Muito legal, Fernando! Parabéns!

Our paper on measuring portfolio salience is out at the @lsqjournal.bsky.social!

t.co/1QZOkoXwoV

The drivers of resemblance in presidential regimes: explaining the conversion of pre-electoral coalitions into coalition cabinets | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core The drivers of resemblance in presidential regimes: explaining the conversion of pre-electoral coalitions into coalition cabinets

But what happens next? 🫱 🫲

@lucascoutoz.bsky.social uses a cross-case analysis of Latin American 🌎 cases to question why some governments closely follow their pre-electoral #Coalition agreements while others do not.

buff.ly/A8Z1B2c

Impact of switching on preference vote change

Does party switching pay off for MPs? Not really, but... For details see our #instaparty paper w @sonagolder.bsky.social, @ibenskasr.bsky.social & @paulinasl.bsky.social just out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

Great read and very interesting context!

Complementing your previous work, I wonder whether the coalition breakdown has made people perceive Komeito's positions as farther from LDP's or whether 26 years of co-governance don't dissipate voters' perceptions of policy positions so quickly.

What a gorgeous photo!

Link to the paper: doi.org/10.1017/S175....

The figure shows the XY Plot for the analysis of necessary conditions. This figure is available in the Supplementary Material.

The figure shows the XY Plot for the analysis of sufficient conditions. This figure is available in the Supplementary Material.

A bit random, but one of the most pleasing aspects of this project was making the XY plots for the SM file. They are quite pleasing to the eye (at least to mine 👀). (7/7)

Many thanks to those who read earlier versions of the paper and to the community of configurational comparative methods: debates over best practices and methodological advances, and the reading of several textbooks, were a particular joy and, ofc, a great help 😊(6/7)

Importantly, these results do not tell us that these institutional features are of little importance for coalitional presidentialism generally. Far from it! Instead, the takeaway is that they are less helpful in explaining the transition from PECs to governing coalitions. (5/7)

In none of the cases would a longer gap between elections and government formation have increased such resemblance! In addition, weak presidents do not consistently rely on PEC partners; when they do, high ideological polarisation and idiosyncratic factors matter more! (4/7)

Screenshot of Table 5, which depicts the results of the analysis of sufficient conditions.

Interestingly, the case-based nature of QCA reveals little to no evidence of the temporal restriction prior to government formation or of presidential powers as explanations for coalition resemblance, despite their appearance in the QCA output! (3/7)

Screenshot of Table 1, containing the cases under analysis. It covers 8 countries in Latin America and 31 cases.

Using data from 8 Latin American countries and a configurational approach, I find three key conditions explaining what I call coalition resemblance: a majority-forming pre-election coalition, minimal ideological differences among members, and high legislative polarisation. (2/7)

Screenshot of the first page, containing the abstract and keywords, of a newly published paper on the transition from pre-election coalitions to governing coalitions in multiparty presidential democracies!

As the initial excitement of winning elections cools down, the president-elect must begin thinking about how to govern. But what makes governing coalitions resemble pre-electoral coalitions in multiparty presidential democracies? I tackle this question here in @EPSRjournal. (1/7)

Ouch, I had missed this one. Congrats, Marc! It looks very interesting!

That's incredible! Do you use any program for that?

💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗

👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social

🧵1/5

New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner:

Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries
Harmonized roles/policy areas

Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940
Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p

⬇️

Hard to compete with Rio to be fair 😨. Hope you are enjoying your stay so far!

I hope you've enjoyed the *best* city in Brazil (if nothing else, at least its architectural scene 😅). And what a time to be in Brasília! You probably caught one of the most politically heated days/weeks of the year!

Congrats! Pretty cool game!

Parabéns!

Yesterday, I did my second DHL relay race with an amazing team: @henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @lindekilde.bsky.social, C. Green-Pedersen, & @lucascoutoz.bsky.social.

I had the goal of running the 5k below 21 minutes & came in at 20:34, my new personal record. Now looking forward to the 2026 race! 😊

Today is my first teaching day of Fall 2025. I'm teaching a grad course on Qualitative Methods, for the first time in almost 10 years.

As several people have asked me to post my syllabus, here it is. Note that it can be, and often is, changed a bit during the semester.

Logo of "Government & Opposition" with an ampersand in red and the hashtag "OpenAccess" on a black background.

#OpenAccess from @govandopp.bsky.social -

Crafting Policies Together: Citizen Preferences After Crisis - cup.org/4mm8b7m

- @paduis.bsky.social, Jennifer Cyr, Julieta Suárez-Cao & Matías Bianchi

#FirstView

Does political sophistication moderate how citizens use information to infer left-right distances between parties? Research identifies numerous factors associated with citizens’ perceptions of party ideologies, including the Left-Right orientations of parties’ election manifestos, governing coalition arrangemen...

Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Cool research and pretty alluvial plot! Congrats!!

Handbook on Coalition Politics

To be published this autumn 👇

Normalise writing a nice quick note to scholars literally every time you read and like their work. Our world is small and getting smaller. We need encouragement.