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Posts by Michael Brill

Reckoning With Israel’s ‘One State Reality’ | The Ezra Klein Show
Reckoning With Israel’s ‘One State Reality’ | The Ezra Klein Show YouTube video by The Ezra Klein Show

Today's episode of The Ezra Klein Show.

Reckoning With Israel’s ‘One-State Reality’

The political scientists Shibley Telhami and Marc Lynch discuss Israel’s continued expansion into the West Bank, Gaza and Lebanon.
open.spotify.com/episode/5GcZ...

youtu.be/UPCvEHtBSp0?...

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Congrats! I was glad to be able to listen to you & @stelhami.bsky.social on @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social's podcast. While everyone in Mid-East studies & Political Science knew about you & your work, I imagine a much wider audience does now as well. Thanks also for the book recommendations!

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Israel's Road to Nowhere Shibley Telhami and I joined Ezra Klein in New York for his popular New York Times podcast to talk about our 2023 edited volume The One State Reality, our series of publications in Foreign Affairs about the end of the two state solution, and the harsh and deterioriating realities on

Israel’s Road to Nowhere - on my new article on the failure of Israel’s post October 7 regional strategy, plus our podcast with Ezra.

abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/israels-road...

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Chaldean–Syriac–Assyrian parties in Iraq mourn Anfal victims, demand official recognition - SyriacPress ANKAWA, Kurdistan Region of Iraq — The Beth Nahrain Patriotic Union (Huyodo Bethnahrin Athroyo, HBA), the Assyrian Patriotic Party (Atranaya), and the Assyrian Democratic Movement (Zowaa) issued a joi...

"Hundreds of members of the Chaldean–Syriac–Assyrian people fell victim to these repressive policies and were buried in mass graves, many of which remain undiscovered to this day, stated the parties."

syriacpress.com/blog/2026/04...

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The Open-and-Shut Strait INTELLIGENCE BRIEF # 6 · From April 13–20, 2026

The Open-and-Shut Strait
open.substack.com/pub/redseafu...

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Institute for Future Conflict (IFC)

"Current pLEO constellations have already demonstrated their usefulness to warfighting. The Starlink constellation has enabled Ukraine—a nation with no space-based assets of its own—to use on-orbit capabilities for a wide range of tasks." -Jake Alleman

ifc.usafa.edu/articles/uph...

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National Cold War Center receives $1 million from Pattern Energy - Talk Business & Politics The National Cold War Center (NCWC) announced Wednesday (April 15) a $1 million donation from Pattern Energy in support of the center’s capital campaign and the development of America’s official...

“This project is about more than preserving history — it’s about helping people understand why the Cold War still matters today,” said Christian Ostermann, executive director of the National Cold War Center."

talkbusiness.net/2026/04/nati...

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Waleed Zuaiter Playing Saddam Hussein In TNT Series High Value Target Waleed Zuaiter will play Saddam Hussein in 'High Value Target', the TNT series adaptation of John Nixon’s non-fiction book 'Debriefing the President'.

"Waleed Zuaiter will play Saddam Hussein in High Value Target, the series adaptation of John Nixon's nonfiction book Debriefing the President." @variety.com

deadline.com/2026/04/wale...

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Red Sea Reverberations Red Sea Intelligence Brief #5 - For The Week Ending April 14, 2026

Red Sea Reverberations
open.substack.com/pub/redseafu...

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How Erbil became a safe haven for former Iraqi Ba’athists Every April, Kurdish leaders publicly mourn the victims of the Anfal genocide. Yet, behind closed doors, Erbil has become a sanctuary for the very figures who orchestrated or cheered on Saddam Hussein...

"Every April, Kurdish leaders publicly mourn the victims of the Anfal genocide. Yet, behind closed doors, Erbil has become a sanctuary for the very figures who orchestrated or cheered on Saddam Hussein’s brutal regime." @theamargi.bsky.social

www.theamargi.com/posts/how-er...

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‘Operation Epic Fury’ Isn’t a Repeat of the Iraq War. Here’s How to Tell. The ongoing US air war over Iran has been far more dangerous for US pilots than the bombing campaign against Saddam Hussein’s Iraq in 2003, or Afghanistan in 2001.

"In other words, Iran has already destroyed or damaged more US aircraft in the span of a month than Saddam Hussein’s forces could in all of 2003, or the insurgent groups in the decades that followed." @petersuciu.bsky.social

nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/op...

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How Communism conquered China The Chinese Communist Party defeated its rivals because it was a formidably effective political organisation that captured the hearts and minds of China's elites.

How Communism conquered China | Clark Aoqi Wu

engelsbergideas.com/reviews/how-...

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OPCW Director-General calls for strengthened international efforts to end the Syrian chemical weapons dossier Statement welcomes the launch of the “Breath of Freedom Task Force” and stresses urgency of ongoing mission in Syria

“With passage of time, more than a year after coming to power, the Syrian authorities have gained increasing access to structures, witnesses, actors, documents, & it is expected that they can start proposing to the Secretariat specific elements to declare."

www.opcw.org/media-centre...

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Had Bush and Blair been punished for Iraq war crimes, Iran might have been spared It has been 23 years since the fall of Baghdad - and the parallels with the latest US-Israeli madness are chilling

"The French diplomat Talleyrand noted, when the Bourbon dynasty returned to power after the revolutionary wars, that the French royal family had 'learned nothing & forgotten nothing'. Exactly the same can be said of the US & its allies...."

www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/had-...

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How a Cease-Fire Can Lead to Disaster The first Gulf War’s lessons for what to do—and not do—in Iran.

