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Posts by Mark Toth

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.20.2026

open.substack.com/pub/intrep36...

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Our INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.20.2026 is live.

The AP has confirmed that Ghalibaf & Vance will be meeting today in Islamabad.

As Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I argue, Iran has gamed DC & the ceasefire long enough.

Time for Trump to say time’s up.

Link 👇!

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الصفحة الرئيسية | القاهرة الاخبارية موقع قناة القاهرة الإخبارية، قناة إخبارية مصرية تبث على مدار 24 ساعة وتقدم محتوى إخباري متنوع وقوي من مصر والمنطقة العربية والعالم.

Please join me in five minutes or so on @Alqaheranewstv for the latest on Iran.

alqaheranews.net

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Please join me today on Al Qahera NewsTV News at 5:15PM ET.

We will be discussing the latest developments in the U.S.-Iran peace talks including a potential second round in Islamabad on Tuesday.

FYI, Trump just announced the U.S. seized an Iranian ship.

alqaheranews.net

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.18.2026

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President Trump, if this regime is willing to do this before a deal — and clearly they are — then they are going to be willing to do it after a deal.

It’s highly likely you se getting played by the IRGC as @jonsweet.bsky.social & I argue in our latest INTREP360.

Link below.

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.18.2026

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Our special Saturday edition of the INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.18.2026 is live.

Today, Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social & I did a reverse angle look from yesterday’s edition that examined whether Trump was playing Iran.

This one asks, is Iran playing Trump?

Link below.

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.17.2026

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3 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Our INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.17.2026 is live.

Somehow there is a disconnect between Trump’s words & the IRGC’s actions. Could it be by design?

Or is it really Mission Accomplished?

Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I give you our early read.

Link below.

3 days ago 1 0 1 0
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My apologies. I forgot to share this earlier as I was off yesterday.

Our INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.16.2026 is live.

@jonsweet.bsky.social penned it for us. He focused on the enrichment issue & the upcoming War Powers Act deadline.

Link below. New edition coming tonight.

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Again, who in Iran is agreeing to this? The regime has said lots of things for 47 years.

Plus, while faces have changed, the regime itself has not.

Unless that happens, any “deal” will be IMO fleeting.

The hardliners with the guns — Vahidi & the IRGC — remain in power.

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Reading between the lines, Trump’s messaging here is likely aimed at Vahidi, Zolghadr & the IRGC honor— get on board or else.

Time will tell IF they do & if they support Ghalibaf & Araghchi’s deal with Team Trump.

I’m still not convinced they will, but I could be wrong.

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Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, declared the Strait of Hormuz open for all passages.

That’s good.

But will Vahidi, Zolghadr & the IRGC honor it?

Time will tell.

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مارك توث خبير شؤون الأمن القومي الأمريكي: ترامب يرغب في رؤية الشرق الأوسط بعيدا عن النفوذ الإيراني
مارك توث خبير شؤون الأمن القومي الأمريكي: ترامب يرغب في رؤية الشرق الأوسط بعيدا عن النفوذ الإيراني YouTube video by AlQahera News - القاهرة الإخبارية

Did an interesting hit on @Alqaheranewstv.

Fellow panelists from Egypt & Lebanon — while they didn’t like it — acknowledged on their own that it’s Trump’s Mideast right now.

My take?

Leverage it to achieve regional peace by getting rid of the IRGC.

youtube.com/shorts/SSTWh...

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North Korea: The next Armageddon? Kim likely views his nuclear program as his only guarantee of regime survival, which is why he will keep his foot on the nuclear accelerator.

thehill.com/opinion/nati...

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Is North Korea, Iran’s Axis of Evil ally, the next nuclear Armageddon?

@jonsweet.bsky.social & I warn at @thehill.com, that while the U.S. is focused on Iran, Kim Jong-un is pressing the nuclear accelerator in Pyongyang.

Plus, it is far more advanced than the IRGC’s.

Link below.

5 days ago 0 0 1 0
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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.15.2026

open.substack.com/pub/intrep36...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Our latest INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.15.2026 is live.

Today, Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (ret.) & I focused on the latest on the backdoor ceasefire negotiations & ongoing blockade of Iranian seaports.

Link below.

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Intrep360 with Sweet & Toth | Substack Navigating & analyzing a world increasingly at war. Click to read Intrep360 with Sweet & Toth, a Substack publication with hundreds of subscribers.

intrep360.substack.com

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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@jonsweet.bsky.social & I are truly humbled — our INTREP360 Intelligence Report just hit #4 on Substack’s Rising International chart!

Huge shoutout to every subscriber for your readership & support. We’re deeply grateful. If you haven’t yet, please join us!

Link below. 👇

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.14.2026

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Our INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.14.2026 is live.

Today, Col. @JESweet2022, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I analyze where the war, ceasefire & blockade stand in Iran & who still gets a vote in how it may end.

Link below.

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How Trump’s Strait of Hormuz blockade puts Iran’s military on the ropes Everything in US Central Command’s plan leading up to this point has been about ensuring the US controls the narrow, strategically vital sea passage.

In our latest nat sec column for the New York Post, Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I take a deep dive into Trump’s blockade & what might be needed next if Iran doesn’t buckle & raise the white flag under its economic weight.

nypost.com/2026/04/14/o...

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.13.2026

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Our INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.13.2026 is live.

Today, Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I focused on Lebanon, another theater in the U.S.-Israel war against Iran.

I also share a personal connection — nightmare, really — dating back to 1978.

Link below.

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ICYMI, one of the messages @jonsweet.bsky.social & I assessed being sent yesterday by Trump in announcing the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was squarely aimed at China.

Today, Beijing reacted.

#INTREP360

intrep360.substack.com/p/intrep360-...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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ICYMI, one of the messages @jonsweet.bsky.social & I assessed being sent yesterday by Trump in announcing the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was squarely aimed at China.

Today, Beijing reacted.

#INTREP360

intrep360.substack.com/p/intrep360-...

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INTREP360 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 04.12.2026

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Our special Sunday edition of the INTREP360 Intelligence Report for 04.12.2026 is live.

Today, Col. @jonsweet.bsky.social, U.S. Army (Ret.) & I examine Trump’s decision to impose a naval blockade on Iran & what must come next.

Link below.

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