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Posts by Justin Lynch

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Phone tracking shows how Colombian mercenaries backed Sudan's RSF - report Phone tracking shows how Colombian mercenaries backed Sudan's RSF - report The report says more than 50 mobile phones were tracked in Sudan between April 2025 and January this year whose operators were Colombian A network of Colombian mercenaries backed by the United Arab Emirates (UAE) provided critical support to Sudan's paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enabling it to capture the western city of el-Fasher last year, a new report says. The investigation, by security analysis organisation the Conflict Insights Group (CIG), used data obtained from tracking the mobile phones of the Colombian fighters. The UAE has long denied supporting the RSF, which has been fighting Sudan's regular army for three years. El-Fasher's fall was one of the most brutal chapters of the conflict, which has led to the world's worst humanitarian crisis with tens of thousands killed and millions forced from their homes. The CIG has been closely following evidence of extensive Emirati military assistance to the RSF, but "this is the first research where we can prove UAE involvement with certainty", says director Justin Lynch. "We are making public what governments have long known - that there is a direct link between Abu Dhabi and the RSF." The report "shows mercenaries involved with drones travelling from a UAE base to Sudan before the RSF takeover of el-Fasher", he says. "Mercenaries involved in drone operations even named their wi-fi network their unit name - linked to a company operated out of the UAE." Colombian President Gustavo Petro was quoted last year as calling the mercenaries "spectres of death" and describing their recruitment as a "form of human trafficking". The BBC has asked for a response from the Emirati government to the latest findings. The UAE has previously issued statements rejecting what it called "false and unfounded allegations" that it backs the RSF and condemning "in the strongest terms" the atrocities committed in el-Fasher. Analysts agree that foreign support for both sides has been key to the continuation and expansion of the civil war.Tens of thousands of people have fled from their homes in el-Fasher in Darfur The CIG says it used commercially available technology designed to make advertising more personal to track more than 50 mobile phones in Sudan between April 2025 and January this year whose operators were Colombian mercenaries, including at RSF-held areas from which drones were fired. It also used flight-tracking data, satellite imagery, social media videos, news and academic articles to support its analysis. The report says its data details a pipeline that showed the mercenaries present at various regional staging grounds, most significantly a UAE military training facility in Ghayathi in Abu Dhabi. It followed one phone from Colombia to Abu Dhabi's Zayad International Airport and then to the facility, where it also found four other devices configured to Spanish, which is spoken in Colombia. Two of those phones subsequently travelled to Sudan's South Darfur state and one to the de-facto RSF capital of Nyala, where it logged into wi-fi networks named "ANTIAEREO" (meaning "anti-aircraft" in Spanish) and "AirDefense". Nyala is a prominent hub for Colombian mercenaries and RSF drone operations, the report says. The CIG has documented significant drone activity there and identified more than 40 Spanish-language devices. In another case study the CIG tracked a phone from Colombia to Nyala and then to el-Fasher, in North Darfur state, during the time last October when the RSF took over the city after an 18-month siege. While in el-Fasher, the device connected to a wi-fi network named "ATACADOR" ("attacker" in Spanish), says the report. It adds that the CIG identified other devices associated with Colombian mercenaries also present during the RSF takeover.El-Fasher was repeatedly shelled during the RSF siege - this picture from October last year shows a wrecked classroom where people had been sheltering The fall of the city was accompanied by mass atrocities assessed as war crimes and crimes against humanity by the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and described by UN investigators as bearing the "hallmarks of genocide". "CIG assesses that the UAE-Colombian mercenary network bears shared responsibility for these outcomes," says the report. "The scale of atrocities and siege in el-Fasher wouldn't have happened without the drone operations the mercenaries provided," Lynch adds, noting evidence that they also helped support the RSF siege. According to the report, the mercenaries operated as part of the Desert Wolves brigade, serving as drone pilots, artillerymen and instructors. One of them connected to wi-fi networks named "DRONES" and "LOBOS DEL DISIERTO [sic]" (meaning "Desert Wolves" in Spanish), while using Spanish-language settings. The brigade is led by retired Colombian army Colonel Alvaro Quijano, according to the Colombian digital news site La Silla Vacía. He is based in the UAE and has been sanctioned by the US and UK governments for recruiting Colombians to fight in Sudan. The Desert Wolves were paid and employed by a UAE-based company with documented ties to senior Emirati government officials, according to La Silla Vacía and documents obtained by the CIG, the report says. The CIG also says it identified devices with Spanish-language settings at a port in Somalia with links to the UAE, and at a town in south-eastern Libya believed to be a logistical hub for the flow of weapons to the RSF, allegedly facilitated by the Emirates. The number of Colombian fighters in Sudan has previously been estimated in the low hundreds. The US has twice sanctioned Colombian nationals and associated companies for recruiting mercenaries to fight in Sudan, in December and again last week. The US Treasury Department has said that Colombian fighters supported the RSF capture of el-Fasher but has stopped short of making a direct connection to the UAE. Go to BBCAfrica.com for more news from the African continent. Follow us on Twitter @BBCAfrica, on Facebook at BBC Africa or on Instagram at bbcafrica Adblock test (Why?)

