starting to write a blog post motivated me to quickly simulate to make sure what I was doing actually... worked. and looks like it didn't.

well, shit.

That's cool to know about! In this case I have some strong predictors to help impute the censored counts, and the counts are then used to calculate derived quantities (standardised mortality ratios) which are in turn the outcome of subsequent regressions. Messy but almost solved now!

This Is Just To Say

I have turned off
the AI features
that were in
the update

and which
you were probably
hoping
to monetize

Fuck you
they were stupid
so unnecessary
and so annoying

Been helping a client with a problem involving left-censored count data and found @freerangestats.info 's helpful blog post: freerangestats.info/blog/2018/11...

Though I then felt the need to one-up by implementing a mice imputer for right-truncated Poisson regression... guess I should blog it?

apologies for my country's part in this (and yes it does get confusing when someone describes themselves as "liberal" here, given our Liberal Party hasn't really been liberal in any sense for the last 20 years)

the "right-wing authoritarianism construct" is great because it involves asking questions like "do you think that a guy dressed as darth vader should be blindly followed while the imperial march plays" and people will respond with "strongly agree"

why should subjects and verbs agree. mine prefer to fight.

Hard agree with rimidar on this. In fact, nothing has discredited wistful conservativism more to me than seeing people start to do it about times I lived through. Yeah the n64 was pretty dope when I was 10 years old, I guess; don't really think that should drive our immigration policy tho you loser.

Newcomb appears to have placed a third box in my room, but it's making strange hissing noises. probably has a basilisk inside it

P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A) / P(B)

When you just want heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors, but AI thinks you're hungry for baked goods.

#rstats

what's in the closed box is none of my business. it's probably a dead cat left over from the last thought experiment.

breaking Newcomb's Paradox by one-boxing but choosing to only take the open box

Millennials truly are gods chosen people

overthinking a joke!

everyone in places you can afford to live is a racist 12 year old boy

viable competing Theories of Everything in 2026:
- everything is gender
- everything is race
- everyone is a 12-year-old
- everything is housing

Theories of Everything now believed to be unviable:
- string theory
- loop quantum gravity
- tankie Marxism
- everything is gonna be alright

The fireball does 35 points. Jesus saves and takes half damage. The rest of you take the full amount.

naming your biology plagiarism machine after the most famous case of biology plagiarism is a very funny bit I must admit

isn't that basically the standard argument against free fares though? that spending the equivalent money on improving quality of PT (including frequency, access, etc) has a much bigger effect on ridership than making fares free/cheap

this is my hunch based on what I've seen in undergrads too

any European brands/models to keep an eye on? the BMW iX3 looks great but way outside my price range (BMW/Merc/Audi pricing here in Aus is "haha fuck you, you'll pay a premium for the badge and you'll enjoy it"), the VW id.* options look interesting and are well priced here

the BYD Sealion 7 is maybe the least appealing of the bunch but incredible that "Chinese-made fully-electric approximately-Subaru-Forester" can now be had for the same price as "actual Subaru Forester Hybrid"

have been idly keeping track of what EVs are on the market (not to buy now, but "in a few years I might buy a current EV second-hand") and wow there are a bunch of options now in the "decent substitute for a Subaru Forester" category. BYD Sealion 7, Zeekr 7X, Skoda Enyaq, Subaru Trailseeker...

here in Metricland I've heard people say "1g / kg of body weight" (so a bit under half the pound-based rec) and honestly that still felt like a lot to me

the Google AI summaries are ... remarkable. to paraphrase Douglas Adams, they are almost but not quite completely unlike useful information

new midlife crisis plan: start an underground math lab in an RV in the desert, taking over the market with high quality (and inexplicably blue-coloured) math

who wants to be my plucky sidekick? (former students get priority)

other people I respect have also suggested Kagi, maybe I should give it a try! just reluctant to end up with Yet Another Software Subscription

search engines returning results that don't actually contain the words you searched for: absolutely taking the piss. this was a solved problem decades ago.

dear Google, pls be less AI, more making search great again

My Aus passport renewal was painless and swift.

My UK passport renewal, which I initiated near the end of January, I was told today "will arrive in the next three weeks"