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Posts by Jay Van Bavel, PhD

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Americans are more polarized in their trust in scientists than in virtually any other societal institution. — James N. Druckman.
(@umisrcps.bsky.social)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260420-top...

15 hours ago 65 25 5 13

“We synthesize emerging evidence that a tiny number of highly active users drives a disproportionate share of misinformation and toxicity, and explain how platform incentives reward moralized, identity-salient, and emotionally charged content.”

13 hours ago 11 3 0 0
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We reviewed @noupside.bsky.social fantastic book "INVISIBLE RULERS" and connected it to the research we have been doing on this topic for the past decade.
osf.io/preprints/ps...

This was written with @rmpillai.bsky.social & @steverathje.bsky.social

13 hours ago 5 3 0 0
OSF

We conclude by outlining pragmatic responses—individual, institutional, and policy-level—and by highlighting how generative AI could either accelerate bespoke realities or help rebuild shared understanding, depending on how these systems are designed and governed. osf.io/preprints/ps...

13 hours ago 2 0 1 0
OSF

We synthesize emerging evidence that a tiny number of highly active users drives a disproportionate share of misinformation and toxicity, and explain how platform incentives reward moralized, identity-salient, and emotionally charged content.
osf.io/preprints/ps...

13 hours ago 1 0 1 0
OSF

The modern information environment enables a tyranny of the minority: extreme & coordinated voices dominate attention, distort perceived social norms, and create a “funhouse mirror” version of public opinion that makes fringe positions look common and conflict look inevitable. osf.io/preprints/ps...

13 hours ago 2 0 1 0
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A small fraction of online actors exerts outsized influence over what the public sees, believes, and discusses. In a new paper, we trace how social media influencers turn fringe claims into viral narratives by exploiting a feedback loop between influencers, algorithms & crowds
osf.io/preprints/ps...

13 hours ago 42 13 1 3
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A new paper questions the quality of many authoritarianism scales (eg RWA) as they are confounded with cultural.

"Political Intolerance" is the best measure of authoritarianism, suggesting that the disapproval of belief diversity might be a core aspect of authoritarianism.
osf.io/preprints/ps...

19 hours ago 22 10 1 0
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Get Along, Get Ahead Podcast Episode · The Next Big Idea Daily · April 17 · 33m

The moment "I" becomes "we," something shifts—our decisions. In the @nextbigidea.bsky.social Podcast we reveal how group identity shapes everything from performance to conflict

Nichola Raihani explains why cooperation—not competition—is the real engine of success.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...

1 day ago 12 1 0 0

Thanks--I always enjoy Chicago!

1 day ago 1 0 0 0
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Open-mindedness was the strongest predictor of *rejecting* conspiracy theories in a sample of 46,745 participants in 68 nations

In particular, participants who were threatened by people who disagree with them were the most likely to believe conspiracy theories.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

4 days ago 86 31 0 4
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How developing prosocial motivations shape children’s altruism Developmental perspectives are crucial to harnessing the human potential for altruism. We synthesise and highlight recent research on the motivations underlying children’s (costly) prosocial behaviour. The order in which children develop intrinsic, extrinsic, and strategic motivations to benefit others has implications for efforts to positively impact young people’s lives.

Online Now: How developing prosocial motivations shape children’s altruism

2 days ago 17 4 0 0
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I was at the University of Chicago this week for a conference on one the central challenges of our time:

How AI and social media are distorting public discourse, political polarization, online hatred, misinformation, and democratic governance.

See more here:
www.chicagobooth.edu/research/sti...

2 days ago 21 4 1 0
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When people use AI for writing assistance, it can shift their political attitudes by autocompleting sentences in biased ways.

Yet people are often unaware of the AI bias & it's influence

This is not merely about the facts presented, but how autocomplete worlds
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

1 week ago 75 29 3 4

It’s a classic social dilemma.

Watch the AI doc as this dilemma permeates every level of AI adoption, from the arms race between companies and countries, all the way down to individual academics.

3 days ago 10 0 1 0
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70% of people don’t feel loved as much or as often as they’d like, this new book explains who to build stronger relationships

The 3 words that everyone loves to hear? They’re not “I love you" or "you were right".

