Infographic titled “U.S.–Iran Escalation: Ultimatums & Retaliation Cycle (Feb–Mar 2026).” A horizontal timeline shows five phases—Pre-War Pressure, War Trigger, Early Escalation, Infrastructure Threats, and Chokepoint Crisis—tracking actions and responses between the United States and Iran. Below, a central loop diagram illustrates a repeating escalation cycle: U.S. ultimatum → Iran rejects → U.S./Israel action → Iran retaliation. A highlighted inset shows “System Amplification,” where misaligned signals and retaliation reinforce each other, leading to “High-Amplitude Instability.” A callout explains that escalation spreads through interconnected systems—energy, global trade routes, and civilian infrastructure—amplifying
Escalation as a Systemic Feedback Loop
Reinforcing signals driving amplification across energy, trade, and infrastructure
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