The ICS ranges from 0-200. Republicans are way below where they were with Trump I and about where Dems were under Biden. Dems are even below where Reps were under Biden. Independents have never been lower. The ICS is full of partisanship but when so many things go badly, almost everyone notices.
Posts by Sebastián Vallejo Vera
#OutNow in #iCS
This article examines how Freedom Convoy supporters on X have evolved their messaging over time. Early posts focused on mobilisation and logistics, while later ones leaned on anger and fear to hold a shrinking protest community together. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
My new book, "Unity Through Particularism: How Electoral Reforms Influence Parties and Legislative Behavior," is finally out with Cambridge University Press.
A 20% discount is available on the Cambridge site using the code UYTPM25.
www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
Francisco was a brilliant scholar and amazing human being. It is wonderful to see a scholarship named after him.
How much does it pay to publish an open access academic book? Read this thread for my story and 💲💰 amounts. 🧵
www.routledge.com/9781032908724
job
Canada Research Chair, Tier 1 in AI & Inequality (Full or Associate Professor) - Western University
Closing Date to Apply: Review of applications will begin on April 10, 2026 and continue until the position is filled.
csn-rec.ca/job-postings...
@cpsa-acsp.bsky.social
📣 Call for Papers (SeLAB 2026) 📣
Submit paper & poster proposals for the 4th annual Southeast Latin American Behavior (SeLAB) mini-conference, Fri, Oct 23, 2026 at University of Maryland, College Park.
Submit: forms.gle/GMB62rfo9BNuRY…
Hope to see you in Maryland this fall!
“Receiving the Luciano Tomassini Award is truly one of the greatest honours of my career. I accept it with deep humility and gratitude." — @llschenoni.bsky.social
Find out more about Dr Luis L. Schenoni' book and award: tinyurl.com/LASASchenoni
@ucl.ac.uk #Books #InternationalRelations #LASA
If anyone is interested in different forms of racist discourse in text, do I have a paper for you!!!
📣📣📣And, just this morning I learned that @yesolakweon.bsky.social & @jeonghyunkim.bsky.social is available for free download too!! Be sure to get your cooy in the next 2 weeks 🎉📚🦉 www.cambridge.org/core/element...
“Focusing on the cost of enslavement to the enslaved shows that slavery was a market failure in addition to a moral failure.”
via @rickhornbeck.bsky.social & @trevondlogan.bsky.social in 2023
www.chicagobooth.edu/review/emanc... #econsky
1/ Sorry for double-posting from X. Sharing a new working paper for the Year of the Horce 🐎:
"An AI-assisted workflow that scales reproducibility in empirical research" (bit.ly/repro-ai) w/ Leo Yang Yang
It’s official → Registration to #CPSA_ACSP26 is open!
See you there? 👉🏽👉🏽 conta.cc/4tqlVCt
@jonathanmalloy.bsky.social @emmettmacfarlane.com @queenspols.bsky.social @westernupolisci.bsky.social
@jlisayoung.bsky.social @matthewlebo.bsky.social @kaelkropp.bsky.social @joannaeveritt.bsky.social
After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We are very happy with the results. If you would like to replicate them, or apply the method, here is the link to the repository:
github.com/svallejovera...
We propose a method in which we explicitly integrate contextual knowledge of racist content into the machine-learning approach, taking advantage of LLMs. We show, step-by-step, how this is achieved and the performance gains by looking at the Indígena protests in Ecuador in 2019.
After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods featuring the initials "PSRM" in a stylized grey font on a black background.
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social -
Beyond the mean: how thinking about the distribution of public opinions reduces politicians’ perceptual errors - https://cup.org/4kltoyE
- Nicholas Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social
#FirstView
Congrats to Auriane Egal, physics & astronomy adjunct professor and astrophysicist, on being named Radio-Canada's #Scientist of the Year for her work completing the first-ever comprehensive study of an #asteroid tracked from space through to its impact on Earth! @rci.bsky.social ☄️
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.
🎺 Call for proposals 🎺
1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment
2️⃣ run a novel experiment
on repdata.com
3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4️⃣ publish your study
details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1
please repost!
Meet Professor Laura Stephenson in this week’s Wisdom Wednesdays: Humans of Social Science. From election research to critical citizenship, her story explores how understanding motivation helps us make sense of political life. 🔗 ssc.uwo.ca/humans_ssc/m...
Matt Lebo, on Carney standing up to the bully:
“If everybody takes a step forward then you’ve done something successfully and banded the kids together to be a united front against the bullying,” he said. “And if all the kids take one step back, then you’re screwed.”
www.thestar.com/politics/fed...
⏳ Deadline approaching! We’re hiring 2 fully funded postdocs in #NLP.
Join the MilaNLP team and contribute to our upcoming research projects (SALMON & TOLD)
🔗 Details + how to apply: milanlproc.github.io/open_positio...
⏰ Deadline: Jan 31, 2026
New paper with Justin Robinson @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Our starting point is the observation that there is much variation in affective polarization across the UK.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The Body Politics Lab/Political Science Speaker Dr. Tobias Rohrbach (Assistant Prof, Dept of Communication & Media Research, Fribourg U, Switzerland) Wed., Jan 14 @ 2:30pm. This workshop is designed to be an overview of the different steps of conceptualizing, conducting, & reporting a meta-analysis.
I know you all have your THOUGHTS on LLMs and their application in the social sciences... and I agree with all of them, but here is an extension of a method that uses in-context learning (ICL) to improve annotation of text using LLMs:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The cool thing is that it does not require researchers to include (ground truth) labels for the method to work. What we are able to do through ICL (we think) is allow the model to understand the task (faster). Anywho, if you are using LLMs to annotate text, give it a try and let us know.
In this article, we show that performance exhibits decreasing marginal returns, with rapid increases at first followed by a plateau. We implement a two-run method where we keep 100 highly informative examples from the first run in the memory at the start of a second run. We provide pretty figures: