🔎 The Caribbean Cold War 2.0: Cuba’s Endgame As the U.S. "Energy Siege" pushes the island to a breaking point, Beijing is quietly building a Solar Shield. The high-stakes gamble to determine who owns the future of the 90-mile strait.

🇨🇺The Final Act: Three Roads from #Havana
Cuba’s endgame is no longer a theory, but a choice between three stark realities. My analysis of the narrowing window of options for the U.S. administration as the island’s energy grid faces total dissolution #Cuba
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-energ...

🔎 The Caribbean Cold War 2.0: Cuba’s Endgame As the U.S. "Energy Siege" pushes the island to a breaking point, Beijing is quietly building a Solar Shield. The high-stakes gamble to determine who owns the future of the 90-mile strait.

🇨🇺The Final Act: Three Roads from #Havana
Cuba’s endgame is no longer a theory, but a choice between three stark realities. My analysis of the narrowing window of options for the U.S. administration as the island’s energy grid faces total dissolution #Cuba
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-energ...

☕️ Sovereignty for Sale? Geopolitics & Resource Wars in Latin America While homicide rates dip across the region, a surge in military pacts and resource extraction pits elite stability against grassroots survival.

The stories shaping #LatinAmerica in this week's Cafecito☕️
🇻🇪 #Venezuela: Purges & the oil "buzz"
🇨🇺 #Cuba Watch: Blackouts and Back-Channels
🌎 The Geopolitics of the #Lithium Triangle
💥 Homicide RoundUp
#HumanRights #Geopolitics #ResourceWars

sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/sovereignt...

☕️ The Price of Alignment: Sovereignty Under the Shadow of Dominance Washington’s new Doctrine of Control is forcing Latin America into a high-stakes choice: total alignment or systemic isolation.

Is #LatinAmerica being rewired? 🌎
#Washington’s new "Doctrine of Control" is here—from purging #China tech in #Chile to brokering gold deals in a "grey zone" #Venezuela. 

The price of alignment is high, and the rules are no longer being written home.

sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/price-of-a...

The VC has planned to cut 400 jobs, close the Southend campus, demolish the Essex Pathways (foundation year) department, and decimate other departments like language & linguistics, maths & stats and business.

She met us for an all-staff meeting on Thursday. It was... fascinating! Let's fact-check.

☕️ Security Dominance and the Doctrine of Control Cartels, Cuba, Maduro's fall and Nicaragua's shadow: Trump's doctrine of 'security and dominance' in action

#LatinAmerica is first and foremost a security theatre for the US administration. Find out what this means in our week's review of the stories shaping the hemisphere #Trump #CubaLibre #VenezuelaLibre #Mexicocartel #Nicaragua #Ecuador #Colombia
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/trump-lati...

☕️ Cuba Blacks Out as Venezuela Brightens Up Cuba's lights flicker out as Venezuela's reforms take hold — Lula gambles, Mexico hides, and China lurks in the shadows.

Our ☕️Cafecito captures the week in #LatinAmerica:
🇨🇺 #Cuba Blacks Out as 🇻🇪 #Venezuela Brightens Up
🇲🇽 #Mexico hides a 200% disappearance surge
🇧🇷 #Brazil's Lula vanishes taxes for votes
🇨🇳 #China's crime dragon strips #LatAm
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-black...

Why Washington Doesn’t Want Regime Change in Cuba Why Trump’s real play in Cuba isn’t about democracy—it’s about migration, security and commercial opportunities.

Everyone’s asking whether Trump is going for regime change in #Cuba.
He isn’t.
His Cuba play is about 3 things:
1️⃣ Stopping a new migration wave
2️⃣ Forcing out Chinese & Russian intel
3️⃣ Opening parts of the economy on US terms
New piece here ⬇️ sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/why-washin...

Venezuela First, Cuba Next? Why Havana Is a Harder Target Why Washington won’t impose regime change in Cuba — and is betting instead on long‑term economic and political pressure.

#Venezuela first, #Cuba next?
Trump and Rubio say they want to “liberate” Cuba. After Maduro’s capture and an oil blockade, Washington suddenly has unprecedented leverage, but not a free hand.
Why Washington won’t impose regime change 👇
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

Latin America 2026: Power, Uncertainty, and the New American Interventionism Five forces reshaping business, democracy and security in the region this year

The Five Forces shaping #LatinAmerica in my latest long-form deep dive, and the question becomes: what kind of actor does the region want to be?
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

☕️ From Rodriguismo to Bukelización: The New Latin American Order? From Caracas to San Salvador, leaders are trading fear, oil and hard security for a new balance between stability and democracy.

#Venezuela just announced a general amnesty for all political prisoners. The regime didn't have a change of heart. It ran out of leverage. This is Chapter 1 of Trump's new Latin American order, explained here👇
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/from-rodri...

Latin America's Migrants Just Won a Historic Victory Spain just regularised 500,000+ undocumented migrants—nearly all from Latin America. It signals Madrid remains the continent's most welcoming destination for migrant workers

#Spain just did what no other major Western democracy will:
➡️ Regularise 500,000+ undocumented migrants
➡️ Around 70% are from #LatinAmerica
A huge moment for Latin American workers.
We unpack the numbers, the politics and the risks ⬇️
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/spain-regu...

🌎 Político reports today that “the #Trump administration is considering a total blockade on oil imports to #Cuba to drive regime change”. This wouldn’t be surprising.
The raid on #Caracas and the capture of #Maduro is destabilising #LatinAmerica
This week’s ☕️Cafecito 👇

☕️ Remote-Control Regimes And The New Latin American Order El Cafecito has the stories shaping the hemisphere this week

The week in #LatinAmerica tracked in our ☕️Cafecito:
🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s compliant regime
🇨🇺 #Cuba’s vulnerability
🇲🇽 #Mexico’s squeeze
🇬🇹 #Guatemala gang violence
🇨🇴 #Colombia’s jobless/informality trap
🇪🇨🇨🇴 #Ecuador - Colombia trade war
🇧🇷 #Brazil's rare earth minerals
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/remote-con...

⚡️Four Stories Shaping Latin America This Week: Oil Gunboats, ELN Panic, Mexico Troops, Costa Rica Plot Can Trump make Venezuela "Rich and Safe" again?

This week in #LatinAmerica -- tracking U.S. progress towards #DemocraticTransition in #Venezuela 🇻🇪 and its impact on #Mexico and #Colombia 🇲🇽🇨🇴
Plus #CostaRica prepares for its 2026 presidential elections 🇨🇷
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

⚡️Four Stories Shaping Latin America This Week: Oil Gunboats, ELN Panic, Mexico Troops, Costa Rica Plot Can Trump make Venezuela "Rich and Safe" again?

This week in #LatinAmerica -- tracking U.S. progress towards #DemocraticTransition in #Venezuela 🇻🇪 and its impact on #Mexico and #Colombia 🇲🇽🇨🇴
Plus #CostaRica prepares for its 2026 presidential elections 🇨🇷
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

🔎 When Weakness Becomes Advantage: How Multilatinas Outcompete Western Rivals How Latin American multinationals turn weak institutions into a competitive edge – and what their rise means for investors, corporates and policymakers over the next 12–24 months.

#LatinAmerica’s #multilatinas aren’t “second tier” anymore.
They’re outcompeting Western rivals in the very markets those rivals find hardest – from infrastructure to fintech and digital services.​
They turned weak institutions into an edge ⬇️
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/how-multil...

☕️ Venezuela One Week On: The Illusion of Control How a fragile Venezuelan "transition" is reshaping hemispheric politics and creating precisely the destabilisation Trump claims to prevent.

#Venezuela after Maduro isn’t a “transition” – it’s an illusion of control.

A president without her own security forces, criminal groups recalculating, a diaspora under pressure, and an oil gambit that may destabilise the region. #Maduro #Trump

🔗 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

☕️ Venezuela One Week On: The Illusion of Control How a fragile Venezuelan "transition" is reshaping hemispheric politics and creating precisely the destabilisation Trump claims to prevent.

#Venezuela after Maduro isn’t a “transition” – it’s an illusion of control.

A president without her own security forces, criminal groups recalculating, a diaspora under pressure, and an oil gambit that may destabilise the region. #Maduro #Trump

🔗 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

🔎 When Weakness Becomes Advantage: How Multilatinas Outcompete Western Rivals How Latin American multinationals turn weak institutions into a competitive edge – and what their rise means for investors, corporates and policymakers over the next 12–24 months.

#LatinAmerica’s #multilatinas aren’t “second tier” anymore.
They’re outcompeting Western rivals in the very markets those rivals find hardest – from infrastructure to fintech and digital services.​
They turned weak institutions into an edge ⬇️
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/how-multil...

Latin America at the Sharp End of the Donroe Doctrine How Maduro's capture in Caracas signals a new era of coercive U.S. dominance in Latin America.

Maduro’s capture is being sold as a clean win against a “narco‑state”.
I argue it’s something bigger: the Donroe Doctrine, a 21st‑century reboot of hemispheric dominance where migration, cocaine and Chinese investment become levers to punish and reward
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

Latin America at the Sharp End of the Donroe Doctrine How Maduro's capture in Caracas signals a new era of coercive U.S. dominance in Latin America.

Maduro’s capture is being sold as a clean win against a “narco‑state”.
I argue it’s something bigger: the Donroe Doctrine, a 21st‑century reboot of hemispheric dominance where migration, cocaine and Chinese investment become levers to punish and reward
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

🇻🇪 Why Maduro’s Capture Changed Almost Nothing — And Everything Behind the "brilliant" strike lies a calculated preservation of the status quo and a public snub of the opposition.

#Venezuela
Over the weekend, Trump achieved what once seemed impossible. But in #Caracas, the machinery of Chavismo, the military business empire, and a U.S.-designed oil strategy are still very much alive.

What really changed in #Venezuela:
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

⚡️Machado’s Escape, Nobel Glory, and a Region on Edge Maria Corina Machado has escaped Venezuela to claim her Nobel Peace Prize, but her journey is just the opening act of a much larger geopolitical drama.

Maria Corina Machado is out of #Venezuela, but the region is on the edge of a much bigger conflict 🇻🇪🇳🇴
#Venezuela #MariaCorinaMachado #NobelPeacePrize #Petro #Trump #LatAm
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/machado-es...

⚡️Machado’s Escape, Nobel Glory, and a Region on Edge Maria Corina Machado has escaped Venezuela to claim her Nobel Peace Prize, but her journey is just the opening act of a much larger geopolitical drama.

Maria Corina Machado is out of #Venezuela, but the region is on the edge of a much bigger conflict 🇻🇪🇳🇴
#Venezuela #MariaCorinaMachado #NobelPeacePrize #Petro #Trump #LatAm
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/machado-es...

☕️ Shadows Over Latin America: Security, Corruption, and the Limits of Democratic Rule How Cartels, Drones, and U.S. Interference Are Redrawing Latin America's Political Map

The week in #LatinAmerica: cartels infiltrating militaries, U.S. strikes killing civilians, drones attacking bases. Even the safest democracies now fielding criminal organisations
🇵🇪🇨🇷🇨🇴🇭🇳🇻🇪
What's at stake?
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

☕️ Shadows Over Latin America: Security, Corruption, and the Limits of Democratic Rule How Cartels, Drones, and U.S. Interference Are Redrawing Latin America's Political Map

The week in #LatinAmerica: cartels infiltrating militaries, U.S. strikes killing civilians, drones attacking bases. Even the safest democracies now fielding criminal organisations
🇵🇪🇨🇷🇨🇴🇭🇳🇻🇪
What's at stake?
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

🔎 Latin America in 2025: Poverty Falls but Inequalities Persist ECLAC's latest data exposes a troubling disconnect: as poverty declines, inequality persists. What's driving the divergence, and how could policy finally break the trap?

Poverty is falling across #LatinAmerica. But #inequality isn’t.
My new deep dive on ECLAC’s 2025 data looks at:
- 6 policy levers that actually work
- Why governments won’t use them
- Who pays the political price

Read it here ⬇️
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

🔎 Latin America in 2025: Poverty Falls but Inequalities Persist ECLAC's latest data exposes a troubling disconnect: as poverty declines, inequality persists. What's driving the divergence, and how could policy finally break the trap?

Poverty is falling across #LatinAmerica. But #inequality isn’t.
My new deep dive on ECLAC’s 2025 data looks at:
- 6 policy levers that actually work
- Why governments won’t use them
- Who pays the political price

Read it here ⬇️
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

☕️ Weaponised Interdependence: How Trump's Trade Policy Fragments Latin America When tariffs become weapons, no country negotiates from strength — except the one holding the gun.

🚨 U.S. tariffs hit 1935 levels. #Brazil 🇧🇷 got coffee tariffs cut. #Mexico 🇲🇽has record FDI but shrinking jobs. #Colombia 🇨🇴 is locked out.
#Trump's reshaping #LatinAmerica's trade through geopolitical pressure, not rules. New piece:
sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/weaponised...