To this end, my main worry is that the LLMs are this good at this kind of stuff because it's scraping all the forums, and as the forums get filled with AI responses or people keep getting answers through LLMs, forum posts decline in quantity and value.

Yeah, I had to go like 5 rounds with one error which ended up being entirely because I was doing something in Jupyter through Anaconda instead of base Python, which was nowhere in the error.

And I could have figured this out with enough forum diving, but it would have taken many intolerable hours.

I would never use an LLM to write an entire program, but asking it to change small pieces of code in specific ways (change this dataframe transformation to be in Spark instead of Pandas) or check on an issue with my code (why is this code running this error) have been immense time savers.

There's also a compounding effect here where not only were more traders convinced to Buy the Dip moving forward, but existing money was also reshuffled into the hands of the most easily-duped traders who believe line can only go up (and are probably wildly levered on that assumption).

I don't actually think Evangelicals or anyone else is leaving Trump over the Jesus thing because it was a specific, religious bridge too far.

The MAGA vibes are just rancid right now and people are grabbing whatever fig leaf they need to get out of their associations with it. Which is good.

Not saying this fully explains away your criticism, but the idea of "a transitory change creates a long-term, persistent issue based on deviation from trend" has some precedent, see unemployment following the GFC.

There is an interesting precedent in economics here, which is GDP and recessions, where a massive recession that takes GDP below the previous trend has long-term negative effects in employment until you get back to previous trend, even if the growth rate gets back to a healthy margin.

I cannot actually compare my standard of living to the 1950s directly in any human way (which is why data is very helpful and good), but I can watch the 8 millionth influencer get shoved in my face with a supercar I can't afford (and neither can he, most likely).

You're obviously correct on the data, but I do think one of ways the Doom Box of Algorithms Giving You Anxiety aggravates this is with false comparisons to "everywhere" (the richest or seemingly richest influencers). Keeping with the Joneses on steroids (sometimes literally).

Informal out-of-government civic organizations (like Pride) are an essential check in any democracy of checks and balances, and are to be celebrated and maintained accordingly.

this is a boring take but if we want this from a Dem President in 2029 we need to deliver the type of huge legislative majority Magyar just achieved and not the razor-thin one that Biden was forced to work with.

So, the American authoritarian right has been featuring Orban at CPAC and trying to adopt Orban-esque competitive authoritarianism as a goal, more or less explicitly.

How do we think they respond to today?

And the Evil Rectangle of Brain-Melting Algorithms has only increased the number of comparison points, many at absurd extremes.

Like Physique Inflation, but for lifestyle spend.

I'm at a wedding venue where you can watch trains go by and it's activating my neurons so hard.

Huh. You think the oldheads are more resilient specifically because they remember Reagan?

The problem is, of course, that the 80s were 40 years ago, and that consultant-driven defensive crouch is now more harmful than helpful, but dinosaurs like Schumer and half the caucus he leads don't know another way to politics.

Eh, this overlaps more heavily with the gerontocracy aspect.

A lot of the current caucus actually remembers the Reagan Revolution, which was a very real thing that made it a nightmare to be a progressive for like 30 years, and that defensive crouch was actually very important at that time.

Well, the good news is that the casual assumption that politics can't actually hurt us created by decades of US hegemony and no one alive remembering the Great Depression or World Wars feels like it will be solved imminently. The bad news...

Unfortunately, a lot of elected Dems also over-indexed on "this represents a fundamental realignment of American politics like the Reagan Revolution" and under-indexed on "people were mad about inflation and chose the stove in our decadence" like much of the rest of society.

I feel immensely better about the US knowing that YIMBYism is a rising force across left-wing politics, including the DSA and Dems (but maybe not the weirdest communists, who don't matter anyway).

A conspiracy of cartographers, if you will

it feels very much like the "kamala will send you to war" memes were more about people who disliked a woman giving them orders outside of pornography

Seeing this lie going around again & I just want to remind folks that the reason people tell this lie is not to convince you that it's true, but to revel in the impunity of lying to your face.

What the fuck are you talking about? The Democrats have happily embraced the guy nationally, the only real opposition is coming from local politics dead enders that you can just kind of ignore.

living in New York has made me realize that unions are a stakeholder group like any other: sometimes making reasonable demands and other times just pure rent seeking from taxpayers at the cost of better transit service

Impossible to disagree with a single word that Ben Rhodes (Obama era NSC official) is saying here:

I guarantee you no one in the White House had this on their radar and a bunch of them scrambled to figure it out, which won't matter because this ceasefire won't hold for two days.

Same.

That was a multi-day story. The story where the former top general who served as Trump's chief of staff warned he was an insane fascist got buried on A14 and never mentioned again. In retrospect, perhaps more important than the Walz thing idk.

I'm saying splitting hairs between "advocated for" and "caused" as an argument we can never criticize leftist posters, only the Democratic Party for failing them, is bad faith horseshit.