Phone tracking shows how Colombian mercenaries backed Sudan's RSF - report #BBC #Sudan #Soudan

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Zohran Mamdani won by being himself – and his victory has revealed the Islamophobic ugliness of others | Nesrine Malik The vicious reaction to his New York mayoral success tells us this: the establishment will not countenance mainstream voters making common cause with Muslims, says Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik

This week’s column is on people losing their minds, and insulting the public’s intelligence, over Mamdani.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

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“It seems hardly a coincidence that RSF public conferences in Nairobi were immediately followed by a $1.5 billion loan from the UAE and a surge in suspicious UAE-to-RSF shipments transiting through Kenya,” Lynch said.

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Kenyan Weapons Linked to Sudan’s Civil War - bellingcat Bellingcat and our partners at Kenya’s Daily Nation have identified Kenyan-labelled crates of ammunition inside an alleged RSF depot close to the recently recaptured Sudanese capital Khartoum. Althoug...

Great job by @bellingcat.com
and @nationafrica.bsky.social for their investigation into Kenyan-labeled crates of ammunition found in Sudan's civil war.

www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/06...

10 months ago 2 2 0 1
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Alleged drone strikes in Port Sudan CIR verified user-generated content and satellite imagery confirming fires and damage to six sites in Port Sudan.

After reports of drone strikes emerged from Port Sudan in early May, CIR's Sudan Witness used user-generated content (UGC) and satellite imagery to verify fires and damage to six sites in Port Sudan between 4 and 7 May 2025.
New report: www.info-res.org/reports/alle...

11 months ago 5 3 1 0
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Port Sudan strikes: Drone attacks raise stakes in new phase of bloody civil war - BBC News Experts tell the BBC the air strikes showcase the growth of advanced drone warfare in Africa.

Last week’s UAV attacks in Port Sudan show how Sudan’s war is driven by new technology. The RSF have discovered a vulnerability in SAF’s anti-drone systems. SAF will close the vulnerability, but when? See my comments in the BBC. www.bbc.com/news/article...

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Meta’s content moderators face worst conditions yet at secret Ghana… Hit by workers’ rights lawsuits in Kenya, the tech giant has moved its outsourcing to a top-secret new site – where life is grimmer still

Critical investigation by @clairelwilmot.bsky.social about how Meta offshored content moderation to the world's poorest countries. Sweatshops of the digital age. www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2025...

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4. Displaced civilians from El Fashir must be allowed to travel to Tawila freely. Diplomats should prioritize this immediately with parties and their foreign backers so civilians fleeing violence will have refuge.

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3.It's time for diplomats to get real and stop with approaches that won't work. This war will end when SAF and the UAE come to the negotiating table -- be it in 6 months or 60 years. Is anyone in a position to facilitate talks?

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2. Sudanese soup kitchens, Emergency Response Rooms, national NGOs and INGOs are the ones delivering on the ground in areas affected by famine. They must receive funding as famine is projected to spread in the next two months.

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1. Many humanitarians predicted the current situation back in 2020 (I have receipts for those who served in the transitional government who seem to have forgotten!) Blaming aid workers but not SAF and the RSF for blocking aid is a bizarre talking point.

