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Posts by Jurgen Appelo

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The Agent Stack Bet The bet every serious developer needs to make on on their agent stack

"The teams that pull ahead in the next five years will not pull ahead by being smarter at writing boilerplate. They’ll pull ahead by choosing the right agent foundation and spending their engineering hours on the problems only they can solve."

4 minutes ago 0 0 0 0
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How can Enterprises Create their own Agentic AI Evaluation Capabilities? Why agentic systems are outpacing our ability to judge them and how we can evaluate their work effectively rather than just sampling outputs

"Ideally, each organisation should design and run their own capability to observe, test, interpret, and improve agentic systems as they operate, as an ongoing function embedded into how systems are built and run."

6 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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Your Hyperdrive Advantage Solo Operators Building Clunky AI Agent Stacks Now Will Claim a Whole Market Tomorrow

A photo booth entrepreneur runs 20+ AI agents handling quoting, booking, content editing, marketing, bookkeeping. Sounds modest. But that's a labor-heavy local service now scaling across regions with one person.

6 hours ago 1 0 1 0
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Your AI Agent Stack Is Spaghetti—It Should Be Lasagna I'm building a three-layer AI agent architecture for my one-person business

After a year of experimenting with LLMs, my data looked like it had been distributed by a hand grenade across file systems and cloud services. I used Claude, NotebookLM, and Perplexity like a five-year-old uses crayons. Time to grow up.

7 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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From Tyranny to Harmony My Personal Proclamation for Genuine Freedom. With AI Management and Leadership Going in the Wrong Direction, Some of Us Should Be Pushing Back.

Most people think tyranny requires dictators and military parades.

I've seen it in schoolyards, corporate hierarchies, structureless startups, and algorithms that won't explain themselves. We've grown disturbingly comfortable with its presence.

8 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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How to Cope with Uncertainty About the Future Stop worrying about strategy. Start developing your options. Don't make a plan; make a platform.

Excellent data can CREATE business opportunities you weren't even seeking.

If you're not actively listening for signals in the noise, you'll miss the idea that could lift you from the swamp next year.

22 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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16 Second Brain Practices for Solo Operators (2026) Your Human Brain Is Ghosting You: How to Stop Forgetting Your Earlier Decisions.

Spent 30 minutes simplifying a Make scenario. Past Me used three filters where two seemed enough. So I 'fixed' it. Everything broke. Past Me had reasons. Present Me just couldn't remember them.

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
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16 Second Brain Practices for Solo Operators (2026) Your Human Brain Is Ghosting You: How to Stop Forgetting Your Earlier Decisions.

Everyone's published a 'how I built my second brain' article. Full of Obsidian workflows and Claude prompts. I don't care how to build one. I want to know how to use one. Sixteen techniques. No recipes. Just a map.

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
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AI Has Ruined Our Ignorance I Did Something Dumb and I'm Proud of It

Business models look the same. Thinking processes look the same. Pricing tactics look the same. Every startup copies Airbnb's pitch deck. Nobody does anything stupid.

2 days ago 1 0 0 0
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We gained the productivity. Now what? The missing clause that turns AI efficiency into sabotage when leaders refuse to answer the only question that matters

"The only way to secure the promised returns is a hard and verifiable workforce redeployment clause. Leave the social contract blank, and workers will fill it with sabotage."

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Computer agents are going mainstream The AI adoption stat says 88%. Scaled agent are at 5-10%. This is the year that gap closes — not on enterprise roadmaps, but on your laptop.

"Usage data from the major labs shows the growth is not coming from enterprise seats. It’s coming from heavy individual users and small teams inside companies."

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Why Viability Overrides Agility Viability versus agility reveals why long-term business survival matters more than speed

With agility, we aim for acceleration.

With viability, we aim for calibration.

In 2026, nobody wants to accelerate themselves to death.

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Anthropic's Big Swing, Gemini Everywhere All at Once, and OpenAI's Shape-Shift This week in AI: Anthropic ships Opus 4.7, Claude Design and Word integration, Gemini 3.1 Flash TTS tops the leaderboard and lands on Mac, and OpenAI goes horizontal and vertical with Codex and GPT-Rosalind.

"Expectations about productivity are rising, even though how AI actually helps here remains something of a mystery. One thing it does do is increase surveillance, which means employees are under even more scrutiny and pressure."

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Is AI Making Us Lazy?—Our Four Cognitive Options In the age of AI, what happens with our skills is a personal choice. Cognitive decline is only one option. Don't be lazy.

Nobody mourns Rembrandt's pigment-mixing recipes. Most painters buy materials in shops now. So why do we panic when writers offload spelling to machines?

