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Posts by Jonathan Conning

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US seeks to control sales of Venezuelan oil ‘indefinitely’ Crude revenues to be funnelled to American banks as Washington prepares to lift some sanctions on Caracas

Trump the pirate: "ConocoPhillips’s claims against Venezuela ... $12 billion, while Exxon Mobil ... said the country owes it an estimated $20 billion."

So Venezuelans to keep same dictators, but oil goes to Trump slush fund. Reckless fantasy.
- giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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The Emperor’s New Oil Wealth The truth behind Trump’s black, sticky fantasy

Right. Trump may think this is about oil: he mentioned "oil" 27 times at his press-conference and "democracy" not once. Big oil will again bankroll him. But big profits in VE is an oil fantasy primarily in Trump's head.
substack.com/inbox/post/1...

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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Big oil spent $445m in last election cycle to influence Trump and Congress, report says Investments ‘likely to pay dividends’, analysis says, as Trump unleashes dozens of pro-fossil fuel executive actions

You're right about what he cares about, but Big Oil put up half a bn to get him elected (he'd asked for $1bn). He's delivered deregulation & benefits worth ~$190bn. He needs them desperately again for the midterms. It may be that simple.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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DeLauro uses her opening statement to tear Russ Vought a new one

10 months ago 15507 4351 538 515
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Actually, the data Saez/Zucman use in their book is from the universe of IRS records. For instance, fig 1.2 average tax rates by centile.

10 months ago 1 0 1 0

And as a reward to loyal but impoverished Lesotho for still trading more with the USA than with China: Trump slapped them with a 50% "reciprocal tariff rate" on liberation day April 2.

11 months ago 12 1 1 0
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Exclusive: NSF faces radical shake-up as officials abolish its 37 divisions Changes seen as a response to presidential directives on what research to fund

Exclusive: National Science Foundation staff were told today that the agency’s 37 divisions—across all eight directorates—are being abolished and the number of programs within those divisions will be drastically reduced.

11 months ago 2099 1529 155 435
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1 year ago 104 28 14 19

"Assuming that offsetting exchange rate and general equilibrium effects are small enough to be ignored,..." is doing an awful lot of lifting in that explanation..

1 year ago 26 2 2 0

The barbarism of Trump’s first term immigration policy brought support for immigration to all time highs, and he seems determined to repeat that

1 year ago 650 64 9 6

that must have been fun. one tech leap for me was discovering mathpix (mathpix.com) which reliably converts snapshots of handwritten notes or web/textbook screenshots to latex/markdown.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Trump to pause enforcement of law banning bribery of foreign officials

JUST IN via @CNBC.com's @eamonjavers.bsky.social & @danmangan.bsky.social:

"#Trump is set Monday to sign an executive order directing the Department of Justice to pause enforcing a law that prohibits American companies to bribe officials of foreign governments."
www.cnbc.com/2025/02/10/t...

1 year ago 57 42 14 13

He's contrasting future interpretations. If voters perceived Biden was beholden to 'radical agendas' it doesn't matter whether that was true or not. Pardons don't signal trust in institutions. And this is front page at Financial Times - he's aiming to reach people who might otherwise dismiss.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Here’s a story with some numbers. The proposed cuts are unfathomable: a 60% reduction to NSF would be the end of American science as we know it.

1 year ago 1837 880 113 121
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Kristof: "Musk has a net worth greater than the poorest billion people on Earth. ..since the election, Musk’s personal net worth has grown by far more than the entire annual budget of USAID., which in any case accounts for less than 1 percent of the federal budget." www.nytimes.com/2025/02/05/o...

1 year ago 13 3 0 0
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Any news outlet reporting Mexico conceded anything to Trump to get him to delay tariffs has not done its homework.
Trump boasts he got Mexico to commit to stationing 10K troops at our border. Apparently he didn't realize Mexico already has 15K troops deployed there
prami.ibero.mx/informes-y-i...

1 year ago 10423 3321 410 319
Letter reading, "Dear agency employees,
We are taking steps to close all agency DEIA offices and end all DEIA-related contracts 
in accordance with President Trump’s executive orders titled Ending Radical and Wasteful Government DEI Programs and Preferencing and Initial Rescissions of Harmful Executive 
Orders and Actions.
These programs divided Americans by race, wasted taxpayer dollars, and resulted in 
shameful discrimination. 
We are aware of efforts by some in government to disguise these programs by using coded or imprecise language. If you are aware of a change in any contract description or personnel position description since November 5, 2024 to obscure the connection between the contract and DEIA or similar ideologies, please report all facts and circumstances to 
DEIAtruth@opm.gov within 10 days. 
There will be no adverse consequences for timely reporting this information. However, 
failure to report this information within 10 days may result in adverse consequences.
Thank you for your attention to this important matter. Janet Petro"

Letter reading, "Dear agency employees, We are taking steps to close all agency DEIA offices and end all DEIA-related contracts in accordance with President Trump’s executive orders titled Ending Radical and Wasteful Government DEI Programs and Preferencing and Initial Rescissions of Harmful Executive Orders and Actions. These programs divided Americans by race, wasted taxpayer dollars, and resulted in shameful discrimination. We are aware of efforts by some in government to disguise these programs by using coded or imprecise language. If you are aware of a change in any contract description or personnel position description since November 5, 2024 to obscure the connection between the contract and DEIA or similar ideologies, please report all facts and circumstances to DEIAtruth@opm.gov within 10 days. There will be no adverse consequences for timely reporting this information. However, failure to report this information within 10 days may result in adverse consequences. Thank you for your attention to this important matter. Janet Petro"

Here's an e-mail that just went out to NASA agency wide. 🔭

1 year ago 4054 1761 630 1075
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similar paunch

1 year ago 5 1 0 0
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Hate him or love him, I think we can all agree that uncensored Paul Krugman the sasrcastic substack explainer is much more entertaining that PK the NY Times columnist..
substack.com/home/post/p-...

1 year ago 3 0 0 0
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I had similar influences, and feel similar apprehensions as Marc Bellamere expresses about the field of development economics since the 2000s.
marcfbellemare.com/wordpress/14...
For me, the political economy embrace kept it interesting for a while, but I agree something intrinsic has been lost

1 year ago 3 0 0 0

hmmm, I'm going to go with the line from the abstract that "lobbying by powerful and productive industries may have been at play" in explaining Andreesen's post.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

translation: Ds asked questions framed around national interests; Trump camp simply asked, if we put your guys in charge, how much can you kick back our way?

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Damages for being impeded in their certain plan to transform a Honduran island fishing village into the next Singapore is worth at least that much, but they modestly reduced it to only 11bn.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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$11BN claim against Honduras (1/3 gdp) on $46.8M investment by investors including Altman, Andreesen + Thiel (+100M online blockchain 'token' investors). If you're curious abt intl inv dispute arbitration, the hearings are online! : icsid.worldbank.org/resources/mu...

1 year ago 1 0 1 0

I'd forgotten I had turned that on. If you did as well, your projects should be in your dropbox folder under ...\Apps\Overleaf\*

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

the banana was sold just blocks from our lecture hall.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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The Sidewalk Fruit Vendor Who Sold a $6.2 Million Banana for 25 Cents A 74-year-old immigrant who works outside Sotheby’s shares a basement in the Bronx and works 12-hour shifts. He was stunned to hear what his banana went for at auction.

In my Eco 100 class we just finished a module on inequality and social mobility. Today rival vs non-rival goods, economic rents and intellectual property. This banana is going to make it into the lecture www.nytimes.com/2024/11/27/n...

1 year ago 0 0 1 0