Lorcana Tools by Zubrin Meta calculator, Swiss tournament simulator, replay analyzer, performance analyzer, and local event finder.

If you encounter any issues, let me know.

The landing page (which will be updated with future tools) is here: ma-allen.com/lorcana/ (7/7)

Lorcana Deck Change Calculator Paste two decklists and instantly see the cards to cut and add to transition between them.

Deck swap (ma-allen.com/lorcana/chan...): post two lists and know what you need to cut/add to change your deck. Also, post two different lists to figure out what cards you need to swap from deck to deck if you have only a playset of each card (thanks, purple). (6/7)

Detailed performance analysis (ma-allen.com/lorcana/anal...): get very detailed stats about your duels play and find out what is working and what is not. Includes session feedback and how card changes may or may not matter. (5/7)

Opponent Deck Scout — Duels.ink Replay Analyzer Upload Duels.ink replays to identify your opponent's deck and cards. Great for BO3 set selection and sideboard prep.

Opponent deck scout (ma-allen.com/lorcana/repl...): upload your CSVs from duels to get a count of cards publicly revealed by your opponent. Also, some stats from your play. (4/7)

Lorcana Swiss Tournament Simulator Monte Carlo simulator for Disney Lorcana Swiss tournament outcomes. Estimate point distributions, tiebreakers, ID safety, and Day 2 qualification odds.

Swiss calculator (ma-allen.com/lorcana/swiss/): simulate what is needed to make a top cut based on assumptions of draws, both intentional and unintentional. (3/7)

Lorcana Meta Calculator Live win rates and EV calculator for every deck in the Lorcana meta. Data from Duels.ink, Lorcanito, and InkDecks.

Meta Calculator (ma-allen.com/lorcana/calc...): pulls data from duels, lorcanito, and inkdecks to show win rates (otp/otd for the digital sites), estimate the best deck given an imputed meta expectation, and simulate a tournament from your results. (2/7)

Lorcana Tools by Zubrin Meta calculator, Swiss tournament simulator, replay analyzer, performance analyzer, and local event finder.

A suite of Lorcana tools for competitive play: ma-allen.com/lorcana/ (1/7)

#lorcana #lorcanatcg

Bradley–Terry Models and Pairwise Comparisons in brms

Whew—it's been a minute since I've written a blog post. But I recently published a paper that seemed like it would lend itself nicely to a new post, so here we are! Before I move on I'll note that this is an abbreviated version of a longer post…

Bradley–Terry Models and Pairwise Comparisons in brms

Whew—it's been a minute since I've written a blog post. But I recently published a paper that seemed like it would lend itself nicely to a new post, so here we are! Before I move on I'll note that this is an abbreviated version of a longer post…

This week's reading list.

"Wars usually end when the fighting nations agree on their relative strength, and wars usually begin when fighting nations disagree on their relative strength." - Blainey 1988.

This week’s planned comic reads:

Dozens Of A-10 Warthogs Appear Poised To Join Epic Fury The deployment of additional Warthogs comes amid increasing signs a ground operation on Iranian soil could come soon. The attack jets would provide additional firepower for a range of operations…

I saw a C-17 land at Gowen on Friday while I was shopping, and it looks like the A-10s are going to Lakenheath (where we toured/interviewed for our research), then to the Middle East to join Epic Fury:

www.twz.com/news-feature...

I'm not going to burn through my Claude quota this week. It can't handle plumbing for me.

‘Star Trek: Starfleet Academy’ to End With Season 2 (EXCLUSIVE) "Star Trek: Starfleet Academy" will end with its upcoming second season, Variety has learned exclusively.

This is a great sadness. Let’s get back to 7 seasons with 22 episodes and give times for characters to actually develop.

variety.com/2026/tv/news...

Sitting on the tarmac in Chicago. Soon #isa2026, I will be there…

Straits of Malacca, Hormuz, and Gibraltar. This tracks.

I get in too late, but definitely encourage anyone who can make this to go. Expand the network.

