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Posts by Ivaylo Dinev

Recent elections in Bulgaria make this debate especially timely. Join us!

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The pattern is repeating all the time: new faces arrive with promises, but rarely manage to fulfill them or are co-opted. Trust erodes once again. Dissatisfaction builds up. A crisis emerges. A new protest and a new political cycle follow.

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1989–1990 – protests and votes for SDS
1997 – protests and a vote for the ODS
2001 and 2009 – protest votes for NDSV and GERB
2013 – three mass protest waves
2020 – protests and a fragmented protest vote
2025–2026 – protests again and a new protest vote for the Radev's "Progressive Bulgaria"

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As a result, trust in institutions periodically collapses, only to be “restored” through mass protests and votes for new (challenger and movement-) parties.

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Why? One explanation is the critical juncture in 1989. The elites have failed to consistently deliver the two main goals of democratization: rule of law and economic prosperity for all.

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Unlike Western democracies, where electoral behaviour is driven by structural preferences and cleavages, in Bulgaria the driving force is different— protest. Both in the streets and at the ballot box.

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Elections in #Bulgaria confirms again the regime logic of "protest democracy". Since 1989, the system renewal with new political party and mass protests every 5-7 years. And yet, it is unclear what lies ahead.

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Join us to discuss what is going on in Bulgaria and Serbia.

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Let’s discuss two massive protest waves reshaping political dynamics in Serbia and Bulgaria and what they reveal about contemporary movements worldwide.

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Upcoming ipb debate 📣 On 23 April at 4:00 pm, @ivodinev.bsky.social ( @zois.bsky.social ) will speak about the #GenZ #protests in #Bulgaria and #Serbia, focusing on their aims and outcomes. Please register by April 22nd to participate in this online event: buff.ly/9acWinZ
More info: buff.ly/eU9ChGS

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Serbiens Jugend protestiert mit einer Strategie, die der Westen fast vergessen hat 300.000 Menschen auf der Straße, eine eigene Wahlliste, klassenübergreifende Allianzen von Studierenden bis Landwirten: In Serbien wächst eine Protestbewegung, die das Vučić-Regime bedroht.

“Serbia’s youth are protesting with a strategy that the West has almost forgotten.”

I said this in an interview with the German outlet Krautreporter.

More and more, I am convinced that the rest of the world has much to learn from the civic energy and democratic resilience of Balkan societies.

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It will be a pleasure to discuss the protest waves in the Balkan region at the American University in Bulgaria.

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Labour unrest in the context of multiple crises: a comparative perspective of Europe By presenting the first comparative data of trade union and workers’ protests since Covid-19, based on local sources, this article attempts to fill a significant gap in the empirical research on cr...

Our open-access article in @socmovstudies.bsky.social presents new dataset of workers’ protests in Europe since Covid-19.

We find:
• High levels of protest
• Two alliance patterns
• Diverging protest repertoires
• Cross-national differences in public vs. private sector mobilization

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Ελπίδα οι μαζικές διαμαρτυρίες - Documento Πολ­λές από τις φετι­νές δια­μαρ­τυ­ρίες στα Βαλκάνια είχαν αιτήματα ηθι­κής

2025 was a year of the protest in the Balkans. From Serbia to Greece, N Macedonia and Bulgaria, to name the most massive waves. A short summary in Greek.

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Thursday the 5th of February at 18:00
Registration: jean-michel.de.waele@ulb.be

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Why Bulgaria Became a Success Story for the Gen Z Protests ZOiS Spotlight 2/2026 | Ivaylo Dinev

Some Gen Z protest waves fail to translate into political outcomes, while others succeed.

Bulgaria’s ended with a government resignation in under 3 weeks.

I discuss the key factors that made this protest a success story: from organisation to political opportunity.

Spotlight for @zois.bsky.social

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What is going on in Bulgaria? An in-depth article by the independent Spanish media CTXT, including an interview with me, on the mass protests, the role of Gen Z, and the current political crisis.

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1. The protests focused on rejecting arrogant political behavior and the theft of public money through corruption schemes. This united a highly fragmented opposition and citizens across income levels, ethnicities, and religions. Protests spread nationwide and to the Bulgarian diaspora across Europe.

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5. Most participants rejected aggressive or violent tactics, despite the presence of radical groups. Nonviolent resistance proved effective — though protests may continue or escalate into civil disobedience if systemic change does not follow.

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4. Instead of exhausting daily protests or university occupations, mobilisation happened once per week. Within two weeks, turnout grew from around 100,000 to 200,000–300,000. 3 to 5% of the general population!

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3. The opposition handled logistics (permits, security, stage, speakers), but the protests avoided a party image: no party flags or slogans. The stage remained open to speakers from diverse social groups.

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2. TikTok, Instagram, and Facebook became the main tools of mobilisation. Influencers amplified calls to protest, making participation socially attractive — protesting became “cool.”

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What just happened in Bulgaria and what other countries can learn from it:

In just two weeks, mass protests forced the government to resign. Five key strategies👇

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Mass protests in Bulgaria forced a government resignation, showing their effectiveness. Yet resignations often act as safety valves, letting ruling parties to regroup. Since 1989, this has locked the country in a recurring cycle of crisis and protest without breaking underlying power structures.

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Tonight, Sofia is seeing its largest demonstration since 1990. Rallies are unfolding across the country against state capture and corruption, demanding the government’s resignation and new elections.

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Reach: this protest stands out through the strong participation of the youngest (16 to 25). For the first time, a large number of voices from the Turkish and Roma minorities have also become visible, openly speaking out against the oligarchic elites who have long instrumentalized their communities.

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Timing: While Facebook-driven protests needed weeks to gain momentum—usually after being picked up by national TV—TikTok turns an issue viral within a few hours.

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Scale: Earlier protest waves in Bulgaria often became enclosed within specific social groups, mostly the urban middle-classes. Now TikTok spreads the mobilisation across people with different incomes, views, and ethnic backgrounds.

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Protests after 2008 were primarily organised on Facebook. In other countries, Twitter also played a key role. Today, the main arena is TikTok. This changes the scale, timing, and reach of mobilization.

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TikTok has changed the game. 100,000–150,000 people from diverse backgrounds protested in Bulgaria mobilised mainly through TikTok by influencers, activists, and the opposition. The platform has become a central engine for rapid mass mobilisation. What does this mean for social movement studies?

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