global experts.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
Statehood and language Albanian as an official language is a right, a reflection of the state’s multiethnic character, and a necessity for a just and sustainable constitutional order.

Statehood and language

Albanian as an official language is a right, a reflection of the state’s multiethnic character, and a necessity for a just and sustainable constitutional order.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
Iran lost militarily but won strategically The war is ending with the strait of Hormuz in Iranian control. The US and the Gulf lost. Iran lost militarily but won strategically.

Iran lost militarily but won strategically

The war is ending with the strait of Hormuz in Iranian control. The US and the Gulf lost. Iran lost militarily but won strategically.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
Trump is desperate, the Iranians are winning Trump is now desperate to end the war before it causes more damage to the world economy. He can't credibly claim victory if Iran owns the strait.

Trump is desperate, the Iranians are winning

Trump is now desperate to end the war before it causes more damage to the world economy. He can't credibly claim victory if Iran owns the strait.

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Iran holds the Trump cards America is not better off now than before the war. Trump should have ducked out by now. He is stuck in a war without an upside for the United States.

Iran holds the Trump cards

America is not better off now than before the war. Trump should have ducked out by now. He is stuck in a war without an upside for the United States.

2 weeks ago 5 1 0 0
Trump has disempowered America Surrender of the strait to Iran and retreat from the Middle East will weaken the US. So too will failure to support Ukraine.

Trump has disempowered America

Surrender of the strait to Iran and retreat from the Middle East will weaken the US. So too will failure to support Ukraine.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
The Iranians can get what they want The Iranians will try to impose unilaterally a permanent toll on passage through the strait of Hormuz. It is going to be hard to stop them.

The Iranians can get what they want

The Iranians will try to impose unilaterally a permanent toll on passage through the strait of Hormuz. It is going to be hard to stop them.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Trump has lost Netanyahu’s war Trump is in peril of losing all but his most loyal voters. No wonder he is trying not only to end the war but also to make voting harder.

Trump has lost Netanyahu’s war

Trump is in peril of losing all but his most loyal voters. No wonder he is trying not only to end the war but also to make voting harder.

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Trump has already lost his Iran war Trump is stuck in a war of his own making. But it is the rest of us worldwide who will pay for his mistake.

Trump has already lost his Iran war

Trump is stuck in a war of his own making. But it is the rest of us worldwide who will pay for his mistake.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
Trump has driven America into a dead end Trump wants to pull the plug. The Israelis don't. And the Iranians are demanding outcomes that neither Israel nor the US can concede.

Trump has driven America into a dead end

Trump wants to pull the plug. The Israelis don't. And the Iranians are demanding outcomes that neither Israel nor the US can concede.

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
Trump wants to pull the plug A year from now, we are likely to be remembering a highly effective military operation that did not achieve its strategic objectives. Or we'll still be at war.

Trump wants to pull the plug

A year from now, we are likely to be remembering a highly effective military operation that did not achieve its strategic objectives. Or we'll still be at war.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
Ending the Iran war well won’t be easy The devil is not only in the details, but in a highly uncertain future. This war was a giant wager. There is a lot to lose on both sides.

Ending the Iran war well won’t be easy

The devil is not only in the details, but in a highly uncertain future. This war was a giant wager. There is a lot to lose on both sides.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Do the Balkans really want EU membership? When the political window opens for Iceland or Ukraine, I hope the Balkan candidates will be ready and willing.

Do the Balkans really want EU membership?

When the political window opens for Iceland or Ukraine, I hope the Balkan candidates will be ready and willing.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Lots of things can still go wrong Even if the war were to end tomorrow, the impact would continue to ripple into the future. There are lots of known unknowns and unknown unknowns.

Lots of things can still go wrong

Even if the war were to end tomorrow, the impact would continue to ripple into the future. There are lots of known unknowns and unknown unknowns.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
It’s about regime change, no doubt The greater powers often excepted themselves from the rules-based order. Now it is in tatters. We are going to miss it when it is gone.