Great, now I am going on a date with Claude.

The Most Powerful Speech in One Piece (You Won’t Forget This) | ONE PIECE: Season 2) | Netflix “When do you think a man dies? When he is shot through the heart by a bullet? No. When he is ravaged by an incurable disease? No. When he drinks a soup made from a poisonous mushroom? No! A…

Dr. Hiriluk’s final scene in s2e7 hits so well. The whole episode was a rollercoaster.

U.S. Lifts Sanctions on Some Iranian Oil to Get More to Market

At times, I feel like I don't understand how things work. This is a day and a half's worth of global oil consumption, but the goal may be to decrease any domestic pressure by altering global prices. We have (had) 415m in the SPR, so this is about a third of that.

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/w...

Measuring Repression through Restrictions on Civil Society On December 29, 2011, Egyptian security forces raided the offices of several international NGOs, leading to a year-long public trial in absentia for the NGO staff involved. In June 2013, 43 NGO employees were convicted of operating unregistered organizations and accepting illegal foreign funding, with prison sentences ranging from one to five years (Loveluck, 2013). While these organizations had technically violated Egypt’s Law 84 of 2002, which required specific registration guidelines and limited foreign funding, they had worked with tacit state approval for much of the decade preceding the Arab Uprisings (Amnesty International, 2013). However, as the post-revolutionary military regime faced growing domestic pressures throughout 2011, the state decided to enforce the long-dormant regulations and shut down the NGOs. This anti-NGO raid and subsequent trial in Cairo are part of a growing global phenomenon of closing civic space (Carothers & Brechenmacher, 2014; Chaudhry, 2022; Chaudhry & Heiss, 2022a; Dupuy et al., 2021), where states use bureaucratic regulations to repress civil society while avoiding international criticism typically associated with violent human rights abuses. In this chapter, I explore how administrative crackdown presents unique measurement challenges for human rights researchers and suggest ways to address them, informed by my past and ongoing research. What is civil society and why do states repress it? The first challenge in quantifying and measuring civil society repression is defining civil society itself. “Civil society” can be defined broadly as “the arena of uncoerced collective action around shared interests, purposes, and values” (Howell et al., 2008, p. 91), and includes both formal and informal

Cover for Innovations in Human Rights: Concepts, Data, and Measurement

Publication day! Check out my chapter on how to measure restrictions on civil society in the new Innovations in Human Rights book (edited by @kellyzvobgo.bsky.social and Francesca Parente) #PoliSky #PoliSciSky

- Preprint: stats.andrewheiss.com/purple-parrot/
- Book: www.e-elgar.com/shop/usd/inn...

From our FirstView article: Hidden Majoritarianism and Women’s Career Progression in Proportional Representation Systems DANIEL M. SMITH, @AliCirone.bsky.social, @teele.bsky.social, GARY W. COX and JON H. FIVA. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

No Starfleet Academy tonight, so One Piece s2 is my current fill-in now. What if the Federation was just some rubber kid who thought the Venrai Ral had cool flags?

Nampa Mayor Rick Hogaboam dies after medical emergency Nampa Mayor Rick Hogaboam has died after experiencing a medical emergency Wednesday night, according to a statement from his office.The statement asked the comm

Nampa is the 3rd-largest city in Idaho and is just outside Boise. At one point, I was going to Nampa weekly for card tournaments. Hogaboam was a town hall and was 47.

idahonews.com/news/local/n...

Some people can imagine.

Your Morals Depend on Language Should you sacrifice one man to save five? Whatever your answer, it should not depend on whether you were asked the question in your native language or a foreign tongue so long as you understood the p...

Trolley problem: More participants selected the utilitarian choice, to save five by killing one, when using the foreign language than their native tongue (Table 2). The difference between the foreign and the native language condition ranged from 7.5 percentage points to 65 percentage points.

Hey, they said, "could."

YYYY-MM-DD is three things in a cell! I agree with the order though. :)

Ooh, I love some counterintuitive, experimental findings.