To avoid repeating the mistakes it made in Iraq in the 1990s, the United States “should offer Iran a path to diplomatic and economic normalization in exchange for compliance with a clear set of demands,” argue Daniel Chardell and @samuelhelfont.bsky.social.

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How a Cease-Fire Can Lead to Disaster The first Gulf War’s lessons for what to do—and not do—in Iran.

I am happy to have written this piece of applied history with Daniel Chardell on what we can learn from the Gulf War ceasefire about today’s war with Iran. www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/how-cea...

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✨ 𝐓𝐨𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐰 — 𝐖𝐞𝐝𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐝𝐚𝐲, 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝟖
Join us for an afternoon of poetry with 𝐇𝐚𝐣𝐣𝐚𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐚𝐧, 𝐚 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 𝐍𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐏𝐨𝐞𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐒𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫.

She will present, 𝙎𝙞𝙡𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙖𝙨 𝙁𝙤𝙧𝙢: 𝙉𝙖𝙫𝙞𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙁𝙤𝙧𝙘𝙚𝙙 𝙄𝙨𝙤𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣 𝙞𝙣 𝙆𝙪𝙧𝙙𝙞𝙨𝙝 𝙋𝙤𝙚𝙩𝙞𝙘𝙨.

📅 𝐖𝐞𝐝𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐝𝐚𝐲, 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝟖
🕛 𝟏𝟐 𝐏𝐌 𝐂𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐥 / 𝟏 𝐏𝐌 𝐄𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧

🔗 𝐑𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫:
zoom.us/meeting/regi...

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"They stood firm against Hussein, so why should they yield to Trump? The late Iraqi dictator & the American president have resorted to almost identical threats." -David Blair @telegraph.co.uk

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/04...

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The US could still try to play the ethnic card in Iran But past experience and current geopolitical realities show such a strategy is doomed to failure.

"Iraq eventually provided arms & finances, enabling the KDP-I to take over some territory & hold it for months,but internal fighting & the brutal campaign Tehran launched through its Revolutionary Guards managed to suppress the rebellion." @ibrahimpasha.bsky.social
www.aljazeera.com/amp/opinions...

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The 1980s Iran-Iraq War should have warned us not to underestimate Iran How this turns out is anyone’s guess, but it appears that the U.S. arrogantly underestimated the enemy’s resilience.

"The unheeded lesson of that war is that Iran is a dangerous foe when cornered." -Greg Wallance @thehill.com

thehill.com/opinion/nati...

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Iran's Not-So-Phantom Tollbooth Treating It As Real Will Make Matters Worse

Iran's Not-So-Phantom Tollbooth
open.substack.com/pub/redseafu...

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A Deadline That Could Change Everything RED SEA FUTURES Intelligence Brief · Issue 03 · Week ending April 7, 2026 ·

Issue 3 of the Red Sea Futures Brief covers week 6 of the Iran War. My contributions were highlighting @wsj.com reporting on US bases & @samuelhelfont.bsky.social's recent piece on sea vs. naval power & current US deficits.

A Deadline That Could Change Everything
open.substack.com/pub/redseafu...

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The Limits of Modern Islamic Political Thought | Alp Eren Topal (Ibn Haldun University)
The Limits of Modern Islamic Political Thought | Alp Eren Topal (Ibn Haldun University) YouTube video by Zahra Institute

Missed our recent lecture with Alp Eren Topal?

The full recording of “The Limits of Modern Islamic Political Thought: The Radical Ideas of Hoca Mehmed Sadik Efendi” — moderated by Mucahit Bilici — is now live.

Watch the full lecture here 👇
youtu.be/2T1Oi0dm07Y

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Breaking Free from “the State of Exception” Since the 2003 American invasion and the toppling of Saddam Hussein’s regime, Iraq has not enjoyed the kind of extended period of stability that might allow the state to move beyond the turmoil that h...

"Since the 2003 American invasion and the toppling of Saddam Hussein’s regime, Iraq has not enjoyed the kind of extended period of stability that might allow the state to move beyond the turmoil that has plagued it since that moment." @jadaliyya.bsky.social

www.jadaliyya.com/Details/4730...

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What the Iran-Iraq war can tell us about the US-Israeli war on Iran Trump and Netanyahu are harbouring the same illusions Saddam Hussein had in 1980 when he invaded Iran.

"The cruelty of the worn-out logic of piling misery onto people’s lives – through bombs, sanctions & assassinations – in the hope of forcing them to topple their government is evident. It did not work for Saddam Hussein; it will not work for Trump & Netanyahu."

www.aljazeera.com/opinions/202...

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The Toll Booth and The Trigger Red Sea Intelligence Brief · Issue 02 · Week ending March 30, 2026

I am honored to be part of this new weekly project with Ethan Chorin and several others for Red Sea Futures. The Iran war has understandably been at the forefront of the first two reports.

The Toll Booth and The Trigger
open.substack.com/pub/redseafu...

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The Iran War and the Energy Lesson We Failed to Learn How many energy crises will it take before we stop betting our economies on a fragile oil market? The U.S. and Israeli war with Iran quickly morphed from

A regional war is now reshaping global energy markets. The system behind it is starting to show its limits.

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Thanks, Michael!

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Iraq's World Cup qualification 'one of the toughest jobs in the world' - Arnold Graham Arnold faces what is arguably the biggest challenge of his coaching career on Tuesday as he attempts to guide Iraq to their first World Cup in 40 years.

"He does not speak Arabic, but clearly understands the enormity of what could happen for Iraq if they can qualify for their first World Cup since 1986." @espn.com

www.espn.com/soccer/story...

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"Sığırcıkoğlu is a Turkish officer accused of delivering two defected Syrian officers to the former regime, Harmoush & Mustafa Qassem, & was sentenced to 20 years in prison."

english.enabbaladi.net/archives/202...

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