It’s about regime change, no doubt

The greater powers often excepted themselves from the rules-based order. Now it is in tatters. We are going to miss it when it is gone.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
A pattern of quiet ethnic cleansing Recognizing and addressing discrimination against Albanians in Serbia is essential not only for Albanians, but for democratic principles across the region.

A pattern of quiet ethnic cleansing

Recognizing and addressing discrimination against Albanians in Serbia is essential not only for Albanians, but for democratic principles across the region.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Trump chooses regime change by aggression Regime change in Iran is a giant gamble. There is no guarantee that more reasonable people will be able to take power as a result of this war of choice.

Trump chooses regime change by aggression

Regime change in Iran is a giant gamble. There is no guarantee that more reasonable people will be able to take power as a result of this war of choice.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Failure is no only an option Trump's peacemaking week is looking like a bust. The Ukraine war isn't ending, Gaza isn't getting reconstructed, and so far there is no deal with Iran.

Failure is no only an option

Trump's peacemaking week is looking like a bust. The Ukraine war isn't ending, Gaza isn't getting reconstructed, and so far there is no deal with Iran.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
When will the war in Ukraine end? SAIS scholars will try to answer:

When will the war in Ukraine end?

SAIS scholars will try to answer:

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
America’s Iran options aren’t great Unless Iran agrees to unprecedented constraints, or Washington drops its broad portfolio of demands, we are in for a long standoff.

America’s Iran options aren’t great

Unless Iran agrees to unprecedented constraints, or Washington drops its broad portfolio of demands, we are in for a long standoff.

2 months ago 0 0 0 1
The Board of Peace is another Trump scam The Board of Peace is another Donald Trump scam intended to empower himself. The sooner it implodes, the better.

The Board of Peace is another Trump scam

The Board of Peace is another Donald Trump scam intended to empower himself. The sooner it implodes, the better.

2 months ago 3 2 0 0
The Trump through line is unrestrained power Trump should understand that the quickest way to end the Ukraine war is to tighten the sanctions. And give Ukraine everything it needs to win.

The Trump through line is unrestrained power

Trump should understand that the quickest way to end the Ukraine war is to tighten the sanctions. And give Ukraine everything it needs to win.

2 months ago 2 2 0 0
The domestic cures for Trumpmania This move wouldn't necessarily save Greenland, Venezuela, or Iran, but it would slow Trump's perfidies and force him to move towards the center.

The domestic cures for Trumpmania

This move wouldn't necessarily save Greenland, Venezuela, or Iran, but it would slow Trump's perfidies and force him to move towards the center.

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
Stop him before it is too late Trump is hurting American security in the Arctic. He wouldn't know a threat to national security if it fell on the White House.

Stop him before it is too late

Trump is hurting American security in the Arctic. He wouldn't know a threat to national security if it fell on the White House.

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
Color me skeptical but surprise me, please A one-state outcome with unequal rights will prevail. Frustration will increase and boil over, tragically for both Israelis and Palestinians.

Color me skeptical but surprise me, please

A one-state outcome with unequal rights will prevail. Frustration will increase and boil over, tragically for both Israelis and Palestinians.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
Negotiations with Iran >>>>> bombing The US and Iran do not have immutable reasons for mutual hostility. A modus vivendi with Israel could yield enormous benefits for Iranians.

Negotiations with Iran >>>>> bombing

The US and Iran do not have immutable reasons for mutual hostility. A modus vivendi with Israel could yield enormous benefits for Iranians.

3 months ago 1 0 1 0
Trump is hurting US security in the Arctic EU members and other democratic states should get their act together to pre-empt Trump's next moves in Greenland. He is their adversary, not their friend.

Trump is hurting US security in the Arctic

EU members and other democratic states should get their act together to pre-empt Trump's next moves in Greenland. He is their adversary, not their friend.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Greenland’s defense should not be American Europe Plus needs a policy of resolve. A first demonstration of such a policy would be a preventive deployment of European and allied forces to Greenland.

Greenland’s defense should not be American

Europe Plus needs a policy of resolve. A first demonstration of such a policy would be a preventive deployment of European and allied forces to Greenland.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

They know it was murder and are trying to ensure he is not prosecuted, so more ICE murderers can act with impunity.

3 months ago 1 0 0 0