Surely the Board of Peace can secure a lasting ceasefire, maybe if supplemented with a reduction in tariffs on The region and a withdrawal of the threat to invade Greenland

First time in a while I’ve heard a Man U fan getting cocky. I like it

Nice late season surge by Norwich btw

What social media was made for! I remember that place opening and buying 1000s of bagels there… but don’t recall any spelling issue

If it comes down to how much governments are prepared to make their population’s suffer, Iran wins

Ive checked all over Polymarket, but I cant find odds on the date at which Trump berates European leaders for not warning him that the Straits of Hormuz may get closed for longer than a day.

BREAKING: Claude can now research like a Stanford PhD student.

Here are 9 insane Claude prompts that turn 40+ research papers into structured literature reviews, knowledge maps, and research gaps in minutes (Save this)

What she said. Didn't think I had the staying power for a long read about the royal family, but this is MENTAL

Board of P****.

I applaud myself for so much self-restraint, and then I chastise myself for so much self restraint

Id really like to see estimates of the deadweight costs of all the fantastic analysis done by people like myself that doesnt get done because we are running around like headless chickens calibrating the impact of the latest Trump utterings.

... Dont all scream "zero!" at once

New post: Greenland
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/01/gree...
The key thing to recognise, and what is missing from much UK analysis, is that opposition within the US military and Congress makes Trump's position on this issue is very fragile.

The Bank of England surely comes bottom of the central bank visuals competition.

What the chuff is that? It looks like they asked google AI to produce something that ChatGPT wouldnt have imagined.
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/blog/d...

Sharia law has its advantages

Crime chart crime

Fake historical news! We we bankrupt and almost went down 8 divisions! Good game though. Some of your players look almost as expensive as what they cost

Peter Doyle Tribute to a good salty man

An obituary to the IMF's chief nemesis and a lovely caring man, Peter Doyle . Thanks to my co-author and substack host @generaltheorist.bsky.social

moneyinsideout.substack.com/p/peter-doyle

Peter Doyle Tribute to a good salty man

Very sad to hear that Peter Doyle has died. May he rest in peace. He was an all-too-rare iconoclastic voice in international macro. Do read @gabrielsterne.bsky.social and @generaltheorist.bsky.social's tribute to him: open.substack.com/pub/moneyins...

Putting one together Jonathan. Your thoughts greatly appreciated at Gabrielsterne@yahoo.co.uk

One of Peter’s final posts. Uncompromising (and impolite!) campaigner for improvements at IMF to the end.

So so sad that my dear friend Peter Doyle (@retepelyod.bsky.social) has passed away after a short illness. One of a kind. A brilliant, relentless and uncompromising campaigner for institutional improvement and economic justice for the world’s disadvantaged. And a lovely friend who blossomed with age

Ireland, having other peoples cake and eating other peoples cake

EM bonds got more robust in global risk off episodes nowadays. Partly because creditor composition of EM debt got safer relative to advanced economies (AEs). In last 5 years (i) EM domestic funding markets got bigger (ii) foreign non-banks hold more AE debt and (ii) QT reduced holdings of loyal cbs

Looking for a "10% off Stablecoin" Black Friday deal. Surely somebody knows about one

True, I guess I'm after evidence/arguments that I could take to a voter tempted to vote for Reform. I fear neither yours nor Jonathan's really addresses their concerns

Im instinctively sympathetic towards migrants but I think relative income levels are deny legitimate concerns about the stock of public infrastructure being able to cope. That's an issue worth you analysing.

Not often I disagree with my colleague Sergi Lanau but I think his wild claim that Senegal's bonds could be 25% overvalued may be a bit..... well.... optimistic for bondholders

Unmissable note should you be one of our clients my.oxfordeconomics.com/reportaction...

Trump Says Uzbekistan to Invest More Than $100 Billion in US Uzbekistan will invest more than $100 billion in the US over the next decade, President Donald Trump said.

Uzbekistan to invest on average more than 10% of GDP in US every year over next decade (wink emoji, wink emoji, wink emoji)

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

IMF Disgrace: Senegal Peter Doyle, American Economist, ex IMF Senior Staff When in Fall 2024, Ndongo Samba Sylla and I flagged the absurdity—given the longst

IMF Disgrace: Senegal

My assessment and recommendations.

www.financialafrik.com/en/2025/10/2...

more than a whiff of self-censorship in markets at the moment. No-one wants to call BS on, ya know, everything, for fear of angering the president

on.ft.com/4pRyTHp

Bessent says US in talks with Argentina over $20bn swap line Proposed measure comes as Trump administration seeks to support Javier Milei’s libertarian government

Trump's Argentine bail out could set up biggest sovereign story of the decade. If Argentina defaults despite the bail out, Trump will want seniority, but IMF cant give it. You can imagine how this descends into a colossal row between IMF and its biggest shareholder www.ft.com/content/4127...