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Posts by Duncan Weldon

A couple of years ago the Chichele Professor of the History of War answered some questions via email to help me decide how to base some 6mm Thirty Years War miniatures for gaming purposes.
Now sure how that it scored by the REF framework but I was very grateful.

53 minutes ago 4 0 1 0

I find academic historians to generally be enormously generous with their time and expertise.

58 minutes ago 6 0 1 0
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Tangential.
But such a fun paper.

www.jstor.org/stable/259934

1 hour ago 12 0 1 1

Deep satisfaction when you’re asked to file 800 words and you file *precisely* 800 words.

1 hour ago 37 1 4 0

UK labour market data a bit of a mixed bag. I found it hard to read.

• surprise drop in unemployment rate looks a bit of a red-herring in terms of gauging labour market tightness - driven by student numbers
• vacancies at almost 5-year low
• avg weekly earnings growth cooled by less than expected

3 hours ago 13 2 2 0
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The UN global total forecast.

5 hours ago 3 1 2 0

Yes. Smoked for about 20 years. Switched to vaping about 6 or so years ago. Feel much healthier. And it’s cheaper.

5 hours ago 1 0 0 0
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Very interesting but my rule of thumb is to mostly ignore any demographic projection longer than about 25 years.
When you’re estimating how many children the as yet unborn will have there’s too much guess work.

5 hours ago 71 4 8 1

I am, of course, posting it on social media before 7am whilst vaping.

5 hours ago 54 1 2 0
Preview
Will social media addiction go the way of cigarettes? Smoking among the rich has declined dramatically — and digital dependency could follow a similar pattern

Really interesting column.

www.ft.com/content/154d... Will social media addiction go the way of cigarettes?

5 hours ago 23 6 2 0
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Just saying.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whitlam...

15 hours ago 8 0 3 0

Should probably give it another year or two.

17 hours ago 1 0 0 0

By my count, it has been 221 days since Mandelson was sacked.
Mandelson was ambassador for 213 days.

17 hours ago 45 2 5 1

V interesting. As I keep saying, economic statistics really matter (& need funding). A state that doesn’t know what’s what (about itself and its oppos) is in trouble.

1 day ago 112 33 1 0

Honestly, I think it looks too gaudy now.

19 hours ago 0 0 1 0

“I’ve updated the terms of reference for the review”. Sounds furious.

21 hours ago 38 4 1 2
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Watching the statement. I think Number Ten sources and I have a different definition of angry.

21 hours ago 40 3 2 0

It’s interesting. The eldest already employs quite a sophisticated approach to expectations management ahead of a school parents’ evening, worthy of a good IR type ahead of quarterly numbers.

21 hours ago 1 0 1 0

“Friends of your father say he is really, really cross”

21 hours ago 34 0 3 0

I think next time I need to tell off one of the kids, I might pre brief it to some journalists.

21 hours ago 83 6 5 0

This is, quite obviously, rubbish.
But more generally - what sort of person thinks this is a good way to sell their increasingly politically contentious new technology to the public and politicians?

23 hours ago 79 9 16 0

Seems to work more along the lines of:
The default is you are flying at a reasonable hour and staying in X hotel. If you’re happy to travel at an unsociable time and/or stay in a worse hotel then we can split the savings 50/50.

1 day ago 2 0 0 0

Congrats!
Welcome to the world of “always too busy or not busy enough”.

1 day ago 1 0 1 0

Another mate works for P&G. They have (or had anyway) a great scheme whereby if an employee could book their own flights & hotels for cheaper than the in-work travel agency, they could do that and would be given 50% of the saving in their next pay packet.

1 day ago 15 0 5 0

I had a mate who used to travel a ridiculous amount for work in the 2010s. Abroad three or four times a month - the US, Asia, Gulf, etc.
And was allowed not only to keep his air miles but to buy his own flights and hotels on an Amex and claim it back.
A stupendously valuable employee benefit.

1 day ago 18 0 6 0
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There is an argument I should sell equity in myself. I think I’m quite countercyclical.

1 day ago 21 0 4 0

Me: I have too much work this week.
Also me: why yes, I will take a few hours out my Wednesday afternoon to take part in your radio show.

1 day ago 22 0 2 0

Is it just me or is the IMF data portal materially harder to use than the old WEO database?

1 day ago 5 0 0 0

I don’t mind airports at all.
Although a large train station is generally a more pleasant place than a large airport. I suppose because a large urban train station is also open to non-travellers.

1 day ago 8 0 3 0

Also: “missing a flight is fine” is highly correlated, in my experience, with “I am not paying for my own flights”.

1 day ago 99 0 3 1