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Posts by Erika Franklin Fowler

Good thread on influencers 🧵⬇️

Also adding evidence from a related paper by @eunjikim.bsky.social: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

#wesgov214

6 days ago 4 1 1 0

Flagging for #wesgov380

6 days ago 1 0 0 0
Kolby Hanson, "Ordinary Rebels: Rank-And-File Militants Between War and Peace" (Oxford UP, 2025) - New Books Network

Had a great conversation about my new book with Wesleyan's Leo Bader on New Books in Political Science (and New Books in South Asian Studies). Ordinary Rebels is out now with OUP! @wesleyanuniversity.bsky.social @newbooksnetwork.bsky.social @oxfordacademic.bsky.social

6 months ago 3 3 0 0
Short proofs in combinatorics, probability and number theory II We give a quintet of proofs resulting from questions posed by Erdős. These questions concern ordinary lines in planar point sets, sequences with uniformly small exponential sums, $K_4$-free $4$-critical graphs with few chords in any cycle, a counterexample to a "fewnomial" version of the Erdős--Turán discrepancy bound, and a finiteness theorem for integers $n$ such that $n-a k^2$ is prime for all $k\leq \sqrt{n/a}$ coprime to $n$ (for fixed $a\in\mathbb Z_+$). Each proof is due to an internal model at OpenAI.

An "internal model at OpenAI" has solved 5 Erdos problems, all reported in the paper below.

All of those have now been listed as Category 1 = Fully AI-generated solutions here:
github.com/teorth/erdos...

1 week ago 56 10 1 4

We do now know the NSF is proceeding with dissolving the Social and Behavioral Sciences Division. Congress might reverse it, but it is now already underway. YOU CAN NO LONGER SUBMIT FUNDING PROPOSALS TO SBE. Program officers are being moved to different parts of the agency. Call your Congress member

1 week ago 282 147 1 8
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Disinformation as Cultural Narrative: Conceptualizing Disinformation as Cross-Platform, Identity-Affirming, Cathartic Stories Rather than framing disinformation as false facts which can be countered by true facts, we propose a model of disinformation as narrative by tracing three case studies of successful disinformation ...

🚨NEW DISINFO PAPER🚨 TLDR; disinformation circulates as narratives, not false facts. This paper took five years (!!!) and a rotating cast of collaborators and GRAs. Our case studies include the pee tape, and we have an entire appendix justifying that. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

2 weeks ago 392 170 17 31
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StatsClaw Collaborative AI for Stats Packages.

1/ Happy to release StatsClaw — an open-source multi-agent workflow for building statistical software with AI. w/
@tianzhuqin.bsky.social

Site: statsclaw.ai
Paper: bit.ly/statsclaw
GitHub: github.com/statsclaw/

2 weeks ago 46 10 2 2
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New in the American Economic Review: migration doesn't hollow out the home economy — it builds it up.

More than 75% of the long-run income gains from migration are domestic. The home economy itself grows.

Here's what we found: 🧵

2 weeks ago 115 43 1 4

First look at ACA marketplace plan signups, with details on plan choices and more.

Large shift to bronze plans with higher out of pocket costs. Premiums up significantly: up 58% after premium tax credits.

Decisions reflect end of enhanced premium tax credits, which Congress refused to continue.

3 weeks ago 9 5 3 2
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How Partisan Are U.S. Local Elections? Evidence from 2020 Cast Vote Records | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core How Partisan Are U.S. Local Elections? Evidence from 2020 Cast Vote Records

From our FirstView articles: How Partisan Are U.S. Local Elections? Evidence from 2020 Cast Vote Records by ALEKSANDRA CONEVSKA, SHIGEO HIRANO, @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social, JEFFREY B. LEWIS, CAN MUTLU and JAMES M. SNYDER Jr. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

3 weeks ago 6 5 0 1

New paper alert 🚨 ⬇️
Relevant for #wesgov214 discussions of targeting!

3 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

⬇️ There is widespread agreement on the benefits of diversity ⬇️

3 weeks ago 5 3 0 0
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📢 Call for Proposals | APSA Political Communication Pre-Conference 2026

🗓️ Pre-conference: Sept 2, 2026 (Boston University)
⏰ Deadline: April 20, 2026

Full Call for Papers with subission details: politicalcommunication.org/apsa-pre-con...

4 weeks ago 2 2 0 1

Exciting news - we are seeking proposal submissions (due May 15) for a special issue of @jhppl.bsky.social on "Community Organizing, Power, and Politics", that I am editing alongside @povertyscholar.bsky.social and Megan Reynolds. Please see the full CFP below! Invited papers will be due Sept 1.

1 month ago 20 19 1 0
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Caregiving in the Academy: An APSA Status Committee Virtual Workshop | Friday, March 20, 2026 According to the AARP, about 48 million Americans, mostly women, provide unpaid caregiving. It may be to an aging parent, who may or may not be in the same country, children, a child or adult child with a disability, a spouse or other family member.

Tomorrow! According to the AARP, about 48 million Americans, mostly women, provide unpaid #caregiving. Join scholars in a panel discussion exploring the challenges of caregiving as political science faculty.

“Caregiving in the Academy”
Friday, March 20, 2026
2:00 PM EDT

🔗 Register: buff.ly/6TJQT4J

1 month ago 5 2 1 1

Important work on local news 🧵⬇️
#wesgov214

1 month ago 3 2 0 0

One of the great things about my job at @kff.org is coming up with innovative survey designs.

In a rare instance of longitudinal survey data, we went back to our 2025 ACA Marketplace Enrollees to see how they fared during open enrollment. www.kff.org/public-opini...

1 month ago 21 9 3 2
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Texting daily with a random human peer is more effective at reducing loneliness than texting with a highly supportive chatbot.

Next time you feel lonely reach out to a human, any human.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

1 month ago 126 57 6 7

Relevant for #wesgov214

1 month ago 2 1 0 0

Flagging that our 2026 WMP reporting has started. Get caught up below and sign-up for our newsletters to get them directly to your inbox! ⬇️

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

1 month ago 125 35 5 3
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The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!

1 month ago 106 49 1 2
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U.S. government has lost more than 10,000 STEM Ph.D.s since Trump took office A Science analysis reveals how many were fired, retired, or quit across 14 agencies

The U.S. government has lost more than 10,000 STEM Ph.D.s since Trump took office.

A Science analysis reveals how many were fired, retired, or quit across 14 agencies. Read more: https://scim.ag/4boPkq8

2 months ago 493 345 18 34
OSF

When you collect data online, are the results from humans or AI? In a project led by Booth PhD student Grace Zhang, we estimate the prevalence of AI agents on commonly used survey platforms:
osf.io/preprints/ps...
🧵

1 month ago 110 50 4 5

We’re hiring — help us spread the word! @tnridout.bsky.social @mikefranz.bsky.social

1 month ago 8 12 0 0
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USPSTF Meeting Pushed Back for Third Time in a Row Meeting will be 'rescheduled in the coming months,' according to HHS

Yet another scheduled meeting of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) has been postponed, HHS confirmed Tuesday.

Read more at: www.medpagetoday.com/publichealthpolicy/washi...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Initial public opinion data ⬇️ #wesgov214 #wesgov380

1 month ago 5 1 0 0

Relevant for #wesgov214 discussions on media ownership

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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The Biden Admin directed hundreds of billions to clean energy/manufacturing.

Did these investments shift public opinion?

We find that these projects are visible but not traceable: People notice nearby investments, but connect them to Governors, not Biden.

Thread 👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

1 month ago 199 67 3 12