Iran’s aggression will bring Gulf countries closer to the US Despite their resentment, states in the region need American and Israeli technology to defend themselves

www.ft.com/content/d36b...

Thanks to @foreignaffairs.com for publishing my piece this morning on the Saudi-UAE rift.

How to Solve Gaza’s Hamas Problem Disarming the group will require Arab and Muslim forces—and strong American leadership.

Sincere thanks to @foreignaffairs.com for publishing my latest, “How to Solve Gaza’s Hamas Problem” @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

Israel’s Gaza City operation will leave it more isolated. It’s time for a course correction. An operation to take Gaza City would mark a dramatic escalation in the conflict—and one with potentially irreversible costs to Israel’s alliances and reputation.

My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social, “Israel’s Gaza City operation will leave it more isolated. It’s time for a course correction.”

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

Israel to Seize Gaza City YouTube video by Bloomberg Podcasts

Thanks to @bloomberg.com for having me on today to discuss the Israeli decision to expand operations to Gaza City. m.youtube.com/watch?v=85CP... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

Analyst says it will take weeks, if not months, to know real damage to Iran's nuclear program from U.S. airstrikes Analysts say until IAEA inspectors are on the ground, it won't be possible to know the extent of damage done in Iran by U.S. airstrikes. This comes as The Washington Post reports the U.S. intercepted ...

Great to join @msnbc.com yesterday afternoon for a chance to talk about the latest on Iran. www.msnbc.com/weekends-wit... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Iran hold? NPR's Michel Martin asks the Atlantic Council's Jonathan Panikoff whether a ceasefire agreement will stick between two countries that have spent decades antagonizing each other, Israel and Iran.

I appreciated the opportunity to join @npr.org Morning Edition and @michelmartinnpr.bsky.social to discuss the Israel-Iran ceasefire, what comes next, and long-term challenges. www.npr.org/2025/06/24/n... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

After US strikes on Iran, a narrow path to diplomacy - The Boston Globe Just as the United States should use its leverage with Israel to end its war with Iran, it should also use the credible military threat as leverage with Iran.

Thanks to the @bostonglobe.com for publishing my latest piece, “After US strikes on Iran, a narrow path to diplomacy” www.bostonglobe.com/2025/06/23/o...

Experts react: The United States just bombed Iran’s nuclear sites. Here’s what to expect next. Early on Sunday morning in the Middle East, US forces targeted Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Atlantic Council experts survey the fallout for Iran and for the region.

My, and my @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social colleagues’, early reaction to Trump’s strike on Iran and what comes next….

An important note not in my piece: anyone who tells you they *know* what happens next or how this ends is someone you should promptly ignore.
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

If diplomacy and Israel’s efforts fall short, Trump should bomb Fordow to end the war At the end of the current war, Iran will have a viable nuclear program, or it won’t. The future of the Middle East will be driven by the answer.

My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social “If diplomacy and Israel’s efforts fall short, Trump should bomb Fordow to end the war”

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

8 Experts on What Happens If the United States Bombs Iran As the U.S. weighs the option of heading back into a war in the Middle East, here are some ways the attack could play out.

Thanks to @politico.com for asking me to join their expert commentary on what happens if the US bombs Iran. @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social www.politico.com/news/magazin...

‘It’s unlikely’ Trump would order assassination of Iran’s supreme leader | Analyst YouTube video by CTV News

Appreciated the opportunity to join @ctvnews-rss.bsky.social again to talk about the latest re Israel, Iran, and possible US involvement. www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkm1...

After Israel’s strikes on Iran, these four questions could determine the Middle East’s future The trajectory of the Middle East could be determined by how just a few critical questions are answered the coming days and weeks.

“For many Iranian leaders an Iran without a nuclear weapon… is an existential threat to the survival of the regime itself. Many Iranian leaders believe that a nuclear weapon ultimately provides them stability and protection, just as it has for North Korea….”
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

Experts react: Israel just attacked Iran's military and nuclear sites. What’s next? Our experts shed light on Israel’s major attack against Iran targeting its nuclear facilities and its implications for the region.

Initial thoughts on 🇮🇱’s strikes on 🇮🇷 from myself and friends and colleagues at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

What does Israel want to achieve by striking Iran? YouTube video by CNA

Thanks to CNA for having me on to discuss Israel’s strikes on Iran tonight, what it means, and what comes next. @ACMideast @AtlanticCouncil www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmv5...

