The war in Iran creates political, technical & economic pressures on Europe's rearmament, deepening a window of vulnerability that could encourage further Russian aggression, warns @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social.
➡️ ow.ly/IQqN50YGtpu

Assessing the damage: What the Iran war really means for Europe’s defence Regardless of whether the ceasefire between the US and Iran holds, the war in the Middle East complicates European rearmament and support for Ukraine, while also further eroding confidence in…

encompass-europe.com/comment/asse... @lscazzieri.bsky.social @gspataf95.bsky.social @euiss.bsky.social

@lscazzieri.bsky.social and I wrote a short commentary for
@euiss.bsky.social assessing the damage of the US-Iran war for Europe - and suggesting a way to enhance the resilience of the continent's defence build-up. Read below:

The power of the few: How clusters can strengthen European defence Defence clusters – small groups of aligned states – provide the most viable route to strengthen European military capabilities, allowing for greater industrial and operational cooperation. The EU shou...

"Defence clusters will almost certainly be the driving force of Europe’s defence build-up."

@lscazzieri.bsky.social explains how small-group cooperation can overcome many of the political, industrial & operational obstacles that slow down EU-wide initiatives.

ow.ly/NVXL50YiR7m

📗 #ECAJournal | "Rebuilding #Europe’s defences: how to drive a coordinated #defence surge" – an article by @lscazzieri.bsky.social, Senior Policy Analyst for defence at the @euiss.bsky.social.

📖 Read the article: www.eca.europa.eu/ECAPublicati...

Look forward to speaking at this event tomorrow, with the excellent @anandmenon.bsky.social @constelz.bsky.social and @lscazzieri.bsky.social. Join us.

France’s nuclear initiative: A step toward Europeanising deterrence France’s plan to expand its nuclear arsenal and deepen cooperation with European partners marks a step towards ‘Europeanising’ deterrence. But stronger conventional forces and clearer strategies for m...

“The credibility of a more European deterrence posture will depend on Europe’s ability to manage escalation below the nuclear threshold, which in turn requires stronger conventional deployments and long-range strike capabilities.”
@lscazzieri.bsky.social

France’s nuclear initiative: A step toward Europeanising deterrence President Emmanuel Macron’s speech at the Île Longue submarine base marks a pivotal moment in the evolution of European deterrence. France’s announcement that it will expand…

encompass-europe.com/comment/fran... @lscazzieri.bsky.social @euiss.bsky.social

Macron’s plan to expand nuclear arsenal & deepen cooperation with Europeans moves toward 'Europeanising' deterrence. But it won’t solve Europe's deterrence gap: stronger conventional forces & clearer escalation strategies are essential. @lscazzieri.bsky.social ➡️ www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Join us!

The power of the few: How clusters can strengthen European defence Defence clusters – small groups of aligned states – provide the most viable route to strengthen European military capabilities, allowing for greater industrial and operational cooperation. The EU shou...

🇪🇺 The power of the few: How clusters can strengthen European defence
By @lscazzieri.bsky.social – @euiss.bsky.social
www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Infographic titled "The European Air Transport Command (EATC) – A model for multi-national cooperation". It shows Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Spain delegating national air transport assets to the EATC under a "revocable delegation of authority". The EATC helps pool and coordinate aircraft for air transport, air-to-air refuelling and aeromedical evacuation missions. A map highlights participating countries in Europe.

Defence clusters are Europe's best bet to boost military capabilities via deeper industrial & operational cooperation, writes @lscazzieri.bsky.social.

From Eurofighter to the European Air Transport Command, minilateral defence initiatives are only gaining momentum. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Pleased to share my latest policy brief for EUISS:

I argue that defence clusters – small groups of aligned states – are the most viable avenue to strengthen European military capabilities, allowing for greater industrial and operational cooperation.

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

My latest piece for EUISS:

Defence clusters – small groups of aligned states – provide the most viable route to strengthen European military capabilities, allowing for greater industrial and operational cooperation:

A European Security Council: Between strategic need and institutional realities The renewed debate over a European Security Council underscores Europe’s search for more effective decision-making in security policy. The most realistic way forward is strengthening existing formats ...

