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Posts by Jonathan Corbin

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Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026 Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...

Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!>

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

16 hours ago 270 107 8 6

Imagine Barnes and Noble coming out with an insane screed like this...

These tech companies that fancy themselves the ruling class need to be demolished.

3 days ago 2 0 0 0
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Grossest Sentence Ive Ever Heard GIF Alt: Grossest Sentence Ive Ever Heard
4 days ago 2 0 0 0
In ML, everyone’s Humpty Dumpty | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/17/i...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0

I kinda assumed the folks who came up with it just looked for what they believed was the whitest possible sounding name, since there's strong white supremacist beliefs in that particular crowd.

But knowing the Internet, it could just as likely be some random thing.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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a close up of a man 's face with a blurred background Alt: What.

I am this gif old and apparently need to take your class

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

[shocked pikachu.jpeg]

1 week ago 11753 2522 188 65

You mean the errors aren't independent?

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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As long as you're in their club, you can be as evil as you want.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

People will be closely studying how Hungary's opposition pulled off their win in such a pro-incumbent system. Important to note that the theme was corruption. Democrats need to get much better at calling out Trump's corruption.

1 week ago 4336 1191 128 132

of seeing other powerful white men who attacked our democracy for the threat they truly are and were.

The country club members aren’t able to see each other as a threat because they are in the country club. They will always see the people not in the club as the greater danger.

1 week ago 36 8 3 0

Do Americans know that their Vice President was in Hungary campaigning for a Putin ally to be reelected, instead of in DC during a war in which Putin is helping Iran target Americans?

1 week ago 9075 3081 512 140

Here you go, America. You were looking for a new model of masculinity I think.

1 week ago 428 104 12 2
Explaining the Most Important Artemis II Photos
Explaining the Most Important Artemis II Photos YouTube video by Hank Green

Take a moment and enjoy what curious humans can accomplish.

youtu.be/oaXRREHVkHo?...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

Super weird that broad bipartisan support for violently crushing student protest was effective. Really makes you think

1 week ago 66 18 5 0

A lot of big words to say, "I took notes"

This abstract is WILD

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Where leaves are emerging and flowers are blooming It’s that time of year again when we hear about how the plants are growing across the country. For the Washington Post, Ben Noll, John Muyskens, and Naema Ahmed have the maps for leaves and f…

flowingdata.com/2026/04/08/w...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Amazing comic

www.butajape.com/comic/what-i...

2 weeks ago 36 2 0 2

Donald Trump is deranged. He must be impeached and removed from office.

Republicans who don’t stop him will have blood on their hands, and anyone who carries out an order to bomb civilian targets will be complicit in war crimes and will be held accountable.

2 weeks ago 6051 1522 329 122

Things that help calm the nervous system, quickly:

- Box breathing (in for 4, hold for 4, out for 4, hold for 4, repeat)
- Immerse your face in cold water (activates mammalian dive reflex)
- Humming (stimulates vagus nerve)
- Exercise (anything helps, outside even better)
- Impeachment and removal

2 weeks ago 9681 2713 95 90
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RAYE - THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE. (Full Album) - YouTube RAYE THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE. Album Playlist / RAYE THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE. Full Album Playlist RAYE New Album 2026 / RAYE Full Album 2026

Brilliant

youtube.com/playlist?lis...

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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Gas prices map, by county Gas prices are high across the U.S., more so in some places than in others. (Hello from California.) The New York Times has an interactive map of the average price by county. It loads initially by …

flowingdata.com/2026/04/06/g...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

It's almost as if forcing all evaluations into letter grades with the belief that regardless of the course, they should be normally distributed is a fundamentally stupid idea.

2 weeks ago 0 1 0 0
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a young man is saying i am the king in a dark room Alt: Geoffrey from GoT.

Trump's message projects neither strength nor leadership.

It looks like a mad boy-king having a temper tantrum.

What a gift to Iran Trump is...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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What's the r^2 on explaining actual voting?

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

Hope I'm wrong, but feels like the current Dem strategy is keeping fingers crossed that Trump's popularity stays in the dumpster and that elections will be fair so they can bring us back to normal levels of oligarchy.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
A full disc image of Earth, as seen from the Orion Crew Module. The planet is a pale blue, swirling with white clouds and glowing slightly lighter blue in place from reflected light. At lower left, a large brown landmass is Africa, with Spain and Portugal with twinkling lights where the planet curves. At top right, auroras glow in a thin green glow, just barely separated from the planet's surface. Earth is set against the black of space (pic: NASA/R.Wiseman)

A full disc image of Earth, as seen from the Orion Crew Module. The planet is a pale blue, swirling with white clouds and glowing slightly lighter blue in place from reflected light. At lower left, a large brown landmass is Africa, with Spain and Portugal with twinkling lights where the planet curves. At top right, auroras glow in a thin green glow, just barely separated from the planet's surface. Earth is set against the black of space (pic: NASA/R.Wiseman)

More context on this #Artemis II image:

* This is the night side, lit by moonlight. You can see city lights in Spain & Portugal, & a sliver of day at lower right

* The Sun is entirely behind Earth, which makes it a kind of solar eclipse, but w/ Earth doing the eclipsing instead of the Moon:
☀️🌍🚀🌕

2 weeks ago 13119 3712 234 321
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The Horrors That Could Lie Ahead if Vaccines Vanish Researchers at Stanford University modeled how many people could die or be disabled in 25 years if vaccines for polio, measles, rubella or diphtheria were no longer available.

projects.propublica.org/childhood-va...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

"daddy only hits you because you cry" is the reactionary centrist theory of american politics

2 weeks ago 431 81 5 2

“ai researcher said a thing” is the cousin of “ceo said a thing” reporting.

2 weeks ago 358 51 2 2