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Posts by Justin Caouette, Ph.D.

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Here it is (although Brett made a fool of himself by revealing that he thinks Bolt runs the 400)

philpapers.org/go.pl?aid=KA...

2 days ago 18 1 3 0

wait till they figure out how much faster the airplane, a machine invented by Orville and Wilbur Wright in 1903, can traverse the same distance

2 days ago 989 103 41 7
ABSTRACT. According to Bayesians, agents should respond to evidence by conditionalizing their prior degrees of belief on what they learn. A major aim of this article is to demonstrate that there are common scenarios where Bayesian conditionalization is less rational—from both an ecological and an internal perspective—than other theoretically well-motivated belief updating strategies, even in simple situations and even for an ‘ideal’ agent who is computationally unbounded. The examples also serve to demarcate the conditions under which Bayesian conditionalization may be expected to be ecologically optimal. A second aim of the article is to argue for a broader notion of rationality than what is typically assumed in formal epistemology. On this broader understanding of rationality, classical decision theoretic principles such as expected utility maximization play a less important role.

ABSTRACT. According to Bayesians, agents should respond to evidence by conditionalizing their prior degrees of belief on what they learn. A major aim of this article is to demonstrate that there are common scenarios where Bayesian conditionalization is less rational—from both an ecological and an internal perspective—than other theoretically well-motivated belief updating strategies, even in simple situations and even for an ‘ideal’ agent who is computationally unbounded. The examples also serve to demarcate the conditions under which Bayesian conditionalization may be expected to be ecologically optimal. A second aim of the article is to argue for a broader notion of rationality than what is typically assumed in formal epistemology. On this broader understanding of rationality, classical decision theoretic principles such as expected utility maximization play a less important role.

This issue's Editors' Choice article (free to read):

On the Ecological and Internal Rationality of Bayesian Conditionalization
– Olav B Vassend

Abstract in alt text or read it here:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

#philsci #philsky

2 days ago 12 5 0 0
Do People Sincerely Believe Conspiracy Theories That They Endorse? Survey data are widely used to estimate the prevalence of belief in conspiracy theories and to test hypotheses about the correlates, causes, and consequences of these beliefs. However, concerns have b...

Do People Sincerely Believe Conspiracy Theories That They Endorse? #philsky #philosophy

1 week ago 4 2 1 0
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As a philosopher, I’m convinced that Trump isn’t lying − he’s doing something worse Donald Trump’s false claims about the Iran War, Epstein files, tariffs and inflation have left some supporters who have traditionally believed all he says feeling duped and abandoned. Why now?

As a philosopher, I’m convinced that Trump isn’t lying − he’s doing something worse

#philsky #philosophy

1 week ago 6 2 0 1
Do People Sincerely Believe Conspiracy Theories That They Endorse? Survey data are widely used to estimate the prevalence of belief in conspiracy theories and to test hypotheses about the correlates, causes, and consequences of these beliefs. However, concerns have b...

Do People Sincerely Believe Conspiracy Theories That They Endorse? #philsky #philosophy

1 week ago 4 2 1 0
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USSC rules conversion therapy is free speech. ETHICS authors Maximiliana Jewett Rifkin and Elizabeth Schechter comment that “when medicine pathologizes queerness, self-deception becomes the treatment plan” Read their paper, “Gender identity, self-deception, and respect” here: doi.org/10.1086/739654

1 week ago 1 2 0 0
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As a philosopher, I’m convinced that Trump isn’t lying − he’s doing something worse Donald Trump’s false claims about the Iran War, Epstein files, tariffs and inflation have left some supporters who have traditionally believed all he says feeling duped and abandoned. Why now?

As a philosopher, I’m convinced that Trump isn’t lying − he’s doing something worse

#philsky #philosophy

1 week ago 6 2 0 1
Natural kind fundamentalism - Philosophical Studies Philosophical Studies - This paper defends Natural Kind Fundamentalism (NKF), the view that the ontological category of natural kind is fundamental. I develop a primitivist account of categorial...

New paper: 'Natural Kind Fundamentalism', open access in Philosophical Studies:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...

This paper defends Natural Kind Fundamentalism (NKF), the view that the ontological category of natural kind is fundamental.

1 week ago 7 2 1 0

This is misleading at best. Firing someone for making a ‘bad decision’ is not getting the philosophy wrong. Motivations for firing matter when evaluating whether the firing was wrong or not. Many times the motivations aren’t grounded in desert and are grounded in safety or financial concerns.

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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This connects to Philip Pettit's argument for a republican notion of liberty. "It is not enough that you happen to
enjoy non-interference in your choice; you must enjoy it securely over whatever happen to be the preferences of others." philarchive.org/archive/PETR...

1 week ago 33 8 1 0

Before Trump started this illegal war, the Strait of Hormuz was an international body of water with ALL ships having a right of passage.

Now, under the supposed “deal” Trump has announced, Iran will unilaterally control the Strait and tax every passing ship $2 million.

The ignorance is sickening.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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When a 🤡 makes a “deal”. #iran #straightofhormuz #maga #Trump

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
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Factivism Defended: A Reply to Howard - Volume 122, Issue 8, August 2025 In a recent article, Nathan Howard argues that normative reasons for action are to be identified not with facts, but with fact/goal pairs. For example, on Howard’s view, the reason in favor of me cook...

"Factivism Defended: A Reply to Howard"
J. J. Cunningham
Volume 122, Issue 8, August 2025
Pages 433-448

doi.org/10.5840/jphi...