European Security Council: why creating a new institution is not the answer. @lscazzieri.bsky.social explores four possible ESC models but all face political & practical limits. The more realistic path: making better use of existing structures. ow.ly/3AbV50YebZw

A European Security Council: Between strategic need and institutional realities The renewed debate over a European Security Council underscores Europe’s search for more effective decision-making in security policy. The most realistic way forward is strengthening existing formats ...

🇪🇺 A European Security Council: Between strategic need and institutional realities
By @lscazzieri.bsky.social – @euiss.bsky.social
www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

European Security Council: why creating a new institution is not the most realistic option. Making better use of existing formats can deliver just what Europe needs, argues @lscazzieri.bsky.social. 🔗 ow.ly/3AbV50YebZw

A European Security Council: Between strategic need and institutional realities The renewed debate over a European Security Council underscores Europe’s search for more effective decision-making in security policy. The most realistic way forward is strengthening existing formats ...

The debate on a European Security Council is back.

In my new EUISS commentary, I look at four possible models — and argue that strengthening what Europeans already have is the most realistic path ahead

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

A European Security Council: Between strategic need and institutional realities The renewed debate over a European Security Council underscores Europe’s search for more effective decision-making in security policy. The most realistic way forward is strengthening existing formats ...

The debate on a European Security Council is back.

In my new EUISS commentary, I look at four possible models — and argue that strengthening what Europeans already have is the most realistic path ahead

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

The EU’s role in defence hinges largely on the level of defence funding in the next EU budget.

New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

The EU is embracing a more flexible approach to #defence co-operation by harnessing the dynamism of small groups.

New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

🎥 When it comes to reduced US engagement, @lscazzieri.bsky.social warns that Europe seems to be preparing only for benign scenarios. That is a strategy that comes with risks.

🔗 More on how the EU can protect its interests in this new era of low transatlantic trust. www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNUD...

The effort to strengthen Europe’s defences hinges on whether Europeans can avoid duplication and weave their efforts into a more coherent whole.

New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

The EU's efforts to accelerate and inject coherence into Europe's defence build-up depend on sustained funding and political will.

New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

New piece for @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social on the EU’s Defence Readiness 2030 Roadmap:

It's a much needed attempt to accelerate and bring coherence to Europe’s defence ramp-up, but its success hinges on both political will and sustained investment

www.cer.eu/insights/eu-...

Navigating the grey zone: Readiness, solidarity and resolve Russia's hybrid warfare against the EU has escalated in recent weeks, revealing a pattern of coercive probing designed to test Europe's defences and unity. The challenge for Europeans is to demonstrat...

Pleased to share my new piece on how Europe can navigate the 'grey zone'

Russia's hybrid warfare is meant to test Europe’s defences and unity. Europeans should be more assertive.

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Ukraine gets in line for Swedish Gripen-E fighter jets Deliveries of the newest E variant of the aircraft could begin in three years, officials said.

According to Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson deliveries of the Gripen to Ukraine will start in 3 years

With that timeframe, the Gripens will contribute to deterrence in a hypothetical ceasefire scenario, rather than contributing to Ukraine's defence now.

www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

The road to readiness: How the EU can strengthen military mobility Rapid and efficient movement of troops and supplies is vital for Europe’s defence, but this is impeded by infrastructure gaps, limited transport assets and administrative barriers. The EU can drive a ...

New piece for @euiss.bsky.social:

The ability to rapidly move forces and supplies around Europe is a crucial component of European deterrence.
But infrastructure gaps, shortages in transport assets, and administrative hurdles continue to impede military mobility.

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

The road to readiness: How the EU can strengthen military mobility Rapid and efficient movement of troops and supplies is vital for Europe’s defence, but this is impeded by infrastructure gaps, limited transport assets and administrative barriers. The EU can drive a ...

Moving troops from West to East Europe could take weeks or months.

The EU can help improve military mobility with more funding for infrastructure, harmonised & digitised border rules & a crisis state framework, writes @lscazzieri.bsky.social.

🔗 ow.ly/F6IX50XgN4W

But the EU can do more. By mobilising more funding from across its budget and from the EIB; by leading a a concerted effort to tackle administrative barriers; and by embedding mobility considerations across different policy areas to help secure buy-in from private sector stakeholders