OPINION TODAY featured podcast —
@kirk-bado.bsky.social and @nenonicolosio.bsky.social talk to @nataliej.bsky.social, vp at GQR and National Journal columnist, about the evolving world of polling and predictions, and how to forecast elections like a pro.
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/191563219/...
Democrats say they’re confident that they can hold onto vulnerable seats and flip states where a Democratic governor hasn’t served in decades.
@abby-turner.bsky.social and @kirk-bado.bsky.social with the Hotline Gubernatorial Power Rankings (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/731289/hot...
Senate Democrats need to flip at least four seats to win a majority this November.
Read the Hotline Senate Power Rankings by @nenonicolosio.bsky.social and @kirk-bado.bsky.social (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/731187/iho...
Roughly 8 months from Election Day, the dust is settling on last year’s redistricting wars, providing more clarity on what the House battlefield looks like.
Read House Power Rankings by James Downs @kirk-bado.bsky.social and Hannah Marr (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/731160/hot...
Lots this week: @Kirk-Bado.bsky.social, editor, @NationalJournal.com, @JBendery.bsky.social, Reporter @HuffPost.com, @JessicaTaylor.bsky.social, Sen and Govs Ed. @CookPolitical.com & @SamBrodey.bsky.social, National Political Reporter @BostonGlobe.com
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YouTu.be/XydlgfJw57g
You've already experienced theC-SPAN Radio podcast "Extreme Mortman" episode: Presidents take summer vacations.
Now time for long-awaited, hugely-demanded sequel: Presidents take WINTER vacations!
W/ special guests @kirk-bado.bsky.social @ledyardking.bsky.social
Find ExMo wherever you get podcasts
On the panel @linda-feldmann.bsky.social, DC Bureau Chief, WH Correspondent, Christian Science Monitor, @kirk-bado.bsky.social, Editor of @nationaljournal.com Hotline and @pbump.com, former @washingtonpost.com Columnist and current MS-Now Contributor.
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YouTu.be/_ejj4tQN_rA
In this episode @kirk-bado.bsky.social James Downs @efilter.bsky.social @nenonicolosio.bsky.social and @abby-turner.bsky.social discuss the road to the midterms a year out.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/2xdk...
Heading into 2026, Hotline released its first round of power rankings of the Senate, House, and gubernatorial seats most likely to flip. Want to know more? Check out Hotline’s free 2026 Midterm Preview Special Edition:
www.nationaljournal.com/md/730107/ho...
In this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social and @efilter.bsky.social discuss President Trump's role, or lack thereof, on the campaign trail this year, and what it might mean for next year's midterms.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/4nl6...
A lively and insightful group today makes sense of the week’s news: Emily Goodin, White House Correspondent for McClatchy Media, @allansmith.bsky.social, Political Reporter @NBCNews.com and @kirk-bado.bsky.social, Editor, @NationalJournal.com Hotline.
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youtu.be/s4OycElbDSY
Could Donald Trump's souring approval ratings and the overperformance of Democrats in special elections this year combine to flip a Tennessee congressional seat from red to blue? Read @kirk-bado.bsky.social's unlocked story to find out: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729779/see...
In this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social and James Downs talk about the tense arms race between red states and blue states when it comes to redistricting.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/0b6y...
In this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social talks to Louis Jacobson and Rich Cohen of the Almanac of American Politics' about the process for writing this edition and keeping up with the rapid political environment before the publishing deadline.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/621m...
On this episode @kirk-bado.bsky.social talks to @nenonicolosio.bsky.social about his forecast of the Senate battlefield.
Listen on Spotify here:
open.spotify.com/episode/5G3r...
Making sense of all the uncertainty with @mayaaking.bsky.social, Political Reporter @nytimes.com, @kirk-bado.bsky.social, Editor @nationaljournal.com Hotline and Tom LoBianco, Editor @24sight.news.
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On this episode @kirk-bado.bsky.social talks to @efilter.bsky.social about Democrats' struggles with messaging in the Trump 2.0 era.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/18Mp...
I also joined @kirk-bado.bsky.social on National Journal Radio to preview the Congressional Baseball Game: open.spotify.com/episode/5Xyt...
Sam Feist, the CEO of CSPAN has an idea to bridge the ever worsening partisan divide on Capitol Hill. Read his interview with @kirk-bado.bsky.social to find out what it is and why Feist thinks it can work:
njour.nl/s/728613?unl...
It's here! The Downballot is so stoked to share our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts!
Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here: the-db.co/presbycd
And much more in this 🧵 below!
On this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social brings on @mattholt.bsky.social to give a temperature check on Democrats in the Trump age.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/6CI4...
On this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social talks to Mary Frances McGowan and James Downs about the shifting political landscapes in state legislatures.
Listen on Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/4cKw...
After months of less-than-happy news, Democrats had a good day Tuesday. @kirk-bado.bsky.social explains in Today's NJ OUTLOOK:
www.nationaljournal.com/s/728108/out...
On this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social talks to @nenonicolosio.bsky.social about to see where the Senate battlefield forms with open primaries, retirement announcements, and how the midterms could impact Republican female senators.
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On this episode, @kirk-bado.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social and James Downs offer an early look at the midterms.
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Hey bluesky I’m looking for my next job covering politics and campaigns. If you have any leads lmk!!
"Find me a small town in southeast Wisconsin where people don't even want 401ks anymore! And get me pictures!"
Making sense of the Trump and Democratic chaos: With John Bennett, White House Correspondent & Editor-at-Large, CQ @rollcall.com, @kirk-bado.bsky.social, Editor, @nationaljournal.com Hotline and @evanmcs.bsky.social, Reporter @notusreports.bsky.social.
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