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Posts by Niclas Poitiers

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Europe’s dependence on US foreign military sales: evidence for policy makers from a new database Public concerns about Europe’s dependence on the United States military industrial base have increased with the worsening security situation in Europe and the deterioration of the transatlantic rel...

New article with @juanmejinoecon.bsky.social : Europe’s dependence on US foreign military sales: evidence for policy makers from a new database (first 50 downloads without paywall) www.tandfonline.com/eprint/JV94K...

2 weeks ago 3 1 0 1
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❗ LAST CALL FOR APPLICATIONS!

Bruegel is looking for:
1️⃣ Research Assistants on all areas of economic research.
2️⃣ a Research Assistant on Energy and Climate.

Deadline for applications: Sunday 29th March 2026, 23:59 CET
Expected starting date: 01 September 2026

🔗 Apply here: buff.ly/4hEcomK

3 weeks ago 1 4 0 0
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❗CALL FOR RESEARCH ASSISTANTS❗

Bruegel is looking for:

1️⃣ Research Assistants on all areas of economic research.

2️⃣ a Research Assistant on Energy and Climate.

📑 Deadline for applications: Sunday 29th March 2026, 23:59 CET

🔗 Interested? Apply here: buff.ly/4hEcomK

1 month ago 3 3 0 0
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Dependence on fossil fuels, not on the United States, is Europe’s worry The US has replaced Russia to a great extent as an energy supplier to the European Union, but this has not so far created a new vulnerability

🆕@bruegel.org analysis "Dependence on fossil fuels, not on the United States, is Europe’s worry”
US leverage over the EU is far smaller than Russia’s in 2021, but persists indirectly via EU’s fossil-fuel dependence
1/5
www.bruegel.org/analysis/dep...
@bmcwilliams.bsky.social @gzachmann.bsky.social

1 month ago 12 10 1 2
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Five reasons why attacking the EU carbon market is economic self-sabotage When discussing the EU emissions trading system, policymakers should remember five risks of undermining the system

www.bruegel.org/first-glance...

1 month ago 59 29 2 4

The inability of Germany to create a decent private pension product for the masses is mind-blowing.

In the 2000s, *maybe* we didn't know how, not enough precedents. But now? Literally next door. 🇳🇱🇸🇪

1 month ago 92 21 10 0

Industrial accelerator act delayed…until March. Rejected by 9 DGs and von der Leyen

2 months ago 2 2 0 7
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💪 One million Europeans work in clean tech jobs. That is 2 jobs per 1,000 people and twice the level of 2010.

But clean tech employment varies across countries - Lithuania leads with 5.4 jobs per 1,000 people.

Find out more in our European Clean Tech Tracker (link in the comments).

2 months ago 12 5 2 0
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🏭 ‘Made with Europe’ not ‘Made in Europe’ should guide EU industrial policy

💡 Read the First Glance by Ignacio García Bercero,
@bmcwilliams.bsky.social, @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and @tagliapietra.bsky.social

🔗 www.bruegel.org/first-glance...
#EconSky

2 months ago 7 4 0 2
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Today's Eurobarometer survey is a touch gloomy, but the kids are alright

72% are worried about wars, 69% disinformation, 68% hate speech

While 52% are pessimistic about the world's future, 80% of 15-30 yr olds are optimistic about their future, 65% about the EU, 50% the world

2 months ago 12 3 2 0

This time, Europe’s leaders played the EU-US trade game well.

From the Franco-German tough line to Meloni’s off-ramps, backed by a credible €93bn retaliation threat, they made escalation for Trump costly, and de-escalation easy.

Markets and US politics did the rest — Rutte scoring on the assist.

3 months ago 191 57 10 4

I think deterrence... worked. Europe's response was actually strong. They sent forces to Denmark, they threatened to retaliate with tariffs, they talked about selling US debt, they made markets nervous and it looked like Trump TACO'd... for now.

3 months ago 167 36 11 6
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European GDP in current USD has just gone up 1%.
1% GDP growth in just 24 hours, who needs Mario Draghi?

3 months ago 53 11 2 0
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The unfortunate consequence of tariffs and the uncertainty they create is that Transatlantic trade is slowly disappearing.

For clean tech products, EU - US exports have fallen by two-thirds this year while imports from the US are down by a half.

european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/vREcWw

3 months ago 6 4 0 0

#BREAKING Trump threatens 200% tariffs on French wine and Champagne over France's intentions to decline invitation to join his Board of Peace
@afp.com

3 months ago 15 6 2 3
A photo of a tomb for Spanish royalty at El Escorial.

