Yes. We Europeans will never forget what you tried with Greenland. You've become a danger to everyone else in the world. We all will be off better if your empire ceases to exist.

Are people aware that fund managers are increasingly observing betting markets such as Polymarket, identifying likely insider trading, and hopping onto the bandwagon? Or at least hedging their portfolio against market movements by indicated geopol events?

This isn't how markets are supposed to work

Thread about decreased stockpiles and production lines. This was entirely predictable, and people indeed predicted it (myself included).

Let's see what the end of this war will look like.

A disgraceful reality of our era is the lack of anger and condemnation towards Moscow for the enormous massacres of Ukrainian civilians it perpetrated especially in Mariupol. Nobody knows the death toll, but it is clearly in the tens of thousands. And the criminal state is destroying the evidence.

🇪🇪 ERR: The U.S. paused ammunition deliveries to Estonia (especially HIMARS rockets) due to the war with Iran, likely for months, not weeks.

Estonia says it has enough anti-tank weapons but may seek alternatives or rethink purchases if delays continue.

1/ Russian companies are blocking foreign IP addresses en masse in a bid to block VPNs, stranding thousands of Russians abroad without access to money, flight details, or taxes. Major Russian apps are also being repurposed to scan users' phones for VPNs and secretly obtain user data. ⬇️

2000 Meter bis Andriiwka 2000 Meter müssen die Soldaten der 3. ukrainischen Sturmbrigade zurücklegen, um das russisch besetzte Dorf Andriiwka nahe Bachmut zu befreien.

Danke für die Einladung und für das Interesse. Den Film „2000 Meter bis Andriiwka“ findet ihr online beim @zdfde.bsky.social. 4/4

In Russland wird der Putinismus immer offener kritisiert. Selbst die Propaganda ist in eine Art trübe Zone eingetreten und erzielt häufig die gegenteilige Wirkung, die beabsichtigt war, da sich die Diskrepanz zwischen Wirklichkeit und Ideologie immer weniger verdecken lässt./1

Chinese economic success relies on massive state subsidies
• Chinese government is spending heavily on critical industrial sectors to cement global market shares
• Tax breaks, cheap land and heavy investment on education (esp. in scientific fields) also contribute to model
www.ft.com/content/7d51...

Letzte Chance!

Germany's NSC decided to up the pressure on shadow fleet tankers. No details yet on what that means exactly.

There are some really good points in this piece. "Multipolar world" is a consciously undefined phrase, really aiming only at breaking US hegemony. Most countries will be off far worse in a "multipolar" world order. Can recommend the podcast episode, too. (In German)

Magyar Péter (Ne féljetek) * ... @magyarpeterMP Until 31 May, the Orbán puppets may voluntarily step down from their positions. This applies to the President of Hungary, the President of the Curia, the President of the National Office for the Judiciary, the President of the Constitutional Court, and the Prosecutor General. On 12 April, the Hungarian people voted for a complete political transformation. If these officials do not step down voluntarily by 31 May, then - on the basis of the mandate received from millions of Hungarians — we will remove them from office.

Hungary’s Péter Magyar issues an ultimatum.

Anyone looking for a detailed overview of the European defence industry’s capabilities in the field of armoured vehicles will find what they’re looking for here👇

There are some really good points in this piece. "Multipolar world" is a consciously undefined phrase, really aiming only at breaking US hegemony. Most countries will be off far worse in a "multipolar" world order. Can recommend the podcast episode, too. (In German)

I'm becoming really sick of this twisted, fucked up timeline.

Russian economy is faltering despite oil windfall, Sweden warns Stockholm’s military intelligence head says Moscow is manipulating data to make its economy look better

Exclusive: Sweden has intelligence indicating Russia's systematically manipulating data to fool Ukraine’s western allies into believing its economy has withstood the strain of its war spending & western sanctions, Thomas Nilsson, head of Sweden Military Intelligence, told me & @maxseddon.bsky.social

Mediation fails in dispute over Franco-German fighter jet, Handelsblatt says Mediators have failed to resolve a dispute between the companies involved in the ​Franco-German FCAS fighter jet project, though political leaders still have scope to ‌intervene, Handelsblatt reported...

"A person ​familiar with the matter told Reuters that the German mediator would ​conclude that building a joint fighter jet, once a key pillar ⁠of the project, was no longer feasible."

www.reuters.com/business/aer...

In the AI propaganda war, Iran is winning A joyless theocracy produces wittier videos than the Trump administration

Iran’s theocratic regime is playing its cards deftly. Rather than chanting “Death to America”, as is traditional, its propaganda videos play up criticisms of Donald Trump that resonate with a global audience.

www.economist.com/culture/2026...

This is a remarkable and important step.

Ukraine, a country under full scale invasion for 4+ years, is signing deals to co-develop/produce weapons with other countries.

Saudi, UAE and Qatar are not only confident of but also banking on Ukraine being a functional nation state over the next decade.

Deutschlandtempo. 😎

It’s a mark of how completely normalised the corruption & depravity have become that we barely bat an eyelid at the thought of two *property developers*, one Trump’s nepo baby son-in-law, being sent to represent the USA in peace negotiations with Iran. Sometimes it all hits you afresh.

Donald J. Trump • ® @realDonaldTrump Today, an Iranian-flagged cargo ship named TOUSKA, nearly 900 feet long and weighing almost as much as an aircraft carrier, tried to get past our Naval Blockade, and it did not go well for them. The U.S. Navy Guided Missile Destroyer USS SPRUANCE intercepted the TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman, and gave them fair warning to stop. The Iranian crew refused to listen, so our Navy ship stopped them right in their tracks by blowing a hole in the engineroom. Right now, U.S. Marines have custody of the vessel. The TOUSKA is under U.S. Treasury Sanctions because of their prior history of illegal activity. We have full custody of the ship, and are seeing what's on board! President DONALD J. TRUMP Apr 19, 2026, 9:23 PM

Not going to end well.

Great article.

Max Hastings: The United States could soon be our enemy In less than a decade the American leadership that the West took for granted has collapsed. Now we are forced to consider the previously unthinkable

Psychologically hard for Europeans to take. But national security has to be built on worst case scenario planning, or it is naivety dressed up as strategy.
observer.co.uk/news/interna...

How Cheap Drones Are Changing Wars Like the Ones in Ukraine and Iran (Gift Article) The United States and its allies have historically prioritized accurate but expensive defense solutions. Drones challenge that math.

Abwehr von Drohnen ist auch ne Kostenfrage. Die New York Times hat das
für die USA mal aufgelistet (gilt ähnlich auch für andere NATO-Staaten):

Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war. What is going on? Suspicious wagers on the US-Israel war in Iran are creating huge windfalls and raising concerns among lawmakers

“The same thing happened again on 7 April, this time when traders spent $950m on oil futures, betting that the price of oil would fall just hours before the ceasefire with Iran was announced.”