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
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The Age of AI Will Reveal the True Agilists Agile is meant to navigate uncertainty—the Age of AI will separate the winners from the losers. Love it or hate it, the future of work is with AI, not without.

A client wanted 100 copies of my book but couldn't invoice for 'books.' Asked me to inflate my keynote fee, bring the books 'for free.' Corporate budgeting is absurd. But adapting to absurdity is the job.

3 days ago 2 0 0 0
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Forget Downsizing. Try Widesizing. AI shrinks corporate headcount while spawning millions of tiny firms. Welcome to the barbell economy.

Solo work bundles freedom with risk, cash-flow swings, and that charming moment when a client pays three months late while your mortgage remains weirdly punctual.

3 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Clean Up Your Data I use Fibery to consolidate what I know about my readers, customers, and investors

You don't have a "network."

You have a distributed museum of people-you-once-met, curated by SaaS vendors, funded by your subscriptions, held together by hope and the fantasy that you'll "clean this up someday."

3 days ago 1 0 0 0
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You Are Worth More Than You Think How to deal with imposter syndrome and confidently enter negotiations

Most of us systematically undervalue ourselves.

We anchor to historical salaries. We adjust to what we assume orgs can afford. We let imposter syndrome negotiate against us.

You are probably worth more than you think.

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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A Map for Agentic Transformation Dump the maturity model ladder. This agentic transformation map uses 5 organizational archetypes to diagnose where you are.

Tensions between autonomy and coordination, spontaneity and discipline? Those aren't problems to solve. They're features to manage. Organizations thriving with AI agents surf these tensions instead of fighting them.

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Addendum: The Myth of Individual Excellence A Note to Those Who Arrived Angry

"That is the only question worth asking. Not: are these people good enough? But: is this system designed well enough to let good people perform?"

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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TBM 417: Before You Fire All Your Glue People Because of AI (Sometimes I get excited by a topic and write more than once a week.

"People are overthinking how to use AI. I say, very simply, that they should use AI to do the things they know they should do and aren’t doing. Don’t overcomplicate it."

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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My 18-Month Battle With Expert Hallucinations A cautionary tale of how both AI and human experts can be completely wrong

The physiotherapist wrote a book about psychosomatic injuries. So naturally, he diagnosed my hamstring pain as being in my head. When your favorite tool is a psychological hammer, every aching body part looks like a repressed emotion.

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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The Sleepy Agent Boss My five principles for building an AI agent orchestration architecture

E-books about writing e-books. Podcasts about making podcasts. YouTube channels about growing your YouTube channel. Monetized recursion engines are the business model equivalent of a snake eating its own tail.

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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The Advisory Board Squeeze How AI and tighter governance are shrinking the space for advisory boards

AI can summarize a 200-page board pack in minutes. Whether that's efficiency or an admission those pages shouldn't have existed in the first place remains an open question.

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Forget Downsizing. Try Widesizing. AI shrinks corporate headcount while spawning millions of tiny firms. Welcome to the barbell economy.

Everyone stares at downsizing and misses widesizing. They see layoffs at the cathedral and ignore the bazaar springing up outside. Millions of solo businesses launching won't make headlines. Still happening.

5 days ago 0 1 0 0
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Finding Purpose in the Chaos Why embracing uncertainty—and wandering aimlessly for a while—might be exactly what your business needs.

AI evangelists breathlessly declaring AGI by Tuesday get my eye-rolls. Doomsday prophets shrieking about mass unemployment get my pushback. A recovering optimist with trust issues sees both the promise and the bullshit.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Intellectuals are F*cking Idiots Why being smart isn't always a good thing.

"Reality eventually makes a fool of every model. Every model is eventually proven wrong. But some models are still useful. And the intellectuals who cling to their un-useful models in the face of reality are the ones who become the biggest idiots."

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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TTB 1: What is an Organization today? Introducing "Through The Boundary"

"When AI becomes the coordination technology, agents need to understand the commitment structure, dependency map, and capability boundaries. Without explicit organizational semantics, AI becomes an entropy multiplier."

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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The last mile is where enterprise AI actually dies McKinsey’s 10,000‑leader survey and HBR’s ‘last mile’ diagnosis show that 30 years of consulting have built organizations that cannot turn AI into real value.

"Almost nine in ten leaders saying they’re not ready to embed AI into daily operations."

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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The Barbell Effect: Quality vs. Quantity Gig workers and networked organizations will need to choose one side or the other.

In economies of scale fueled by power laws, there's no such thing as average.

Average quality plus average quantity gets you nowhere.

The middle market is disappearing.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0