Those three words are “tell me more.” www.powerofusnewsletter.com/p/how-to-fee...

3 days ago 9 4 0 0
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Contrary to common wisdom, open-mindedness predicts *support* for public health measures and *disbelief* in conspiracy theories, research by Pärnamets et al, during the COVID-19 pandemic in 68 countries, suggests:

buff.ly/XqbAbM0
HT @jayvanbavel.bsky.social

4 days ago 12 3 0 0
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#AcademicSky

This looks like an important paper.

I've had convos with conspiracy theorists who claim that they are simply more open-minded than me (for instance, on where they source their "news").

Which feels an unfair argument. I'm to be impressed bc you're "open" to low-quality information?

4 days ago 14 2 0 0
You're Being Programmed: Why You See a Different Reality Than Everyone Else with Dr. Jay Van Bavel
You're Being Programmed: Why You See a Different Reality Than Everyone Else with Dr. Jay Van Bavel YouTube video by Culture Changers Podcast

Why do two people look at the same evidence and reach completely opposite conclusions?

I discussed selective attention, sycophantic AI, political tribalism, and how it impacts leadership on the Culture Changers Podcast with Allison Hare: youtu.be/-upTCa6s7oc

4 days ago 10 2 0 0
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Open-mindedness was the strongest predictor of *rejecting* conspiracy theories in a sample of 46,745 participants in 68 nations

In particular, participants who were threatened by people who disagree with them were the most likely to believe conspiracy theories.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

4 days ago 86 31 0 4

Bravo— very well deserved!

5 days ago 2 0 1 0
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AI assistance reduces persistence and impairs performance:

People were more likely to give up on problems and performed significantly worse once the AI was removed, compared to people who never used AI.

Using AI for hints did not produce significant impairments
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/14/o...

5 days ago 16 6 0 1
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Yale Report on Universities’ Problems Finds Culprit: Schools Like Yale

This new report from Yale explains why universities have lost public trust and how to regain it

The committee offered dozens of recommendations, like expanding financial aid, reducing admissions preferences, protecting free speech and adjusting grading policies:
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/15/u...

5 days ago 4 0 0 1
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The story of ed tech is a repeated loop of massive hype and massive disappointment

See MOOCs, and now AI

Evidence can interrupt this unproductive cycle

The Stanford SCALE Initiative, led by rock star Prof Susanna Loeb, brings evidence to the conversation scale.stanford.edu/sites/defaul...

1 week ago 196 79 12 10

Losing SLACs (small liberal arts colleges) is absolutely a sign of American academia's decline and the gutting of the humanities in particular.
I'm pretty sure SLACs are a uniquely American phenomenon. Most countries don't have hundreds of small, non-research-oriented colleges dedicated to teaching.

6 days ago 546 178 15 11

@michael.muthukrishna.com and I are hiring a postdoc to join our labs at NYU!  We're looking for someone excited to work on one of society's newly emerging and potentially generation-shaping challenges: the multi-agent alignment problem.

1 week ago 17 10 1 0

I've been thinking the same thing over the past year:

Fighting corruption is smart politically and also crucial for building a healthier society with trustworthy institutions.

1 week ago 12 1 0 0
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Behavioural economics has been missing a crucial variable: language For decades, behavioural economics has transformed how we think about human decision-making. It showed that people are not the cold, hyper-rational optimisers imagined by classical economics. We rely ...

"The Economics of Language" argues that people do not respond only to outcomes. They also respond to how those outcomes are described. The words we use shape our thoughts and actions.

Call a Prisoner’s Dilemma a “community game” and cooperation increases.
cambridgeblog.org/2026/03/beha...

1 week ago 20 2 1 1
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Online hostility is predicted by economic & political inequality

Inequality breeds online hostility because people crave status in unequal societies and status-seekers constitute the main perpetrators of hostility in political settings, whether online or offline.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

2 weeks ago 63 27 4 1
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Other-condemning rhetoric—expressions of moral outrage that criticize others’ morality—increases all forms of online engagement (views, likes, comments) across cultures!

This is from an analysis of 400,000 YouTube videos of major news outlets in the US & Korea
dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/...

1 week ago 10 1 0 0