The most favorable frame for Republicans in the 2026 midterm election is to make the election a choice between candidates on issues
The most favorable frame for Democrats is to make the election a referendum on Trump
It is near impossible for Republicans to make the election a choice on issues
While some have fretted about the early vote slightly shifting towards Republicans, Northern Virginia localities provided fewer early voting centers. Difficult to know what the effect of that is but could have contributed to
Exit polls of the California redistricting amendment had Yes most highly correlated with Trump disapproval. If that holds today in Virginia Yes will have a higher margin than the pre-election polls indicate
Just a matter of time until we get a poll with Trump below freezing at 32 approval
Taken together, these four features can create a trancelike state that can keep us stuck on social media apps or video games for hours. Children are particularly vulnerable. n.pr/4mH6i6s
Scapegoat alert
Lucky
If there are steel cut oats why aren’t there diamond cut oats?
But then realizes he kept a black woman from the job and feels better about himself
Don't threaten us with a good time
The glasses did not make them smart
Forbes is gamifying news about the horrific mass shooting in Shreveport, LA this weekend, encouraging readers to bet on the likelihood of gun regulation with fake money via its "ForbesPredict" feature.
Eight children were murdered in the shooting.
futurism.com/future-socie...
'Texas A&M philosophy professor Martin Peterson is leaving the university after administrators told him in January that he couldn’t teach Plato’s Symposium in his philosophy class; they said the ancient Greek philosopher’s work violated the system’s restrictions on gender and sexuality content.' 1/3
The White House, in a statement to The Times, said the Al-Khayyat family dealings with the Trump family had no impact on President Trump’s support for the sanctions repeal.
Obviously, we felt it was still worth documenting this backstory.
Please read/share.
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/19/u...
Poll driven punditry produces bangers like this how Taylor was in trouble in the Wisconsin State Supreme Court election based on two Marquette law school polls that had her up +8 and +7. She won +20 www.politico.com/news/2026/04...
Polls are consistently underestimating Democratic performance in the last year, so there's that. A lot of handwringing in advance of the 2025 NJ and VA governor elections was all for nothing. I put more faith in the signal actual election results are giving us
Coachella is trying to wipe all of the footage of The Strokes protest set so I’m gonna post it here. The last images on the screen made me cry.
Pennsylvania's auditor general, a Republican, audited 210,000+ new voter registrations under Gov. Shapiro's new motor voter system to see if noncitizens were registering to vote.
They found one. One.
And that was because a PennDOT staffer erred. It was fixed before the driver left the office.
WOW: A stunning new report in the WSJ reveals that military advisers intentionally excluded Donald Trump from the command room during the recent high-stakes operation to extract a downed U.S. airman in Iran, because they feared his erratic behavior could jeopardize the mission. 1/
No one has ever ended the same war they started as many times as Donald Trump. Give him the Nobel Peace Prize
Any unusual market bets this morning foretelling a Trump post that the war is over (again)?
“X is now becoming a very unpleasant and a very dangerous place”
...says Nigel Farage today
They never pay their tabs
Now do income inequality
IRAN'S MILITARY ACCUSES THE U.S. OF FIRING ON AN IRANIAN COMMERCIAL VESSEL IN VIOLATION OF THE CEASEFIRE, WARNING OF RETALIATION OVER WHAT IT TERMS "MARITIME PIRACY."
The recent trades predicting U.S. military action minutes before it occurred are alarming and raise questions about who exactly is profiting from a war that has already resulted in untold death and destruction. We need answers.
youtube.com/shorts/bDGnC...
Breaking WaPo:
The Trump Justice Department is now demanding all ballots from the 2024 election in the Detroit area — a highly unusual move that comes shortly after prosecutors seized 2020 ballots in Georgia and obtained 2020 election records in Arizona.
Syrian billionaires needed to clear a path for a development project despite U.S. sanctions. A Republican congressman suggested: "Make it a Trump National Golf Course."
The exchange illustrates the blurring of lines between business and family affairs in Trump's second term.
Someone's trying to remain drunk on power
This is fine
