Ukraine’s long-range strikes prompt a new Russian threat against Europe Ukraine penetrated Russian airspace with unprecedented numbers of drones to deny Russia windfall oil profits

Russia is renewing its threats against Europe following devastating strikes on its oil infrastructure, suggesting Ukraine is hitting its mark. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

How Greece evicted Hungary from the political centre Kyriakos Mitsotakis started the process that banished Fidesz to the far-right fringe, beating rather than joining it

Orban’s ouster from mainstream European politics began with a Greek bid to eject his Fidesz party from the broad tent of the centre-right. Greece’s stand against collaboration with the far-right comes from its own experience with Golden Dawn. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Russia suffers record losses, manpower shortages, as Ukraine ups drone production Russian casualties are mounting, its recruitment is falling and its territorial acquisitions are dwindling, recently released figures reveal

Russian casualties are mounting, its recruitment is falling and its territorial acquisitions are dwindling, recently released figures reveal. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

China, Greece and Port Geopolitics Greece’s position on the southeast corner of Europe has attracted great-power competition. In 2016, under pressure to privatise assets due to the global financial crisis, the Greek government sold ...

My latest in the IISS magazine Survival on how the US pushed back against a €1bn Chinese investment in Piraeus. US-backed ONEX Shipyards is producing some of the first Greek newbuildings in decades at Elefsis Shipyards. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Ukraine slows Russian advance, liberates land, devastates Russian war chest Ukraine has marked significant victories on the battlefield thanks to burgeoning drone production, and is building up industrial capacity further

Russia is unable to protect its oil export terminals from a Ukrainian onslaught. It has lost two thirds of its rate of advance in 18 months, dissipating the initiative it took in 2024, and may be approaching the point of standstill or retreat in 2026. johntpsaropoulos.substack.com/p/ukraine-sl...

Ukraine fends off increased Russian attacks, strikes Russian oil revenue Russia may have launched an attempted spring offensive, but made no significant gains so far; Ukraine has responded by devastating its oil export terminals

Russia intensified ground assaults on March 17-20 in an apparent effort to launch a spring offensive. Ukraine held the line, and in response to the prospect of higher oil revenues, destroyed an estimated 40 percent of Russian export capacity.
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Greece subsidises Gulf war’s energy cost Greece will spend €307mn to lower household energy costs in April and May, and is pushing for an EU subsidy to save heavy industry, suspending climate concerns

Greece will spend €307mn to lower household energy costs stemming from the Gulf war, and is pushing for an EU subsidy to save heavy industry, suspending climate concerns. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Ukraine sends advisors to Gulf as it counterattacks Russian forces in the south Ukraine may have reclaimed 400 sq km of its territory this year, and is shooting down record numbers of Russian drones

Ukraine may have reclaimed 400 sq km of its territory this year, and is shooting down record numbers of Russian drones. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

From protégé to protector, Greece navigates a multipolar world Greece has lent its lance to more friends and allies than ever before, but it is playing a balancing game among conflicting external influences

Greece is now protecting three countries in addition to itself from Iranian retaliation and reaping the benefits of rearmament, but it is walking a tightrope among conflicting pressures. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Ukraine finds new role as protector of the US and its allies in Gulf war Having abandoned Ukraine, the US has sought its support in defence from Iranian drones

Having abandoned Ukraine, the US now seeks its help to protect its allies in the Gulf from Iranian retaliation. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Greece wins kudos for its defence of Cyprus and the EU Mitsotakis’ bold initiative to send forces to Cyprus has triggered a virtuous cycle among Europeans and paid political dividends

Through a deft act of statesmanship, Greece has shrouded its strategic partnership with Israel and stood up for EU solidarity and defence autonomy. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Europe becoming arms powerhouse despite increased imports, says SIPRI Europe’s imports mainly driven by Ukraine’s needs, but the EU is surging in arms manufacturing and exports, report says.

On europe’s surging arms manufacturing and exports, with thanks to SIPRI’s Katarina Djokic, Anne Applebaum and General Ben Hodges. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/...