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Why is aid to Sudan falling while famine and conflict worsen? | Inside Story
Why is aid to Sudan falling while famine and conflict worsen? | Inside Story YouTube video by Al Jazeera English

Sudan is suffering the world's worst famine in four decades, but aid is dwindling. I appeared on Al Jazeera's Inside Story with Kholood Khair to discuss how to save lives now and in the future. Here are the points I made:
youtube.com/watch?v=-J_J...

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Iran dreamed up a US-style Marshall Plan to rebuild Syria after the civil war. It invested billions to build influence there. Documents from its looted embassy show how that plan went spectacularly wrong with the fall of Bashar al-Assad reut.rs/3Ypri76

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Stop the Next Ethiopia-Eritrea War Before It Begins As armies deploy, Gulf states and their Western allies must halt an impending conflict that could inflame the entire Red Sea region.

8/ Second, Sudan's chaos was predictable. Once mass atrocities begin, options become limited. Prevention is key. The current lack of engagement in South Sudan & Ethiopia/Eritrea is equally negligent. Where is the high-level UK + US leadership? See: foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/e...

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7/ Why does this matter? First, the culture of immunity & negligence continues in Western capitals. We need accountability from think tanks & political leaders to prevent policy failures in Sudan & Africa. Journalists get fooled by style rather than substance.

1 year ago 3 1 1 0
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How the U.N. and the West Failed Sudan Self-delusion and negligence stopped governments and aid agencies from facilitating a genuine and lasting transition to democracy.

6/ Remember: We tried keeping UN peacekeepers in Darfur in 2020. The 2020 Juba Peace Agreement actually facilitated conflict. Western diplomats & experts ignored warnings and were patronizing. Clearly, I/we failed, also. See: foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/03/u...

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5/ The West facilitated this disaster through arrogance & negligence. Many "experts" were useless in 2019-20 when concrete preventative steps could've been taken. The response from many in Washington was patronizing.

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4/ UAE, Egypt, Turkey, Iran & Russia provide weapons & support to Sudan's warring parties. Qatar & Saudi Arabia likely facilitate this too. They share significant responsibility, particularly the UAE.

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3/ Let's be honest: Western policy on Sudan is subservient to financial & military ties with UAE, Turkey & Egypt. But Sudan's leaders are primarily responsible for what's happening. Blaming only the West is careless.

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2/ I continue to be embarrassed at the West's negligence, arrogance & patronization. History seems to be rewritten as we see statements of solidarity from governments. UN agencies and experts who ignored concrete actions during the transition.

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1/ I can't imagine the anger & disappointment Sudanese feel today. The sit-in was a release of 30 years of fear & violence that erupted into euphoric celebration of democracy. It was a privilege to witness it. Today the transition has turned into a nightmare.

1 year ago 6 2 1 0
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Stop the Next Ethiopia-Eritrea War Before It Begins As armies deploy, Gulf states and their Western allies must halt an impending conflict that could inflame the entire Red Sea region.

Important article on the risks of a war between Eritrea and Ethiopia. CIG have seen evidence of a military buildup for a few months. foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/e...

1 year ago 4 1 0 0

It's looking bad again in Tigray. It's hard to know what will happen, but Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, DRC, and Somalia are all on the brink of or in the middle of state collapse/conflict. The future of the region is being decided in the Middle East.

1 year ago 5 4 0 0
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A Turkish arms firm helped fuel Sudan’s brutal civil war, records show A trove of documents and communications provided to The Post reveals how a Turkish company covertly funneled weapons to the Sudanese army.

“You don’t need a lot of drones to turn the tide of war,” said
Justin Lynch, MD at Conflict Insights Group, a data analytics and research organization that helped authenticate the trove of documents. “You have seen a huge SAF advancement." www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

1 year ago 3 2 0 0
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In Search of Ethiopia's Garima Gospels Some of the world’s oldest Christian manuscripts are in hiding from the violence that has ripped through their region

This is an exceptional article about war, trauma, and Ethiopia. tps://newlinesmag.com/reportage/the-monastery-at-the-heart-of-the-war-between-ethiopia-and-eritrea/

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