President Trump's threats to Iran this morning open the door to potential violations of the Geneva Conventions. Stewart Patrick weighed in.

It must be stopped NOW.

🔥 Mother protecting her chicks from the rain.

The result of bullying

The emperor has no clothes.

Time for the #25thAmendment. Congress and the Cabinet must act.

“No Kings” protests in the U.S. and globally have mobilized millions against the Trump administration’s policies. But are mass protests enough to spark actual democratic change?

@saskiabr.bsky.social and Shreya Joshi unpack: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

4️⃣ Mixed Signals: The US lifted sanctions on some Iranian oil to lower prices, even while bombing their infrastructure.

3️⃣ The "Strait of Trump": The President joked about renaming the Strait of Hormuz during a speech in Miami. He insists the US is meeting objectives. 🎤

2️⃣ Troop Surge: The USS Tripoli (3,500 Marines) has arrived in the region. This contradicts Trump’s statements about "winding down" operations.

Diplomacy or Deception?

As the war enters its 5th week, we are seeing a massive contradiction in strategy today.

1️⃣ Ground Invasion Fears: Iran’s parliament speaker (Ghalibaf) claims the US is "secretly planning a ground attack." Tehran warns they are "waiting" to "set them on fire." 🔥

How Iran Sees the War External escalation, internal consolidation.

"Washington and Israel are right that their bombs have wreaked havoc on Iran’s military capabilities. But if they believe that Tehran is about to keel over, they are probably mistaken."

Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar explains, for @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/how-ira...

The Iran War Is Also Now a Semiconductor Problem The conflict is exposing the deep energy vulnerabilities of Korea’s chip industry.

South Korea is far from the warzone in Iran. But its economy is facing “outsized shocks,” write @darciedraudt.bsky.social and Tim Sahay. The country’s longstanding energy vulnerability means that shocks like these can destabilize key industries.

Full article: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

‘It’s a complicated time to be a white Southerner’ − and their views on race reflect that How do white Southerners think about their racial status in a world that is scrutinizing white advantages? Researchers found people across the political spectrum grappling with what being white means.

For The Conversation, I wrote about how White Southerners are making sense of what it means to be White in these times.

In a nutshell, it’s complicated.

I hope you’ll read and share widely.

theconversation.com/its-a-compli...

Got this in the mail yesterday—the newest addition to my bookshelf. Thanks@uchicagopress.bsky.social! Can't wait for the book to come out next month! Link to pre-order 👇

The End of the Last U.S.-Russia Nuke Treaty YouTube video by Carnegie Explains

Today, the last remaining nuclear treaty between Russia and the U.S. expired. What does that actually mean – and what could be next? @nktpnd.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/RxUMr...

Why Did Saudi-UAE Tensions Escalate? YouTube video by Carnegie Explains

At the end of 2025, tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE came to a head over conflict in Yemen. What exactly happened, and what does it mean for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the region?

@andrewleber.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/URKId...

The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation Especially on Taiwan.

U.S. norm-breaking will shape illiberal rivals’ behavior.

For China, the Venezuela attack is likely to harden Beijing’s security calculus.

My latest analysis for @carnegieendowment.org:

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

2025 Carnegie California Global Affairs Survey California is acutely aware of the intense renegotiation happening almost daily in domestic and international politics.

What do Californians think of global affairs? Carnegie California’s Ian Klaus, Mark Baldassare, Marissa Jordan, and Abigail Manalese surveyed Californians on today’s most important issues, from migration to democracy.

See their findings here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Carnegie’s Must-Read Pieces of 2025 Program directors share the analysis and research that stood out this year.

💡 Carnegie's 2025 must-reads: We asked Carnegie’s directors to select one piece each that they felt stood out or best represented the program’s work for the year.

See their selections here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation The age of technological disruption in warfare is here. Read the complete series (PDF).

The age of networked, technologically disrupted warfare requires new strategies, innovations and regulations

‼️"The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation" series from @carnegieendowment.org & @forsvarshogskolan.bsky.social analyses these evolutions

🧵⏬

The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation The age of technological disruption in warfare is here.

Unlike the sleek, high-quality weapons technology of the past, today’s warfare depends on cheap (but lethal) “good enough” systems. How is this new paradigm shaping the ways we fight?

@stevenfeldstein.bsky.social and @warmatters.bsky.social: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

🧵 In 2025, people around the world took to the streets to protest their governments. Why? @carnegiedcg.bsky.social’s Thomas Carothers and Judy Lee broke down the main drivers, with the help of the Global Protest Tracker.

See more: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Know your rights. Protect your neighbors.

New York is — and always will be — a city for all immigrants.

Jared Kushner is part of Paramount's hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery Paramount is telling WBD shareholders that it has a smoother path to regulatory approval than does Netflix.

Jared Kushner's involvement was "not mentioned in Paramount's press release on Monday morning about its $108 billion bid, nor were participating sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi and Qatar."

fancy that

Buster from the tv show ‘Arrested Development’ holding an arm full of plushies while he looks at his mother Lucille, saying, “these are my awards, mother, from FIFA.“

Who has made this 🤣

Schiff: "I think that all of these strikes are unlawful. They are a form of extrajudicial killing. These boats are not invading the US in an armed assault ... the fact the administration may put a group of organizations on a list doesn't confer on a president the ability to kill them at sea."

It could take decades to recover from where we are.

Freudian slip from Tom Cotton: "I think President Bush has every power under the Constitution to strike boats in international waters"