Trump and Putin pose as peacemakers in each other’s war as Ukraine gains ground Ukraine won back some of its territory this year for the first time since 2023, while Russian losses are rising

Ukraine won back 257 sq km of its own territory this year - its first successful clawback since 2023, as Russia staggered under mounting losses. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

What drives Trump’s war, and how Greece and Cyprus fit in Trump may have complex reasons for attacking Iran. Greece and Cyprus have simple ones for their own posture

After Iran’s strikes, Greece is rehearsing technology, hardware and its alliance with Cyprus as part of its plans to operate a Shield of Achilles across the Aegean and east Mediterranean. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Ukraine is “definitely not losing” the war, but will allies help it win? asks Zelenskyy Ukraine made limited territorial gains as the war crossed its fourth anniversary and Kyiv celebrated continued independence

Ukraine made limited territorial gains as the war crossed its fourth anniversary and Kyiv celebrated European solidarity. johntpsaropoulos.substack.com/p/ukraine-is...

The Ukraine War in numbers: People, territory, money Whatever success Russia had in conquering Ukraine came in the first month of its full-scale war. Its progress has been broadly downhill since then.

After four years of war, the world’s second-largest military seems to face mounting odds of defeating Ukraine. Russia’s most meaningful gains were made in the first month. Since then, its progress has been mostly downhill. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Ukraine’s patience with US peace effort begins to fray as Russia avoids pressure The US is putting too much pressure on Kyiv and not enough on Moscow, says Ukraine’s Zelenskyy after another inconclusive round of talks

Ukraine expressed its frustration with its ongoing peace talks with Russia and the US this week, saying US pressure was too one-sided against it.

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Mitsotakis pursues the physics of a deal with Turkey Greece’s policy of conciliation tries to lay the conditions for agreements on territorial water, maritime space and reunification of Cyprus

Mitsotakis has tried the path of confrontation with Turkey and found it ineffective. Since 2023 he has tried conciliation and found it is yielding interim dividends, if not final solutions. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Russia faces high casualties, broken communications and a total oil ban Frustrated by setbacks on the ground in Ukraine and peace terms it doesn’t like, Russia has unleashed air assaults on civilians

Russia continues to not win its war in Ukraine, and its problems with casualties, money and its technology gap with the West are mounting. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

In the world crisis, Greece taps Israel for weapons autonomy Greece is navigating the Transatlantic estrangement with deft seamanship, but now seeks to develop its defence industrial base far from the US

Greece is navigating the Transatlantic estrangement with deft seamanship, but now seeks to develop its defence industrial base far from the US. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Ukraine pulls the plug on Russian Starlink, beefs up drone defence Ukraine responded to renewed Russian strikes on energy infrastructure and logistics far from frontlines

Ukraine has evolved its aerial defences in response to relentless Russian strikes and innovations. Now it wants its allies to put more economic pressure on the aggressor.
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New Democracy’s three immigration goals Greece aims for greater control over internal legal processes, border security, and the corralling of right-wing voters

New Democracy is trying to control internal legal migration processes, reassure its allies by securing its borders, and retain the hard-right vote. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Zelenskyy seeks 50,000 Russian fatalities a month to win the Ukraine war Ukrainian forces are almost two thirds of the way there, with 35,000 dead or irrecoverably wounded enemy soldiers in December

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy plans to increase his armed forces’ lethality as part of a strategy to disarm Moscow and turn a deadlocked negotiating table.
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No doubt that’s the plan…

Greece’s potential under the India-Mercosur trade deals Greece can become a net exporter of goods and services, helping to service its debt and create jobs

Greece’s exports to India and Mercosur could rise tenfold, boosting GDP by a point, say experts. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Russia leaves half of Ukraine without power Absent battlefield successes, Moscow is exercising energy leverage against Kyiv to win territorial concessions

Absent any significant military successes on the ground, Russia has decimated Ukraine’s electricity grid to force territorial concessions at the negotiating table. Ukraine is standing firm, backed by Europe.
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Great power confrontation returns to Eleusis US-backed ONEX has plans to overtake Chinese state-owned COSCO in trade, shipbuilding and energy

Great power confrontation is on full display not just in Ukraine, Venezuela, Iran and Davos, but also in the Gulf of Eleusis, 15km west of Athens, where Greek-owned, US-backed ONEX has plans to overtake Chinese state-owned COSCO in trade, shipbuilding and energy. open.substack.com/pub/johntpsa...

Russia creates energy crisis to kill Ukraine ceasefire deal Moscow responded to agreements on security guarantees with a hail of drones and missiles

Moscow responds to agreements on a security guarantees with a hail of drones and missiles.
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I can’t help noticing that Trump’s posts on Truthsocial are interlaced with ads for hair loss, gum disease, diabetes and impotence.

Audit the parties Greece’s major political parties are opaque organisations purporting to bring transparency to public life. That is why they fail.

Greece’s major political parties are opaque organisations purporting to bring transparency to public life. That is why they fail.
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