My rough calcs:
A) GW32 self sabotage (-3*)
B) BB33 minus BB36 gain (+9)
C) FH34 gain (+4)
D) WC35-38 loss (-3)
A overblown
C never mentioned
*Impact a little bigger for the tiny minority who can get to triple Arsenal, double United, double Liverpool, Thiago, Bowen
Re prob dists - is it broken down along these lines anywhere?
Slot vs. Moyes
Outcomes:
ww a% vs. b%
wd c% vs. d%
dd e% vs. f%
wl g% vs. h%
ld i% vs. j%
ll k% vs. l%
Clean Sheet:
0 m% vs. n%
1 o% vs. p%
2 q% vs. r%
Goals:
1 s% vs. t%
2 u% vs. v%
3 w% vs. x%
4 y% vs. z%
5 aa% vs. bb%
The 245th Merseyside Derby has been postponed due to weather conditions 🔵
Expected involvement per 90 away from home:
🔵 Palmer: 0.77
🔴 Salah: 0.96
Expected goals against per game at home:
🔴 Southampton: 2.55
⚫️ Newcastle: 1.40
#FPL #FPLCommunity
Cody Gakpo's goal today vs. Man City (xG: 0.96) ranks as the 5th highest chance of the PL season out of 3471 shots
Brennan Johnson's strike last week vs. Man City (xG: 0.98) holds the top spot
Expected returns last 6
Wissa £6.1m 8.9% vs. Mbeumo £7.8m 40% 🐝
LEI: 0.67 vs 0.05 (Wissa wins)
eve: 0.96 vs 0.09 (Wissa)
BOU:,0.69 vs 0.28 (Wissa)
ful: 0.00 vs 0.00 (Tie)
IPS: 1.08 vs 1.05 (Wissa)
mun: 0.00 vs 0.10 (Mbeumo)
Wissa 4, Mbeumo 1, Tie 1
Wissa: 3.40 ⚽⚽⚽⚽ 🅰️
Mbeumo: 1.57⚽⚽ 🅰️
#FPL
Attacking stats vs upcoming opponents
xG/90, xA/90
Opponent xGA/game
Haaland 1.11, 0.07
vs LIV 1.03
Salah 0.72, 0.35
vs MCI 1.56
João Pedro 0.54, 0.39
vs SOU 2.37
Palmer 0.44, 0.50
vs AST 1.50
Saka 0.34, 0.69
vs whu 1.90
Mbeumo 0.32, 0.23
vs LEI 2.38
Cunha 0.30, 0.32
vs BOU 1.54
#FPL
Mo Salah vs Man City
Total matches: P21, W7, D6, L8
Goals: ⚽ 11, Assists: 🅰️ 6
Premier League: P14, W3, D6, L5
⚽ 7, 🅰️ 4
Champions League: P2, W2
⚽ 2, 🅰️ 1
FA Cup: P2, W1, L1
🤷♂️
EFL Cup: P1, L1,
⚽ 1
Community Shield: P2, W1, L1,
⚽ 1, 🅰️ 1
#FPL #FPLCommunity
Erling Haaland vs. Liverpool
Total matches: P7, W1, D2, L4
Goals: ⚽ 3, Assists: 🅰️ 0
Premier League: P3, W0, D2, L1,
⚽ 1
Champions League: P2, W0, D0, L2,
⚽ 1
EFL Cup: P1, W1, D0, L0,
⚽ 1
Community Shield: P1, W0, D0, L1
🤷♂️
Note: Champions League matches were for RB Salzburg
3️⃣ Solanke (Spurs) vs. Brentford
xG: 0.82
Close to the line but Solanke doesn't have much time to react?
youtu.be/ThWUtAHOyhs?...
2️⃣ Evanilson (Bournemouth) vs. Newcastle
xG: 0.82
Another massive miss—on paper. Does it feel like 0.82? youtu.be/WZqmRj4WdWg?...
Biggest xG misses of the season so far. These should all be easier than penalties in theory.
1️⃣ Soucek (West Ham) vs. Villa
xG: 0.92
A decent chance at the death www.youtube.com/watch?v=xN7O...
Selected midfielders non-penalty expected returns per 90
Saka £10.1m | 1.03 | ⚽ 3 🅰️ 7
Semenyo £5.7m | 0.72 | ⚽ 4 🅰️ 1
B. Fernandes £8.4m | 0.66 | ⚽ 2 🅰️ 4
Rogers £5.4m | 0.58 | ⚽ 3 🅰️ 2
Mbeumo £7.9m | 0.46 | ⚽ 8 🅰️ 1
Smith-Rowe £5.8m | 0.44 | ⚽ 3 🅰️ 2
Mbeumo higher with pens
#FPL #FPLConmunity
Popular forwards ordered by NPxG+xA/90:
Jiménez £5.8m | 1.00 | ⚽ 4 🅰️ 2
Watkins £9.0m | 0.90 | ⚽ 5 🅰️ 2
Pedro £5.5m | 0.80 | ⚽ 3 🅰️ 1*
Jackson £7.9m | 0.78 | ⚽ 6 🅰️ 3
Isak £8.5m | 0.71 | ⚽ 4 🅰️ 2
Cunha £6.8m | 0.61 | ⚽ 5 🅰️ 2
*Pedro limited minutes
#FPL
Top 10 goalkeepers up to GW11 🔝🧤 See how points break down into clean sheets, saves, bonus etc. #fpl #FPLCommunity
Great stuff - really apprecaite it thanks!
Hi Dan, Wondeful work you are doing. So helpful
If any chance I could be added that would be great. I had lapsed on twitter but planning on starting again now we are on a better platform
bsky.app/profile/fpls...
x.com/fpl_shiny