Did Phil take a look at the potential for another SSW event in the near future to indicate a prolonged winter? Maybe. Just maybe...

Unbelievable footage from NOAA’s Hurricane Hunters inside the eye of Hurricane Erin.

Simply incredible.

Rapid attribution studies are often incomplete. Study doesn't account for the broadening of the dry season into mid-winter, which leads to increasing likeliness of overlap with offshore wind season (and the probably of encountering the dry hot 100 mph Santa Ana winds that played such a key role).

Chart showing the snowiest days on record for Erie.

November 29th was the snowiest day on record for Erie. ☃#PAwx

Looks like a nice setup across New Mexico today. Later this afternoon, I expect a couple of supercells across south-central and southeastern New Mexico and a modest tornado chance. I am not able to get out there myself today so here are my thoughts on the forecast: (thread!)

Thanks to a cut-off upper level low sitting over the four corner states, we have quite the light show over New Mexico today. Our Earth Networks Total Lightning Network (ENTLN) picking up a handful of strikes.

Impressive visualization of power outages caused by Hurricane Helene, and the amazing restoration work by linemen.

Max customers out at one time: 4.79 million
Total customers Affected: Over 7.4 million

That is one beefy high pressure system over the East this mid-October. Any tropical activity that wants to form in the Caribbean would steer clear of mainland U.S. and take a westward track. Enjoy the beautiful fall days ahead. 🍂

Comparing accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) during the typical peak 30-day period, to the total ACE excluding that period, for every Atlantic hurricane season on record.

2024, a clear outlier, had one of the quietest peak seasons ever, while still managing the 4th highest "off-peak" ACE on record.

Line graph time series showing daily Arctic sea ice extent in the Canadian Arctic for 2024 compared to each year from 1979 to 2023. There is a large seasonal cycle on this graph and a long-term decreasing trend for days during the melt season from May to November. 2024 is current an outlier for this time of year in mid October.

Uhh, just waiting for sea ice to begin expanding across the Canadian #Arctic Archipelago... 🥴

Data from nsidc.org/data/seaice_...

Posted by NWS Sioux Falls...this is a terribly dry map.

Huge precipitation deficits since September 1. No surprise that drought is expanding and worsening.

Line graph time series of 2024's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with white for the 1980s, green for the 1990s, blue for the 2000s, and purple for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2002 to 2022. 2024 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between August and November by looking at the decadal average line positions.

Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 3rd lowest on record (JAXA data)

• about 830,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 2,090,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 3,140,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 3,470,000 km² below the 1980s mean

Plots zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

A comet in the evening sky hovers over tree-covered hills with fog filtering in between them. A rocky waterfall sit at the bottom left.

#comet C/2023 A3 gracing the evening sky over Turner Falls. This is #Oklahoma.