#newpaper #philsky #philosophy #philosophysky

2 weeks ago 4 1 2 0
Social Construction of Emotions 3.0 | Journal of the American Philosophical Association | Cambridge Core Social Construction of Emotions 3.0

new paper out in the journal of the APA: Social Construction of Emotions 3.0.
i believe our first draft dates back to 2018 🙃
#philsky #philosophy

2 weeks ago 12 5 0 1
ABSTRACT. Much of the literature on values in science is framed around the idea of a shift in the status of the so-called value-free ideal (VFI) for science: having been widely accepted in the past, it has now come to be thoroughly rejected. Instead, the commonly asserted view now is that there is a new problem for philosophy of science to address, namely, distinguishing appropriate from inappropriate value-influence on science. While understanding the many intricate ways that values can influence science is an important task for philosophy, we argue that this framing—that there is a single phenomenon to be understood or a single problem to be solved—is misleading and liable to distort inquiry. This framing creates a chimera.

ABSTRACT. Much of the literature on values in science is framed around the idea of a shift in the status of the so-called value-free ideal (VFI) for science: having been widely accepted in the past, it has now come to be thoroughly rejected. Instead, the commonly asserted view now is that there is a new problem for philosophy of science to address, namely, distinguishing appropriate from inappropriate value-influence on science. While understanding the many intricate ways that values can influence science is an important task for philosophy, we argue that this framing—that there is a single phenomenon to be understood or a single problem to be solved—is misleading and liable to distort inquiry. This framing creates a chimera.

Just accepted:

The New Chimera for Values in Science
– Arnon Levy & Jacob Stegenga

Abstract in alt text or read the paper here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

#philsci #philsky

2 weeks ago 12 3 0 0
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It was previously believed that the Dallas Mavericks' trade of Luka Doncic to the Lakers was the worst deal of the decade, but that distinction won’t hold if Trump's deal is as disadvantageous as described. This has been a complete catastrophe. 🤦🏼‍♂️ #trump #iran #artofthedeal

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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This is misleading at best. Firing someone for making a ‘bad decision’ is not getting the philosophy wrong. Motivations for firing matter when evaluating whether the firing was wrong or not. Many times the motivations aren’t grounded in desert and are grounded in safety or financial concerns.

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
Preview
Emotion concepts and their function in a large language model Interpretability research from Anthropic on emotion concepts

Emotion concepts and their function in a large language model

#anthropic #philsky #aiethics #AI #cognitivescience #emotion

www.anthropic.com/research/emo...

2 weeks ago 4 1 0 0
Andrew Lister, "Justice and Reciprocity" (Oxford UP, 2024) - New Books Network

My 2nd interview for “New Books in Philosophy” has been posted. It's with Andrew Lister about his book _Justice and Reciprocity_ (OUP, 2024).
newbooksnetwork.com/justice-and-...

#philsky
#philosophy
#poltheory
#polphil
#moralphil

2 weeks ago 5 2 0 0
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Emotion concepts and their function in a large language model Interpretability research from Anthropic on emotion concepts

Emotion concepts and their function in a large language model

#anthropic #philsky #aiethics #AI #cognitivescience #emotion

www.anthropic.com/research/emo...

2 weeks ago 4 1 0 0
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The Return of Pseudosciences in Artificial Intelligence: Have Machine Learning and Deep Learning Forgotten Lessons from Statistics and History? In today's world, AI programs powered by Machine Learning are ubiquitous, and have achieved seemingly exceptional performance across a broad range of tasks, from medical diagnosis and credit rating in...

The Return of Pseudosciences in Artificial Intelligence

#philsky #philosophy #machinelearning #science #philscience

3 weeks ago 10 2 0 1
The Meta Leaks Are Worse Than You Think
The Meta Leaks Are Worse Than You Think YouTube video by 80,000 Hours

"Meta itself estimated that 10% of all its revenue was coming from running ads for scams and goods that they themselves had banned: around $16 billion a year. That’s 10% of all revenue coming quite often from, fundamentally, enabling crimes.”

youtu.be/by0f4RtZglY

3 weeks ago 5 4 1 0
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Amazing turnout for the #NoKings protest near the state house in Providence! Truly amazing! #resist

3 weeks ago 8 1 0 1
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Preview
The Return of Pseudosciences in Artificial Intelligence: Have Machine Learning and Deep Learning Forgotten Lessons from Statistics and History? In today's world, AI programs powered by Machine Learning are ubiquitous, and have achieved seemingly exceptional performance across a broad range of tasks, from medical diagnosis and credit rating in...

The Return of Pseudosciences in Artificial Intelligence

#philsky #philosophy #machinelearning #science #philscience

3 weeks ago 10 2 0 1

“Well, the FTC estimates that Americans lose about $158 billion a year to fraud. If Meta is really leading to a third of that, we’re talking roughly $50 billion a year in losses connected to Meta’s platforms — or about $160 per person per year."

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

“Meta also estimated that its platforms were involved in initiating a third of all successful scams taking place in the entire United States. How much might we expect that to actually be costing ordinary people, on average?”

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
The Meta Leaks Are Worse Than You Think
The Meta Leaks Are Worse Than You Think YouTube video by 80,000 Hours

"Meta itself estimated that 10% of all its revenue was coming from running ads for scams and goods that they themselves had banned: around $16 billion a year. That’s 10% of all revenue coming quite often from, fundamentally, enabling crimes.”

youtu.be/by0f4RtZglY

3 weeks ago 5 4 1 0
Post image Post image Post image Post image

Amazing turnout for the #NoKings protest near the state house in Providence! Truly amazing! #resist

3 weeks ago 8 1 0 1