A photo of a tomb for Spanish royalty at El Escorial.

The decline of child mortality, in one picture—

Some weeks ago, our colleague @bastianherre.bsky.social went to El Escorial, a royal palace near Madrid. Many of the Spanish kings are buried there, along with their family members.

3 months ago 38 12 1 0

You can discuss many aspects of this data, you may find a different measure that leads to a (slightly) different conclusion. But German negativity is extremely excessive. So the next time when you are confronted with typical German pessimism, use these facts to counter the narrative.

3 months ago 189 15 3 4

A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)

4 months ago 418 163 2 18

Most important is that Ukraine gets the money. Huge deal for EU:
1) if you want to do EU foreign policy, you need EU resources and debt. #EUCO delivered
2) First time this EU debt was decided without unanimity as far as I can remember

www.consilium.europa.eu/media/wqmkno...

4 months ago 43 15 1 2
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There’s gonna be a lot of hyperbolic talk about EU failing to meet the moment, yada, yada. But a 90 BILLION EU loan is a huge step for the EU and Ukraine! Europe just borrowed for war! EU crossed the joint borrowing rubicon. And they can still do the reparations loan in 2026.

4 months ago 83 32 3 2

Here's a quick reminder of the composition of the economy of countries that are all too often perceived as agricultural:
Italy: 65.6% services, 21.7% industry - 2% agriculture
France: 70.4% services, 17.5% industry - 1.4% agriculture
Austria: 65.3% services, 23.1% industry - 1.2% agriculture

4 months ago 26 6 3 3
The Baltic states all doubled their GDP per capita since 2000. Slope chart showing GDP per capita for Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia with data points at 2000 and 2024. In 2000: Estonia $21k, Lithuania $16k, Latvia $15k. In 2024: Lithuania $47k, Estonia $42k, Latvia $39k. Each country’s two points are connected by a line showing roughly a doubling from 2000 to 2024. Data source: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2025). Note: this data is expressed in international dollars at 2021 prices. License: CC BY to Our World in Data

The Baltic states all doubled their GDP per capita since 2000. Slope chart showing GDP per capita for Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia with data points at 2000 and 2024. In 2000: Estonia $21k, Lithuania $16k, Latvia $15k. In 2024: Lithuania $47k, Estonia $42k, Latvia $39k. Each country’s two points are connected by a line showing roughly a doubling from 2000 to 2024. Data source: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2025). Note: this data is expressed in international dollars at 2021 prices. License: CC BY to Our World in Data

GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states since 2000—

Since 2000, GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania (where it has nearly tripled).

4 months ago 75 15 1 2

Is Germany again dragging its feet and undermining a "simple" solution to the Ukraine financing problem, instead pushing the ubercomplex reparations loan?

It's a tempting eurocrisis reflex that if only there were a will in Berlin, there would be a better way.

But there isn't. Here is why:

4 months ago 119 51 4 22

One big topic this week: the #Mercosur agreement. It would be absolutely appaling if the #EU again delayed. France should drop its absurd call for yet another delay. We have been debating this agreement for 25 years and yes, there are lot's of safeguards for special interests already.

4 months ago 42 16 2 3

It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new “euro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US

This view is wrong

A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧵

4 months ago 1164 601 25 90

When we focus on the "brilliance" of unaccountable perpetrators, we are forgoing the brilliance of the young people deterred from their fields

bsky.app/profile/coho...

5 months ago 32 7 1 0
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Bundesbank Head Says EU Must Be Ready to Retaliate Against China Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said he hopes that Europe can overcome trade difficulties with China, but should be ready to take firm action if necessary.

Germany's unlikely new China hawk - president of central bank, has found his wings. Nagel says EU should be ready to retaliate against Beijing

If retaliation is a last resort, “I would say, okay, we have to be strong and have to take a bold decision"

5 months ago 36 10 2 0

This was always a central flaw in the European chips policy: it chased the flashy smartphone chips whereas what Europe industry really depends on is much more mundane

5 months ago 9 6 0 0
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European Council summits are often treated by outside observers as foreign policy-style summits, especially when issues like frozen Russian assets are discussed. But really this is like domestic legislating. There's always haggling. This is how the EU sausage gets made.

5 months ago 24 1 0 0

High time to get rid of the 'bazooka' framing. The ACI is not a magic weapon. It's a new procedural way of threatening retaliation and then imposing it. The effect really depends on the threats the EU is willing to make. Currently we're mainly deterring ourselves with the military analogies.

5 months ago 4 2 1 0