Why Israel May Be Considering an Attack on Iran

The potential of an 🇮🇱 strike is first about increasing pressure on 🇮🇷 (mirrored diplomatically by today's IAEA vote). But don't expect it until after POTUS decides diplomacy can't succeed. I.e. the threat needs to be real but 🇮🇱 is unlikely to strike w/o 🇺🇸 acquiescence. www.nytimes.com/article/isra...

CNN Newsroom - panikoff Powered by SnapStream Cloud Sharing

Bottom line from the 5th round of talks today: both the U.S. and Iran view there’s a potential for success and thus enough reason to continue talking. Ahead of the talks I spoke with @cnn.com about where we are in the negotiations.

video.snapstream.net/Play/7Xdo2jo...

Trump can’t afford to simply revive Obama’s nuclear deal Trump is right to try to seek a deal before okaying military action against Iran. But unlike in 2015, time is almost up.

The latest from me: “Trump can’t afford to simply revive Obama‘s nuclear deal” @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

The Double Standard in the Human-Rights World Organizations that explicitly valued impartiality and independence have become stridently critical of Israel.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

Both the current Israeli government coalition and Hamas are in maximalist positions that do not have meaningful overlap.” washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/… @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

Thanks to @washingtonpost.com for the chance to provide some thoughts on the resumption of the war in Gaza and what comes next. “The default is going to be an Israeli military occupation of Gaza. There’s nothing that says Hamas is ready for a new deal immediately, or that the Israelis are ready…/1

Whether you support diplomacy with Iran or not, it’s hard to imagine a worse idea than Russia being a mediator between the U.S. and Iran. Russia has been among Iran’s best allies. It’s like asking your bully to mediate between you and his close friend. 🤦‍♂️ t.co/1nAClDbCyd

Jordanian King Rebuffs Trump Proposal to Displace Palestinians in Gaza His pushback came after President Trump insisted Tuesday that the United States has the authority to “take” Gaza.

Following POTUS & KING Abdullah mtg, I spoke w/ @nytimes.com. Part of my reaction, “But now you have a U.S. president who has threatened actions that would add kerosene to an already burning fire.” My full comments & the story here www.nytimes.com/2025/02/11/u...

This comes after Hamas announced it was suspending releases. That said, there’s reason for concern that “all hell” could endanger hostages lives and forcing 🇪🇬 & 🇯🇴 to take Gazans (which he reiterated) could lead to more violence & threats to 🇮🇱… from last week… www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

Trump is serious about shaking up the Middle East, even if his Gaza plan isn’t It’s almost impossible to imagine Trump’s plan for Gaza coming to fruition. But it would be a mistake to think that he was anything but serious.

“Trump is serious about shaking up the Middle East, even if his Gaza plan isn’t”…. My latest on how to think about the plan President Trump launched for Gaza last night. www.atlanticcouncil.org?p=823728&pre... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

Admittedly I didn’t have “the US will take over the Gaza Strip on my bingo card last night. Thanks to the @financialtimes.com for asking me to provide a few thoughts on @potus’s comments.

t.co/sqyelLehMK

Netanyahu, Trump to Hold Talks on Gaza Cease-Fire and Wider Middle East Strategy The meeting could provide an early signal about the state of their sometimes wary relationship.

Some thoughts from me on today’s meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Experts react: Everything you need to know about the Israel-Hamas cease-fire and hostage deal Atlantic Council experts weigh in on what’s next for the conflict, Gaza’s reconstruction, Israel’s security, Saudi normalization, and more.

Israel and Hamas are poised to finalize a ceasefire and hostage deal. Read about my and my @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social colleagues’ analysis on the implications, opportunities, and challenges ahead in our latest Experts React. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

Will Trump Strike Iran or Strike a Deal? The new administration faces a changed regional environment, which could make dealmaking more appealing than a renewed sanctions campaign.

“Will Trump Strike Iran or Strike A Deal?” My latest in @ForeignPolicy seeks to answer that question and address the broader regional consequences that may emerge based on the path he chooses. foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/13/t... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

The election of Lebanese President Joseph Aoun is long overdue but provides an opportunity, for the first time in years, for 🇱🇧 to truly overcome the stranglehold of Hizballah (and 🇮🇷), and rebuild the country; and in doing so, to shift the geopolitics of the Levant for decades to come.